Long Trade on ONDO (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 448.33 ONDO at 0.418$ per unit. Take profit: 0.463 (10.66 %) & Stop Loss: 0.4005 (4.28 %)
30 Jul 2026 at 12:09:29
hyperliquid
ONDO
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
30 Jul 2026 12:09
→ 00:05
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.4184$
Qty 448.3332 ONDO
Size 187.5692$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.463 (+10.66%)
TP $ 20$
SL 0.4005 (-4.28%)
SL $ 8.03$
RR 2.49
Status
loss
PnL
-2.73%
/ -5.13$
MAE -3.04%
MFE +1.55%
0.4R
expires
31 Jul 00:09
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 53634)
#8 / 46
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/07/2026 12:00
score du 30/07/2026 12:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9121
Quality Score
0.581
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#8 / 46
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
80 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.28 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#8 / 46
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
80 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.28 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | -2.00×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.03×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
17.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/07 12:01
30/07 12:01
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 29/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 30/07 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 30/07 11:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #1168
Voir snapshot →
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.67
Transition risk :
0.33
Score contribution (this trade)
0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.80
Snapshot évalué :
30/07 12:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
30/07/2026 12:00
Score brut
0.5814
Score SMA
0.5715
Rank
#8
/ 46
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9121
Rank Norm SMA
0.8845
Calculé le
30/07/2026 12:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6354 | r1h: 0.548% · r4h: -0.391% · r1d: 6.82% · r3d: 4.22% · ema21_slope: 0.2081% · dist_ema21: 1.941% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6106 | rs_1h: 0.400% · rs_4h: -0.382% · rs_1d: 5.58% · rs_3d: 3.87% · beta_24h: 2.286 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1941 | rvol_20: 0.25× · zscore_50: -0.785 · trend: -15.20% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6618 | ADX: 27.8 (trend) · Chop: 46.8 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.628% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -4.278%
(0.0179)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.582% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.569% | 0.1R | -1.582% | 0.4R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.554% | 0.4R | -1.582% | 0.4R | 1.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.554% | 0.4R | -1.582% | 0.4R | 1.0× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.554% | 0.4R | -3.038% | 0.7R | 0.5× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.554% | 0.4R | -5.316% | 1.2R | 0.3× | 288 |
computed 3 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.82
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
56%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | near 0.0ATR | 0.65 | bear_high | -3.91% | +0.99 | 29/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
60%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | — | near -2.0ATR | 0.60 | range_high | +0.59% | +0.22 | 30/07 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | — | 0.56 | range_medium | +0.73% | +0.34 | 30/07 11:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | strong | explosive | expansion | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | near 0.2ATR | — | — | range_low | +0.67% | +0.02 | 30/07 11:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 36b | — | 5.052×ATR | p65 | +0.923×ATR | p81 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 13b | — | 2.837×ATR | p33 | +0.84×ATR | p75 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 1.15×ATR | p2 | +0.386×ATR | p40 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 7b | — | 1.679×ATR | p0 | -0.04×ATR | p3 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.7977
- reason: up_bo width=2.88×ATR dur=44b phase=extending
- stop_price: 0.40052613
- tp_price: 0.46297968
- atr:
- score: 0.79770467109396
- expires_at: 2026-07-31T04:09:22.267438
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.79770467109396
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : -0.0135
- obi_top10 : 0.0612
- micro_price : 0.41520024
- spread_pct : 0.024085
- mid_price : 0.41525
- bid_wall_price : 0.401
- bid_wall_size : 416466
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.416
- ask_wall_size : 388006.26
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0112
- obi_top5_std : 0.0152
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6835
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.411485
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.39099
- balance_zone_mid:
0.4012375
- balance_zone_start_time:
1785272400
- balance_zone_end_time:
1785427200
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.8811
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
44
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7977
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: extending
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1785398400
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.411485
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.7955
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
8
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.9678
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
5
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
3
- regime : bull_high_confirmed
- atr_entry : 0.00711371 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
44
inside_close_ratio
0.7955
bars_since_breakout
8
distance_to_edge_atr
0.9678
Signaux confirmants (5)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12:09 | 0.41837000 | -0.007% |
| 2 | 12:15 | 0.41837000 | -0.007% |
| 3 | 12:21 | 0.41602000 | -0.569% |
| 4 | 12:27 | 0.41602000 | -0.569% |
| 5 | 12:33 | 0.41602000 | -0.569% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6835ms
Confidence avant OB :
80%
→
80%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
-0.014
avg 0.011
± 0.015
OBI Top 10
0.061
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.4153
Micro Price
0.4152
Spread
0.0241%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.4010
Size
416,466.00
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.4160
Size
388,006.26
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.4184 | 0.4005 | 0.463 | 2.49 | 0.3657 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.4184
- Stop Loss: 0.4005
- Take Profit: 0.463
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.4005 - 0.4184 = -0.0179
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.4184 - 0.463 = -0.0446
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0446 / -0.0179 = 2.4916
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 187.5692 | 100 | 448.3332 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0179
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0179 = -446.93
Taille de position USD = -446.93 x 0.4184 = -187
Donc, tu peux acheter -446.93 avec un stoploss a 0.4005
Avec un position size USD de -187$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -446.93 x -0.0179 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -446.93 x -0.0446 = 19.93
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.93$
Résumé
- Taille de position -446.93
- Taille de position USD -187
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 19.93
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4916
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 10.66 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.28 % | 8.03 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -5.13 $ | -2.73 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -3.0378 % | 71.01 % | 20 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.4184 | 0.4005 | 0.463 | 2.49 | 0.3657 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.4184
- Stop Loss: 0.4005
- Take Profit: 0.463
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.4005 - 0.4184 = -0.0179
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.4184 - 0.463 = -0.0446
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0446 / -0.0179 = 2.4916
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -4.278%
(0.0179)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.582% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.569% | 0.1R | -1.582% | 0.4R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.554% | 0.4R | -1.582% | 0.4R | 1.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.554% | 0.4R | -1.582% | 0.4R | 1.0× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.554% | 0.4R | -3.038% | 0.7R | 0.5× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.554% | 0.4R | -5.316% | 1.2R | 0.3× | 288 |
computed 3 months ago
Commentaires
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