Short Trade on HYPE (CatchTheWave)
With 25.07 HYPE at 54.704$ per unit. Take profit: 54.0657 (1.17 %) & Stop Loss: 55.0232 (0.58 %)
Short Trade on HYPE (CatchTheWave)
With 25.07 HYPE at 54.704$ per unit. Take profit: 54.0657 (1.17 %) & Stop Loss: 55.0232 (0.58 %)
Position
Entry 54.704$
Qty 25.0658 HYPE
Size 1371.2014$ (margin 100$) (leverage 14)
Risk Setup
TP 54.0657 (+1.17%)
TP $ 16$
SL 55.0232 (-0.58%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2937
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | -3.30×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 29/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 30/07 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 30/07 11:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.465984 15m : 0.622751 |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bull_medium_confirmed 5m_regime : bull_low_confirmed |
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5127 | r1h: 0.851% · r4h: 1.948% · r1d: -1.05% · r3d: -5.66% · ema21_slope: -0.0689% · dist_ema21: 0.542% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4912 | rs_1h: 0.703% · rs_4h: 1.958% · rs_1d: -2.30% · rs_3d: -6.02% · beta_24h: 1.378 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4584 | rvol_20: 1.34× · zscore_50: 0.252 · trend: 30.95% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4658 | ADX: 18.1 (weak) · Chop: 61.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.081% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.634% | 1.1R | -0.413% | 0.7R | 1.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.634% | 1.1R | -0.803% | 1.4R | 0.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.634% | 1.1R | -1.364% | 2.3R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.634% | 1.1R | -2.534% | 4.3R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.634% | 1.1R | -2.541% | 4.4R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
47%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | near -3.3ATR | — | 0.49 | bear_high | -3.91% | -0.99 | 29/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | — | 0.62 | range_high | +0.59% | -0.74 | 30/07 08:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | near 0.3ATR | 0.52 | range_medium | +0.73% | -0.00 | 30/07 11:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | range_medium |
31%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | — | 0.63 | range_low | +0.67% | +0.12 | 30/07 11:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 23b | — | 6.057×ATR | p81 | -1.192×ATR | p88 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 20b | — | 5.376×ATR | p88 | +0.004×ATR | p1 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 2b | — | 2.288×ATR | p53 | +0.755×ATR | p67 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 10b | — | 4.491×ATR | p92 | +0.826×ATR | p73 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64603.7
0.00336308
64821
0.465984
64325.9
0.00769615
64821
0.622751
64258.8
0.00809388
64779
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52.761
196
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0.44
-0.2839
0.4193
0.5562
0.7752
0.2539
-9.6879
3.2976
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12:09 | 54.70400000 | 0% |
| 2 | 12:16 | 54.66800000 | -0.066% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 09:05:00 | 53.824 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 09:35:00 | 54.092 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 09:50:00 | 53.901 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 10:20:00 | 54.113 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 11:35:00 | 52.876 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 12:25:00 | 53.512 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 12:40:00 | 52.884 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 13:20:00 | 52.761 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 14:55:00 | 53.584 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 16:05:00 | 54.731 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 00:30:00 | 53.712 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 01:45:00 | 54.3 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 03:45:00 | 54.113 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 04:15:00 | 53.372 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 08:00:00 | 53.559 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 10:15:00 | 54.113 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 11:30:00 | 52.876 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 12:15:00 | 53.512 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 13:15:00 | 52.761 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 16:00:00 | 54.731 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 13:00:00 | 54 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 16:00:00 | 55.802 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 04:00:00 | 54.003 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 06:00:00 | 55.542 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 14:00:00 | 55.475 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 20:00:00 | 53.061 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 01:00:00 | 54.3 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 04:00:00 | 53.372 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 13:00:00 | 52.761 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 16:00:00 | 54.731 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 54.704 | 55.0232 | 54.0657 | 2 | 78.296 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 55.0232 - 54.704 = 0.3192
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 54.704 - 54.0657 = 0.6383
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.6383 / 0.3192 = 1.9997
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1371.2014 | 100 | 25.0658 | 14.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.3192 = 25.06
Taille de position USD = 25.06 x 54.704 = 1370.88
Donc, tu peux acheter 25.06 avec un stoploss a 55.0232
Avec un position size USD de 1370.88$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 25.06 x 0.3192 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 25.06 x 0.6383 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.17 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.58 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.58 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.8025 % | 137.53 % | 10 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 54.704 | 55.0232 | 54.0657 | 2 | 78.296 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 55.0232 - 54.704 = 0.3192
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 54.704 - 54.0657 = 0.6383
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.6383 / 0.3192 = 1.9997
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.634% | 1.1R | -0.413% | 0.7R | 1.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.634% | 1.1R | -0.803% | 1.4R | 0.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.634% | 1.1R | -1.364% | 2.3R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.634% | 1.1R | -2.534% | 4.3R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.634% | 1.1R | -2.541% | 4.4R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
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