Long Trade on PENGU (CatchTheWave)
With 242204.06 PENGU at 0.00604$ per unit. Take profit: 0.006103 (1.09 %) & Stop Loss: 0.006004 (0.55 %)
Long Trade on PENGU (CatchTheWave)
With 242204.06 PENGU at 0.00604$ per unit. Take profit: 0.006103 (1.09 %) & Stop Loss: 0.006004 (0.55 %)
Position
Entry 0.006037$
Qty 242204.0569 PENGU
Size 1462.1859$ (margin 100$) (leverage 15)
Risk Setup
TP 0.006103 (+1.09%)
TP $ 15.99$
SL 0.006004 (-0.55%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 2
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8606
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -1.85×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.42×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.29×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 30/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 30/07 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 30/07 21:00 Score : -2 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.38943 15m : 0.418795 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6043 | r1h: 0.760% · r4h: -0.635% · r1d: 4.33% · r3d: 3.50% · ema21_slope: 0.1826% · dist_ema21: 2.460% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5583 | rs_1h: 0.585% · rs_4h: -0.812% · rs_1d: 3.44% · rs_3d: 0.94% · beta_24h: 0.551 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2774 | rvol_20: 0.54× · zscore_50: -0.348 · trend: 20.61% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7634 | ADX: 31.6 (trend) · Chop: 30.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.122% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.166% | 0.3R | -0.977% | 1.8R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.166% | 0.3R | -0.977% | 1.8R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.398% | 0.7R | -0.977% | 1.8R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.458% | 2.7R | -0.977% | 1.8R | 1.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.458% | 2.7R | -1.673% | 3.1R | 0.9× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | pullback | bear_trend | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | near -1.0ATR | — | 0.75 | bear_high | -4.03% | -0.17 | 30/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | range_high |
38%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | — | 0.72 | bull_high | +1.01% | -0.04 | 30/07 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion | bull_high |
67%
|
noisy_chop 50% | late | — | near -1.9ATR | 0.56 | range_medium | +0.70% | +0.39 | 30/07 21:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_medium |
59%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | near -2.0ATR | — | range_low | +0.31% | +0.12 | 30/07 21:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 27b | — | 2.678×ATR | p6 | -0.047×ATR | p4 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 7b | — | 3.435×ATR | p58 | +1.255×ATR | p90 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 1b | — | 1.793×ATR | p21 | +1.41×ATR | p92 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 5b | — | 3.44×ATR | p63 | +1.56×ATR | p89 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64790.6
-0.00649233
64370
0.38943
64594.3
-0.0033801
64376
0.418795
64449.5
-0.000256937
64433
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-28 08:00:00
[1] => 0.005966
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-28 13:00:00
[1] => 0.005805
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-28 16:00:00
[1] => 0.006128
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-29 04:00:00
[1] => 0.005807
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-29 18:00:00
[1] => 0.005892
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-29 21:00:00
[1] => 0.005652
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-30 02:00:00
[1] => 0.005907
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-30 08:00:00
[1] => 0.005781
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-30 13:00:00
[1] => 0.005903
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-30 22:00:00
[1] => 0.006168
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.9130998702983
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.6531741913164
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 4
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 18
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.4892427579197
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-30 12:00:00
[1] => 0.005851
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-30 13:30:00
[1] => 0.005812
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-30 13:45:00
[1] => 0.005903
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-30 15:30:00
[1] => 0.005831
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-30 16:00:00
[1] => 0.00587
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-30 17:00:00
[1] => 0.005831
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-30 22:00:00
[1] => 0.006168
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-31 00:15:00
[1] => 0.006017
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-31 01:30:00
[1] => 0.006166
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-31 02:15:00
[1] => 0.00604
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.9785922802465
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.066225165562908
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.0860927152318
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-30 18:20:00
[1] => 0.005894
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-30 18:55:00
[1] => 0.005864
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-30 21:00:00
[1] => 0.006167
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-30 21:20:00
[1] => 0.006072
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-30 22:00:00
[1] => 0.006168
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-30 22:55:00
[1] => 0.006045
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-30 23:35:00
[1] => 0.006083
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-31 00:20:00
[1] => 0.006017
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-31 01:40:00
[1] => 0.006166
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-31 02:20:00
[1] => 0.006037
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.092118066818
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 8
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.136822925294
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 1
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
0.006166
198
0.6794
0.8265
0.4241
0.1939
0.6125
0.9868
0.5569
0.4797
0.5593
0.88
0.7747
0.4732
0.1665
0.0803
1
1.1786
1.7132
0.25
0.75
1
4
1
0.6122
0.9255
5.7149
0.6
0.9868
2.2898
1.7132
0.8075
0.3361
0.8
0.3181
0.4982
0.5216
0.7519
0.4732
-6.1042
5.4841
1
0
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22:21 | 0.00603700 | 0% |
| 2 | 22:39 | 0.00602700 | -0.166% |
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 18:20:00 | 0.005894 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 18:55:00 | 0.005864 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 21:00:00 | 0.006167 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 21:20:00 | 0.006072 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 22:00:00 | 0.006168 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 22:55:00 | 0.006045 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 23:35:00 | 0.006083 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 00:20:00 | 0.006017 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 01:40:00 | 0.006166 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 02:20:00 | 0.006037 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 12:00:00 | 0.005851 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 13:30:00 | 0.005812 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 13:45:00 | 0.005903 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 15:30:00 | 0.005831 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 16:00:00 | 0.00587 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 17:00:00 | 0.005831 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 22:00:00 | 0.006168 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 00:15:00 | 0.006017 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 01:30:00 | 0.006166 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 02:15:00 | 0.00604 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 08:00:00 | 0.005966 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-28 13:00:00 | 0.005805 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 16:00:00 | 0.006128 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 04:00:00 | 0.005807 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 18:00:00 | 0.005892 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 21:00:00 | 0.005652 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 02:00:00 | 0.005907 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 08:00:00 | 0.005781 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 13:00:00 | 0.005903 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 22:00:00 | 0.006168 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.006037 | 0.006004 | 0.006103 | 2 | 0.007403 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.006004 - 0.006037 = -3.3E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.006037 - 0.006103 = -6.6E-5
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -6.6E-5 / -3.3E-5 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1462.1859 | 100 | 242204.0569 | 15.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -3.3E-5 = -242424.24
Taille de position USD = -242424.24 x 0.006037 = -1463.52
Donc, tu peux acheter -242424.24 avec un stoploss a 0.006004
Avec un position size USD de -1463.52$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -242424.24 x -3.3E-5 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -242424.24 x -6.6E-5 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.09 % | 15.99 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.55 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.99 $ | -0.55 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.6957 % | 127.28 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.006037 | 0.006004 | 0.006103 | 2 | 0.007403 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.006004 - 0.006037 = -3.3E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.006037 - 0.006103 = -6.6E-5
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -6.6E-5 / -3.3E-5 = 2
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.006103
[entry_price] => 0.006037
[stop_loss] => 0.0060007
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-07-31 02:40:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.006103
[entry_price] => 0.006037
[stop_loss] => 0.0059974
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-07-31 02:40:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.006103
[entry_price] => 0.006037
[stop_loss] => 0.0059941
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-07-31 02:45:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.006103
[entry_price] => 0.006037
[stop_loss] => 0.0059875
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-07-31 03:00:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.166% | 0.3R | -0.977% | 1.8R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.166% | 0.3R | -0.977% | 1.8R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.398% | 0.7R | -0.977% | 1.8R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.458% | 2.7R | -0.977% | 1.8R | 1.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.458% | 2.7R | -1.673% | 3.1R | 0.9× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
Aucun commentaire.