Long Trade on AAVE (CatchTheWave)
With 22.04 AAVE at 98.779$ per unit. Take profit: 99.5051 (0.74 %) & Stop Loss: 98.416 (0.37 %)
Long Trade on AAVE (CatchTheWave)
With 22.04 AAVE at 98.779$ per unit. Take profit: 99.5051 (0.74 %) & Stop Loss: 98.416 (0.37 %)
Position
Entry 98.779$
Qty 22.0366 AAVE
Size 2176.7544$ (margin 100$) (leverage 22)
Risk Setup
TP 99.5051 (+0.74%)
TP $ 16$
SL 98.416 (-0.37%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5395
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.74×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.66×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 0.62×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 29/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 30/07 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 30/07 16:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.588022 15m : 0.622781 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5389 | r1h: -0.225% · r4h: -0.856% · r1d: 4.17% · r3d: -0.23% · ema21_slope: 0.1317% · dist_ema21: 0.908% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4923 | rs_1h: -0.325% · rs_4h: -0.926% · rs_1d: 2.06% · rs_3d: -0.07% · beta_24h: 2.008 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1283 | rvol_20: 0.35× · zscore_50: -1.076 · trend: -53.64% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6022 | ADX: 20.1 (weak) · Chop: 46.3 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.178% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.392% | 1.1R | -0.161% | 0.4R | 2.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.912% | 2.5R | -0.161% | 0.4R | 5.7× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.307% | 3.6R | -0.161% | 0.4R | 8.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.755% | 7.5R | -0.161% | 0.4R | 17.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.755% | 7.5R | -1.042% | 2.8R | 2.6× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | — | 0.72 | bear_high | -4.05% | +0.29 | 29/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | near -0.7ATR | 0.53 | bull_high | +0.76% | +0.01 | 30/07 16:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | compression | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | near -0.7ATR | 0.56 | bull_medium | +0.80% | +0.30 | 30/07 16:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | strong | balanced | compression | bull_medium |
58%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | near 0.5ATR | — | — | range_low | +0.56% | -0.00 | 30/07 16:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 12b | — | 2.223×ATR | p0 | +0.535×ATR | p52 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 5b | — | 2.642×ATR | p29 | +0.466×ATR | p45 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 20b | — | 4.544×ATR | p86 | +0.186×ATR | p18 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 2.081×ATR | p10 | -0.347×ATR | p33 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64794.7
-0.000782974
64744
0.588022
64407
0.00523135
64744
0.622781
64321
0.00797505
64834
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[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 4
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94.024
179
0.553
0.6698
0.2732
0.2689
0.2767
1
0.4526
0.4604
0.3101
0.0814
0.7261
0.716
0.1293
0.0576
1
0.7834
1.0681
0.4
0.6
-1
20
1
0.4622
0.713
4.3486
0.5
1.2294
1.9625
1.0681
0.7782
0.1914
0.08
-0.2499
0.5206
0.5035
0.8914
0.716
-2.929
7.3825
1
0
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 14:15:00 | 98.442 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 15:00:00 | 98.204 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 16:10:00 | 100.38 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 16:55:00 | 100.49 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 17:10:00 | 99.6 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 18:15:00 | 99.296 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 18:55:00 | 99.102 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 19:20:00 | 100.43 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 20:15:00 | 99.08 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 21:00:00 | 98.692 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 06:45:00 | 95.324 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 09:00:00 | 98.116 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 10:15:00 | 97.258 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 12:15:00 | 99.53 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 14:00:00 | 99.829 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 15:00:00 | 98.204 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 16:45:00 | 100.49 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 18:45:00 | 99.102 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 19:15:00 | 100.43 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 21:00:00 | 98.692 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 01:00:00 | 96.765 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 06:00:00 | 98.308 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-28 09:00:00 | 96.424 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 00:00:00 | 102.1 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 04:00:00 | 97.461 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 09:00:00 | 99.437 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 11:00:00 | 96.775 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 18:00:00 | 100.63 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 00:00:00 | 94.024 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 16:00:00 | 100.49 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 98.779 | 98.416 | 99.5051 | 2 | 129.38 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 98.416 - 98.779 = -0.363
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 98.779 - 99.5051 = -0.7261
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.7261 / -0.363 = 2.0003
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2176.7544 | 100 | 22.0366 | 22.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.363 = -22.04
Taille de position USD = -22.04 x 98.779 = -2177.09
Donc, tu peux acheter -22.04 avec un stoploss a 98.416
Avec un position size USD de -2177.09$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -22.04 x -0.363 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -22.04 x -0.7261 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.74 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.37 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.74 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.161 % | 43.81 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 98.779 | 98.416 | 99.5051 | 2 | 129.38 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 98.416 - 98.779 = -0.363
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 98.779 - 99.5051 = -0.7261
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.7261 / -0.363 = 2.0003
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.392% | 1.1R | -0.161% | 0.4R | 2.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.912% | 2.5R | -0.161% | 0.4R | 5.7× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.307% | 3.6R | -0.161% | 0.4R | 8.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.755% | 7.5R | -0.161% | 0.4R | 17.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.755% | 7.5R | -1.042% | 2.8R | 2.6× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
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