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Long Trade on MON

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30 Jul 2026 at 20:10:07 hyperliquid

Long Trade on MON (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 14395.74 MON at 0.0217$ per unit. Take profit: 0.0223 (2.53 %) & Stop Loss: 0.0212 (2.53 %)

MON LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 30 Jul 2026 20:10 → 22:10 · 1 hour

Position

Entry 0.02175$

Qty 14395.7389 MON

Size 313.1361$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)

Risk Setup

TP 0.0223 (+2.53%)

TP $ 7.92$

SL 0.0212 (-2.53%)

SL $ 7.92$

RR 1

Status loss PnL -0.97% / -3.04$ MAE -1.03% MFE +0.38% 0.2R expires 30 Jul 22:20 Exit rank_decay: long rank=27 > threshold=10/42

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 53994)
#4 / 43
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/07/2026 20:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.8154

Quality Score
0.622
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#4 / 43
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
95 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-2
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.53 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#4 / 43
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
95 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.53 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h near -0.35×ATR
4h clear 2.73×ATR
1d clear 7.60×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up late BLOCKED
4h ↑ up late BLOCKED
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+0
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
N/A
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+0
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
N/A
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
1.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/07 20:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3)

29/07 20:00

Operational (4H) : range_high (0)

30/07 16:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

30/07 19:00

Score : -2 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #1176
Voir snapshot →
range compression range_bound
Strategic range

—

compression

0

Operational range

—

compression

0

Tactical range

—

range

0

Micro —

—

MTF alignment : 0.65
Stability : 0.63
Transition risk : 0.37
Score contribution (this trade) 0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score —
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m —
1h —
4h —
24h —
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m — —
4h — —
24h — —
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : —
Universe : —
Regime confidence : 0.78
Snapshot évalué : 30/07 20:00 · env range_bound

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Calculé le 30/07/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.6216
Score SMA
0.5522
Rank
#4 / 43
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8154
Rank Norm SMA
0.7046
Calculé le
30/07/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6974 r1h: 0.757% · r4h: 2.229% · r1d: 4.96% · r3d: 8.34% · ema21_slope: 0.1971% · dist_ema21: 2.459%
Force Relative 25% 0.6809 rs_1h: 0.812% · rs_4h: 2.193% · rs_1d: 3.66% · rs_3d: 6.68% · beta_24h: 0.862
Volume 20% 0.1837 rvol_20: 0.24× · zscore_50: -0.679 · trend: -28.24%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7027 ADX: 24.3 (weak) · Chop: 32.2 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.039% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 2.2h) Initial Risk: -2.529% (0.0006)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.377% 0.2R -0.423% 0.2R 0.9× 12
2h +0.377% 0.2R -1.030% 0.4R 0.4× 24
2.2h ★ +0.377% 0.2R -1.035% 0.4R 0.4× 25
4h +0.377% 0.2R -1.595% 0.6R 0.2× 48
8h +0.377% 0.2R -2.745% 1.1R 0.1× 96
12h +0.377% 0.2R -4.078% 1.6R 0.1× 144

computed 3 months ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.41
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range strong balanced compression bear_high
52%
noisy_chop 32% early — — — bear_high -4.05% -0.70 29/07 20:00
4h ↔ neutral range range moderate fading normal range_high
40%
noisy_chop 36% late — — 0.55 bull_high +0.86% +0.59 30/07 16:00
1h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate explosive normal bull_high
67%
noisy_chop 53% late — near -0.3ATR 0.37 range_medium +0.69% +0.39 30/07 19:00
15m ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate balanced normal bull_medium
68%
noisy_chop 53% early — — 0.60 range_low +0.46% +0.24 30/07 19:45
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 23b — 3.704×ATR p31 -0.009×ATR p1
4h ↑ up late 4b — 2.438×ATR p24 +1.216×ATR p90
1h ↑ up late 5b — 2.959×ATR p57 +1.299×ATR p89
15m ↑ up early 4b — 1.594×ATR p7 +0.654×ATR p57

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.02119628
  2. tp_price: 0.0222958
  3. atr: 0.00022229
  4. expires_at: 2026-07-31T06:10:07+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 3
  2. total: 43
  3. score: 0.6974
  4. delta_2h: 0.004
  5. extension_atr: 1.79
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.8154
  9. confidence: 0.952

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.02175 0.0212 0.0223 1 0.01837
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.02175
  • Stop Loss: 0.0212
  • Take Profit: 0.0223

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.0212 - 0.02175 = -0.00055

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.02175 - 0.0223 = -0.00055

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00055 / -0.00055 = 1

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
313.1361 100 14395.7389 3.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.00055

Taille de position = 8 / -0.00055 = -14545.45

Taille de position USD = -14545.45 x 0.02175 = -316.36

Donc, tu peux acheter -14545.45 avec un stoploss a 0.0212

Avec un position size USD de -316.36$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -14545.45 x -0.00055 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -14545.45 x -0.00055 = 8

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 8$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -14545.45
  • Taille de position USD -316.36
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 8
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.53 % 7.92 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
2.53 % 7.92 $
PNL PNL %
-3.04 $ -0.97
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.0299 % 40.73 % 2
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.02175 0.0212 0.0223 1 0.01837
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.02175
  • Stop Loss: 0.0212
  • Take Profit: 0.0223

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.0212 - 0.02175 = -0.00055

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.02175 - 0.0223 = -0.00055

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00055 / -0.00055 = 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 2.2h) Initial Risk: -2.529% (0.0006)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.377% 0.2R -0.423% 0.2R 0.9× 12
2h +0.377% 0.2R -1.030% 0.4R 0.4× 24
2.2h ★ +0.377% 0.2R -1.035% 0.4R 0.4× 25
4h +0.377% 0.2R -1.595% 0.6R 0.2× 48
8h +0.377% 0.2R -2.745% 1.1R 0.1× 96
12h +0.377% 0.2R -4.078% 1.6R 0.1× 144

computed 3 months ago

Commentaires

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