Long Trade on XMR (CatchTheWave)
With 5.52 XMR at 360.57$ per unit. Take profit: 363.4705 (0.8 %) & Stop Loss: 359.1197 (0.4 %)
Long Trade on XMR (CatchTheWave)
With 5.52 XMR at 360.57$ per unit. Take profit: 363.4705 (0.8 %) & Stop Loss: 359.1197 (0.4 %)
Position
Entry 360.57$
Qty 5.5163 XMR
Size 1988.9986$ (margin 100$) (leverage 20)
Risk Setup
TP 363.4705 (+0.8%)
TP $ 16$
SL 359.1197 (-0.4%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8313
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.65×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.71×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.92×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 29/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 30/07 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 30/07 19:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.086867 15m : 0.254908 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : bear_low_confirmed |
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Tactical |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5563 | r1h: -1.124% · r4h: -0.270% · r1d: 2.30% · r3d: 4.54% · ema21_slope: 0.1305% · dist_ema21: 0.596% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4857 | rs_1h: -1.068% · rs_4h: -0.306% · rs_1d: 1.00% · rs_3d: 2.89% · beta_24h: 0.998 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.9726 | rvol_20: 3.51× · zscore_50: 3.188 · trend: 79.41% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6838 | ADX: 27.9 (trend) · Chop: 44.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.906% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.130% | 0.3R | -0.710% | 1.8R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.225% | 0.6R | -0.710% | 1.8R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.225% | 0.6R | -1.193% | 3.0R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.225% | 0.6R | -2.590% | 6.4R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.225% | 0.6R | -3.059% | 7.6R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | — | 0.51 | bear_high | -4.05% | +0.76 | 29/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | near -0.7ATR | 0.32 | bull_high | +0.86% | +0.50 | 30/07 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion | bull_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 46% | early | — | — | 0.35 | range_medium | +0.69% | +0.18 | 30/07 19:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_medium |
64%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | near -1.5ATR | — | 0.29 | range_low | +0.46% | +0.02 | 30/07 19:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 5b | — | 0.933×ATR | p0 | +0.607×ATR | p72 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 14b | — | 5.612×ATR | p90 | +1.513×ATR | p98 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 1b | — | 1.454×ATR | p0 | +0.193×ATR | p18 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 7b | — | 3.589×ATR | p78 | -1.396×ATR | p91 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64805.4
0.000872286
64862
0.086867
64555.3
0.00474974
64862
0.254908
64375.6
0.00735217
64849
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368
197
0.7257
0.5835
0.3604
0.2947
0.4142
1
0.3498
0.5604
0.6411
0.916
0.6739
0.7166
0.1508
0.1134
1
0.1346
1.4677
0.4
0.6
1
2
1
0.4106
0.3864
4.5532
0.65
1.9534
4.368
1.4677
0.4701
0.1332
0.86
0.5291
0.7059
0.6475
0.8453
0.7166
-3.0364
7.6779
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (7)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20:10 | 360.57000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 20:16 | 360.19000000 | -0.105% |
| 3 | 20:22 | 359.85000000 | -0.2% |
| 4 | 20:28 | 360.23000000 | -0.094% |
| 5 | 20:34 | 360.42000000 | -0.042% |
| 6 | 20:40 | 360.26000000 | -0.086% |
| 7 | 20:58 | 359.70000000 | -0.241% |
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 16:00:00 | 359.67 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 16:45:00 | 356.48 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 17:25:00 | 356.06 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 19:20:00 | 359.67 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 20:10:00 | 364.91 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 21:20:00 | 364.53 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 22:10:00 | 368 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 23:45:00 | 359.98 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 06:30:00 | 356.06 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 08:15:00 | 354.06 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 10:00:00 | 359.03 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 11:00:00 | 356.1 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 13:45:00 | 361.86 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 14:45:00 | 355.42 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 16:00:00 | 359.67 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 17:15:00 | 356.06 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 22:00:00 | 368 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 23:45:00 | 359.98 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 02:00:00 | 340.38 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 09:00:00 | 344.7 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-28 15:00:00 | 334.89 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 07:00:00 | 351.69 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 12:00:00 | 345.39 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 18:00:00 | 355.19 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 21:00:00 | 349.99 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 13:00:00 | 361.86 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 14:00:00 | 355.42 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 22:00:00 | 368 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 360.57 | 359.1197 | 363.4705 | 2 | 643.09 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 359.1197 - 360.57 = -1.4503
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 360.57 - 363.4705 = -2.9005
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -2.9005 / -1.4503 = 1.9999
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1988.9986 | 100 | 5.5163 | 20.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -1.4503 = -5.52
Taille de position USD = -5.52 x 360.57 = -1990.35
Donc, tu peux acheter -5.52 avec un stoploss a 359.1197
Avec un position size USD de -1990.35$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -5.52 x -1.4503 = 8.01
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.01$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -5.52 x -2.9005 = 16.01
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.8 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.4 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.40 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.71 % | 176.53 % | 5 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 360.57 | 359.1197 | 363.4705 | 2 | 643.09 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 359.1197 - 360.57 = -1.4503
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 360.57 - 363.4705 = -2.9005
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -2.9005 / -1.4503 = 1.9999
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.130% | 0.3R | -0.710% | 1.8R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.225% | 0.6R | -0.710% | 1.8R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.225% | 0.6R | -1.193% | 3.0R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.225% | 0.6R | -2.590% | 6.4R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.225% | 0.6R | -3.059% | 7.6R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
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