Long Trade on ONDO (CatchTheWave)
With 3770.19 ONDO at 0.418$ per unit. Take profit: 0.4222 (1.03 %) & Stop Loss: 0.4158 (0.5 %)
Long Trade on ONDO (CatchTheWave)
With 3770.19 ONDO at 0.418$ per unit. Take profit: 0.4222 (1.03 %) & Stop Loss: 0.4158 (0.5 %)
Position
Entry 0.4179$
Qty 3770.1882 ONDO
Size 1575.6747$ (margin 100$) (leverage 16)
Risk Setup
TP 0.4222 (+1.03%)
TP $ 16.21$
SL 0.4158 (-0.5%)
SL $ 7.92$
RR 2.05
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8528
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | -2.15×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.26×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 29/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 30/07 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 30/07 16:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.501822 15m : 0.520734 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_high 5m_regime : range_low |
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6449 | r1h: -0.204% · r4h: 0.869% · r1d: 6.49% · r3d: 4.13% · ema21_slope: 0.2162% · dist_ema21: 1.289% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5945 | rs_1h: -0.305% · rs_4h: 0.800% · rs_1d: 4.39% · rs_3d: 4.29% · beta_24h: 2.411 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1646 | rvol_20: 0.10× · zscore_50: -0.904 · trend: -31.34% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6464 | ADX: 33.6 (trend) · Chop: 54.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.648% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.586% | 1.2R | -0.469% | 0.9R | 1.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.617% | 1.2R | -0.469% | 0.9R | 1.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.617% | 1.2R | -1.218% | 2.4R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.617% | 1.2R | -3.230% | 6.4R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.617% | 1.2R | -4.049% | 8.1R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
56%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | near 0.3ATR | 0.65 | bear_high | -4.05% | +0.98 | 29/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | — | near -2.1ATR | 0.59 | bull_high | +0.76% | +0.38 | 30/07 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | — | — | 0.60 | bull_medium | +0.80% | +0.26 | 30/07 16:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | — | — | — | range_low | +0.56% | +0.00 | 30/07 16:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 36b | — | 4.827×ATR | p65 | +0.759×ATR | p74 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 15b | — | 3.027×ATR | p40 | +0.641×ATR | p64 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 1.186×ATR | p2 | +0.188×ATR | p21 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 15b | — | 2.722×ATR | p30 | +0.012×ATR | p1 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64794.7
-0.000782974
64744
0.501822
64407
0.00523135
64744
0.520734
64321
0.00797505
64834
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0.41178
195
0.7156
0.5274
0.3517
0.2365
0.4458
0.5773
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0.4825
0.5729
0.8463
0.0809
0.0679
1
0.738
1.6614
0.5
0.5
1
8
1
0.5269
0.3873
4.0157
0.55
0.5773
2.3182
1.6614
0.2849
0.3608
0.52
-0.0442
0.4718
0.4554
0.8459
0.8463
-1.1556
6.3632
1
0
1
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 15:20:00 | 0.42146 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 16:05:00 | 0.42707 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 16:45:00 | 0.41178 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 17:25:00 | 0.42043 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 18:25:00 | 0.42153 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 18:55:00 | 0.41675 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 19:25:00 | 0.4249 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 19:55:00 | 0.42046 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 20:00:00 | 0.42345 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 20:55:00 | 0.41778 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 02:15:00 | 0.41125 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 04:45:00 | 0.4 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 10:00:00 | 0.42352 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 11:15:00 | 0.41369 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 12:00:00 | 0.42787 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 16:00:00 | 0.42707 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 16:45:00 | 0.41178 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 18:45:00 | 0.41675 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 19:15:00 | 0.4249 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 20:45:00 | 0.41778 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 10:00:00 | 0.38416 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 16:00:00 | 0.41394 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 04:00:00 | 0.3922 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 09:00:00 | 0.40914 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 16:00:00 | 0.39087 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 19:00:00 | 0.41172 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 02:00:00 | 0.41125 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 04:00:00 | 0.4 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 12:00:00 | 0.42787 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 16:00:00 | 0.41178 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.4179 | 0.4158 | 0.4222 | 2.05 | 0.3707 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.4158 - 0.4179 = -0.0021
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.4179 - 0.4222 = -0.0043
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0043 / -0.0021 = 2.0476
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1575.6747 | 100 | 3770.1882 | 16.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0021 = -3809.52
Taille de position USD = -3809.52 x 0.4179 = -1592
Donc, tu peux acheter -3809.52 avec un stoploss a 0.4158
Avec un position size USD de -1592$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -3809.52 x -0.0021 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -3809.52 x -0.0043 = 16.38
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.38$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.03 % | 16.21 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.5 % | 7.92 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.92 $ | -0.50 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5384 % | 107.14 % | 8 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.4179 | 0.4158 | 0.4222 | 2.05 | 0.3707 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.4158 - 0.4179 = -0.0021
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.4179 - 0.4222 = -0.0043
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0043 / -0.0021 = 2.0476
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.586% | 1.2R | -0.469% | 0.9R | 1.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.617% | 1.2R | -0.469% | 0.9R | 1.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.617% | 1.2R | -1.218% | 2.4R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.617% | 1.2R | -3.230% | 6.4R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.617% | 1.2R | -4.049% | 8.1R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
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