Long Trade on CRV (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 1792.62 CRV at 0.215$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2258 (5.17 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2102 (2.1 %)
30 Jul 2026 at 15:07:30
hyperliquid
CRV
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
30 Jul 2026 15:07
→ 23:00
· 7 hours
Position
Entry 0.2147$
Qty 1792.6167 CRV
Size 384.8569$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)
Risk Setup
TP 0.2258 (+5.17%)
TP $ 19.9$
SL 0.2102 (-2.1%)
SL $ 8.07$
RR 2.47
Status
loss
PnL
-2.10%
/ -8.07$
MAE -3.33%
MFE +0.23%
0.1R
expires
31 Jul 03:07
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 53750)
#2 / 44
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/07/2026 15:00
score du 30/07/2026 15:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6016
Quality Score
0.675
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#2 / 44
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
78 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.10 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#2 / 44
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
78 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.10 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | 0.53×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 19.09×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
1.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/07 15:00
30/07 15:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 29/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 30/07 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 30/07 14:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #1171
Voir snapshot →
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
bull
— |
expansion
0 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.67
Transition risk :
0.33
Score contribution (this trade)
0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.80
Snapshot évalué :
30/07 15:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
30/07/2026 15:00
Score brut
0.6753
Score SMA
0.5137
Rank
#2
/ 44
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6016
Rank Norm SMA
0.6899
Calculé le
30/07/2026 15:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6154 | r1h: 1.048% · r4h: 1.613% · r1d: 1.06% · r3d: 4.80% · ema21_slope: 0.0512% · dist_ema21: 1.684% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6351 | rs_1h: 1.259% · rs_4h: 1.530% · rs_1d: 0.71% · rs_3d: 5.03% · beta_24h: 1.164 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.8085 | rvol_20: 2.75× · zscore_50: 2.043 · trend: 33.85% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4681 | ADX: 11.7 (weak) · Chop: 54.2 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.879% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.096%
(0.0045)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.233% | 0.1R | -0.587% | 0.3R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.233% | 0.1R | -0.722% | 0.3R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.233% | 0.1R | -1.323% | 0.6R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.233% | 0.1R | -2.445% | 1.2R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.233% | 0.1R | -3.326% | 1.6R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.233% | 0.1R | -4.262% | 2.0R | 0.1× | 288 |
computed 3 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.34
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 32% | early | — | — | 0.68 | bear_high | -4.05% | +0.23 | 29/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | — | — | 0.48 | bull_high | +0.76% | +0.18 | 30/07 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | bull_high_confirmed |
62%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | — | 0.47 | range_medium | +0.62% | +0.17 | 30/07 14:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion | bull_medium_confirmed |
60%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | near -0.6ATR | — | range_low | +0.43% | +0.19 | 30/07 14:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 16b | — | 1.685×ATR | p0 | +0.29×ATR | p35 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 5b | — | 2.513×ATR | p9 | +0.588×ATR | p69 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 2b | — | 2.469×ATR | p60 | +1.601×ATR | p96 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 10b | — | 5.04×ATR | p92 | +1.925×ATR | p97 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.783
- reason: up_bo width=1.96×ATR dur=35b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.21022725
- tp_price: 0.22584688
- atr:
- score: 0.78301839746774
- expires_at: 2026-07-31T07:07:22.555810
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.78301839746774
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0544
- obi_top10 : 0.027
- micro_price : 0.21492681
- spread_pct : 0.046533
- mid_price : 0.21495
- bid_wall_price : 0.214
- bid_wall_size : 1006770.4
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.216
- ask_wall_size : 970826.4
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0544
- obi_top5_std : 0
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6988
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.2122
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.20862
