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Short Trade on KAITO

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30 Jul 2026 at 15:10:04 hyperliquid

Short Trade on KAITO (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 78.22 KAITO at 1.062$ per unit. Take profit: 1.0357 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 1.1646 (9.63 %)

KAITO SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 30 Jul 2026 15:10 → 21:05 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 1.0623$

Qty 78.2184 KAITO

Size 83.0914$ (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 1.0357 (+2.5%)

TP $ 2.08$

SL 1.1646 (-9.63%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.26

Status loss PnL -4.90% / -4.07$ MAE -7.30% MFE +0.10% 0.0R expires 30 Jul 21:10 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 53775)
#44 / 44
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/07/2026 15:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.2942

Quality Score
0.266
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#44 / 44
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-4
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
9.63 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#44 / 44
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-4
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
9.63 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear 0.82×ATR
4h clear 0.97×ATR
1d clear 2.65×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down mid OK
4h ↓ down mid OK
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+0
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
N/A
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+0
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
N/A
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
11.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/07 15:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

29/07 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

30/07 12:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

30/07 14:00

Score : -4 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #1171
Voir snapshot →
range compression range_bound
Strategic range

—

compression

0

Operational range

—

range

0

Tactical bull

—

expansion

0

Micro —

—

MTF alignment : 0.65
Stability : 0.67
Transition risk : 0.33
Score contribution (this trade) 0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score —
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m —
1h —
4h —
24h —
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m — —
4h — —
24h — —
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : —
Universe : —
Regime confidence : 0.80
Snapshot évalué : 30/07 15:00 · env range_bound

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Calculé le 30/07/2026 15:00
Score brut
0.2660
Score SMA
0.4822
Rank
#44 / 44
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2942
Rank Norm SMA
0.5111
Calculé le
30/07/2026 15:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.0560 r1h: -1.574% · r4h: -4.544% · r1d: -20.80% · r3d: -14.27% · ema21_slope: -0.6360% · dist_ema21: -7.503%
Force Relative 25% 0.1048 rs_1h: -1.363% · rs_4h: -4.627% · rs_1d: -21.15% · rs_3d: -14.04% · beta_24h: -1.337
Volume 20% 0.1610 rvol_20: 0.18× · zscore_50: -0.845 · trend: -36.96%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8358 ADX: 40.3 (trend) · Chop: 32.9 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.6539 ATR%: 4.038% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -9.630% (0.1023)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -3.709% 0.4R 0.0× 12
2h +0.104% 0.0R -3.709% 0.4R 0.0× 24
4h +0.104% 0.0R -6.392% 0.7R 0.0× 48
6h ★ +0.104% 0.0R -7.305% 0.8R 0.0× 72
8h +0.104% 0.0R -7.644% 0.8R 0.0× 96
12h +0.104% 0.0R -10.901% 1.1R 0.0× 144

computed 3 months ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.03
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind volatile_reversal bull_high
61%
noisy_chop 38% early — — 0.43 bear_high -4.05% +1.00 29/07 20:00
4h ↑ up range range moderate balanced expansion_after_compression bull_high
55%
noisy_chop 44% mid — — 0.05 bull_high +0.76% -0.67 30/07 12:00
1h ↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition strong balanced expansion bear_high
57%
noisy_chop 53% mid — — -0.07 range_medium +0.62% -0.96 30/07 14:00
15m ↓ down range range moderate fading compression bear_high
55%
noisy_chop 42% late near -2.1ATR — — range_low +0.43% -0.22 30/07 14:30
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 1b — 2.131×ATR p0 -0.207×ATR p20
4h ↓ down mid 6b — 3.591×ATR p32 -0.985×ATR p80
1h ↓ down mid 2b — 1.909×ATR p21 -0.886×ATR p71
15m ↓ down late 9b — 4.22×ATR p63 -1.376×ATR p88

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 1.16457769
  2. tp_price: 1.0357425
  3. atr: 0.04091107
  4. expires_at: 2026-07-31T01:10:04+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 45
  2. total: 45
  3. score: 0.056
  4. delta_2h: -0.3231
  5. extension_atr: -1.84
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.2942
  9. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
1.0623 1.1646 1.0357 0.26 0.221
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 1.0623
  • Stop Loss: 1.1646
  • Take Profit: 1.0357

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 1.1646 - 1.0623 = 0.1023

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 1.0623 - 1.0357 = 0.0266

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0266 / 0.1023 = 0.26

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
83.0914 83.0914 78.2184 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.1023

Taille de position = 8 / 0.1023 = 78.2

Taille de position USD = 78.2 x 1.0623 = 83.07

Donc, tu peux acheter 78.2 avec un stoploss a 1.1646

Avec un position size USD de 83.07$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 78.2 x 0.1023 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 78.2 x 0.0266 = 2.08

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.08$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 78.2
  • Taille de position USD 83.07
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 2.08
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.26

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 2.08 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
9.63 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-4.07 $ -4.90
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-7.3049 % 75.86 % 1
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
1.0623 1.1646 1.0357 0.26 0.221
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 1.0623
  • Stop Loss: 1.1646
  • Take Profit: 1.0357

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 1.1646 - 1.0623 = 0.1023

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 1.0623 - 1.0357 = 0.0266

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0266 / 0.1023 = 0.26

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -9.630% (0.1023)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -3.709% 0.4R 0.0× 12
2h +0.104% 0.0R -3.709% 0.4R 0.0× 24
4h +0.104% 0.0R -6.392% 0.7R 0.0× 48
6h ★ +0.104% 0.0R -7.305% 0.8R 0.0× 72
8h +0.104% 0.0R -7.644% 0.8R 0.0× 96
12h +0.104% 0.0R -10.901% 1.1R 0.0× 144

computed 3 months ago

Commentaires

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