Short Trade on ZRO (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 328.59 ZRO at 0.746$ per unit. Take profit: 0.7273 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.7703 (3.27 %)
30 Jul 2026 at 22:10:05
hyperliquid
ZRO
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
30 Jul 2026 22:10
→ 22:20
· 9 minutes
Position
Entry 0.7459$
Qty 328.5866 ZRO
Size 245.1026$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.7273 (+2.49%)
TP $ 6.11$
SL 0.7703 (-3.27%)
SL $ 8.02$
RR 0.76
Status
loss
PnL
-0.42%
/ -1.03$
MAE -0.88%
MFE +1.69%
0.5R
expires
30 Jul 22:20
Exit
rank_decay: short rank=31 <= threshold=32/42
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 54059)
#31 / 42
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/07/2026 22:00
score du 30/07/2026 22:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1287
Quality Score
0.502
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#31 / 42
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.27 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#31 / 42
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.27 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
3/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -1.90×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.53×ATR |
| 1d | near | -1.24×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+0
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
N/A
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+0
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
N/A
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
1.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/07 22:00
30/07 22:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 30/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 30/07 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 30/07 21:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #1178
Voir snapshot →
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.63
Transition risk :
0.37
Score contribution (this trade)
0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.78
Snapshot évalué :
30/07 22:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
30/07/2026 22:00
Score brut
0.5022
Score SMA
0.4109
Rank
#31
/ 42
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1287
Rank Norm SMA
0.1077
Calculé le
30/07/2026 22:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3078 | r1h: -1.243% · r4h: -1.414% · r1d: -2.22% · r3d: -12.92% · ema21_slope: -0.0640% · dist_ema21: -2.035% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2439 | rs_1h: -1.417% · rs_4h: -1.590% · rs_1d: -3.11% · rs_3d: -15.47% · beta_24h: 1.274 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.9248 | rvol_20: 3.55× · zscore_50: 2.460 · trend: 70.63% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4261 | ADX: 11.6 (weak) · Chop: 59.3 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.328% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
4h)
Initial Risk: -3.271%
(0.0244)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.455% | 0.4R | -0.876% | 0.3R | 1.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.455% | 0.4R | -0.876% | 0.3R | 1.7× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.687% | 0.5R | -0.876% | 0.3R | 1.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +5.231% | 1.6R | -0.876% | 0.3R | 6.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +5.231% | 1.6R | -0.876% | 0.3R | 6.0× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -60
ML Pullback Score: 3.54
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | near -1.2ATR | — | 0.51 | bear_high | -4.03% | -0.96 | 30/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | near -1.5ATR | — | 0.42 | bull_high | +1.01% | -0.96 | 30/07 20:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high_confirmed |
50%
|
noisy_chop 35% | late | near -1.9ATR | — | 0.36 | range_medium | +0.70% | -0.29 | 30/07 21:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bear_medium_confirmed |
60%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | near -0.7ATR | — | — | range_low | +0.31% | -0.14 | 30/07 21:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 4b | — | 3.408×ATR | p18 | -0.76×ATR | p71 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 21b | — | 8.711×ATR | p83 | -0.53×ATR | p49 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 11b | — | 3.191×ATR | p60 | -1.323×ATR | p88 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 8b | — | 3.572×ATR | p77 | -0.931×ATR | p75 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.7702767
- tp_price: 0.72728175
- atr: 0.00973868
- expires_at: 2026-07-31T08:10:05+00:00
Details
- rank: 43
- total: 43
- score: 0.3078
- delta_2h: -0.0934
- extension_atr: -1.91
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1287
- confidence: 1
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.7459 | 0.7703 | 0.7273 | 0.76 | 1.9003 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.7459
- Stop Loss: 0.7703
- Take Profit: 0.7273
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.7703 - 0.7459 = 0.0244
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.7459 - 0.7273 = 0.0186
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0186 / 0.0244 = 0.7623
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 245.1026 | 100 | 328.5866 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0244
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0244 = 327.87
Taille de position USD = 327.87 x 0.7459 = 244.56
Donc, tu peux acheter 327.87 avec un stoploss a 0.7703
Avec un position size USD de 244.56$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 327.87 x 0.0244 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 327.87 x 0.0186 = 6.1
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 6.1$
Résumé
- Taille de position 327.87
- Taille de position USD 244.56
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 6.1
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.7623
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.49 % | 6.11 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.27 % | 8.02 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -1.03 $ | -0.42 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.6073 % | 18.57 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.7459 | 0.7703 | 0.7273 | 0.76 | 1.9003 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.7459
- Stop Loss: 0.7703
- Take Profit: 0.7273
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.7703 - 0.7459 = 0.0244
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.7459 - 0.7273 = 0.0186
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0186 / 0.0244 = 0.7623
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.7273
[entry_price] => 0.7459
[stop_loss] => 0.77274
[rr_ratio] => 0.69
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-07-31 07:00:00+00
[result] => win
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.7273
[entry_price] => 0.7459
[stop_loss] => 0.77518
[rr_ratio] => 0.64
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-07-31 07:00:00+00
[result] => win
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.7273
[entry_price] => 0.7459
[stop_loss] => 0.77762
[rr_ratio] => 0.59
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-07-31 07:00:00+00
[result] => win
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.7273
[entry_price] => 0.7459
[stop_loss] => 0.7825
[rr_ratio] => 0.51
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-07-31 07:00:00+00
[result] => win
)
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
4h)
Initial Risk: -3.271%
(0.0244)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.455% | 0.4R | -0.876% | 0.3R | 1.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.455% | 0.4R | -0.876% | 0.3R | 1.7× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.687% | 0.5R | -0.876% | 0.3R | 1.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +5.231% | 1.6R | -0.876% | 0.3R | 6.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +5.231% | 1.6R | -0.876% | 0.3R | 6.0× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
Commentaires
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