- balance_zone_mid:
0.21041
- balance_zone_start_time:
1785315600
- balance_zone_end_time:
1785438000
- balance_zone_width_atr:
1.9589
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
35
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.783
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1785434400
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.2122
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.7714
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.3625
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
7
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
9
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 0.00182751 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
35
inside_close_ratio
0.7714
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
1.3625
Signaux confirmants (37)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15:07 | 0.21469000 | -0.005% |
| 2 | 15:13 | 0.21469000 | -0.005% |
| 3 | 15:19 | 0.21419000 | -0.238% |
| 4 | 15:25 | 0.21419000 | -0.238% |
| 5 | 15:31 | 0.21419000 | -0.238% |
| 6 | 15:37 | 0.21396000 | -0.345% |
| 7 | 15:43 | 0.21396000 | -0.345% |
| 8 | 15:49 | 0.21384000 | -0.401% |
| 9 | 15:55 | 0.21384000 | -0.401% |
| 10 | 16:02 | 0.21384000 | -0.401% |
| 11 | 16:07 | 0.21455000 | -0.07% |
| 12 | 16:13 | 0.21455000 | -0.07% |
| 13 | 16:19 | 0.21390000 | -0.373% |
| 14 | 16:25 | 0.21390000 | -0.373% |
| 15 | 16:31 | 0.21390000 | -0.373% |
| 16 | 16:37 | 0.21435000 | -0.163% |
| 17 | 16:43 | 0.21435000 | -0.163% |
| 18 | 16:49 | 0.21433000 | -0.172% |
| 19 | 16:55 | 0.21433000 | -0.172% |
| 20 | 17:02 | 0.21433000 | -0.172% |
| 21 | 17:07 | 0.21336000 | -0.624% |
| 22 | 17:13 | 0.21336000 | -0.624% |
| 23 | 17:19 | 0.21337000 | -0.619% |
| 24 | 17:25 | 0.21337000 | -0.619% |
| 25 | 17:31 | 0.21337000 | -0.619% |
| 26 | 17:37 | 0.21331000 | -0.647% |
| 27 | 17:43 | 0.21331000 | -0.647% |
| 28 | 17:49 | 0.21239000 | -1.076% |
| 29 | 17:55 | 0.21239000 | -1.076% |
| 30 | 18:02 | 0.21239000 | -1.076% |
| 31 | 19:07 | 0.21230000 | -1.118% |
| 32 | 19:13 | 0.21230000 | -1.118% |
| 33 | 19:19 | 0.21268000 | -0.941% |
| 34 | 19:25 | 0.21268000 | -0.941% |
| 35 | 19:31 | 0.21268000 | -0.941% |
| 36 | 19:37 | 0.21300000 | -0.792% |
| 37 | 19:43 | 0.21300000 | -0.792% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6988ms
Confidence avant OB :
78%
→
78%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.054
avg 0.054
± 0.000
OBI Top 10
0.027
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.2150
Micro Price
0.2149
Spread
0.0465%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.2140
Size
1,006,770.40
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.2160
Size
970,826.40
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2147 | 0.2102 | 0.2258 | 2.47 | 0.262 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.2147
- Stop Loss: 0.2102
- Take Profit: 0.2258
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2102 - 0.2147 = -0.0045
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2147 - 0.2258 = -0.0111
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0111 / -0.0045 = 2.4667
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 384.8569 | 100 | 1792.6167 | 4.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0045
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0045 = -1777.78
Taille de position USD = -1777.78 x 0.2147 = -381.69
Donc, tu peux acheter -1777.78 avec un stoploss a 0.2102
Avec un position size USD de -381.69$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1777.78 x -0.0045 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1777.78 x -0.0111 = 19.73
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.73$
Résumé
- Taille de position -1777.78
- Taille de position USD -381.69
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 19.73
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4667
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.17 % | 19.9 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.1 % | 8.07 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.07 $ | -2.10 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.3987 % | 114.45 % | 5 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2147 | 0.2102 | 0.2258 | 2.47 | 0.262 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.2147
- Stop Loss: 0.2102
- Take Profit: 0.2258
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2102 - 0.2147 = -0.0045
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2147 - 0.2258 = -0.0111
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0111 / -0.0045 = 2.4667
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.096%
(0.0045)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.233% | 0.1R | -0.587% | 0.3R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.233% | 0.1R | -0.722% | 0.3R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.233% | 0.1R | -1.323% | 0.6R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.233% | 0.1R | -2.445% | 1.2R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.233% | 0.1R | -3.326% | 1.6R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.233% | 0.1R | -4.262% | 2.0R | 0.1× | 288 |
computed 3 months ago
Commentaires
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