Long Trade on XMR (CatchTheWave)
With 7.05 XMR at 358.54$ per unit. Take profit: 360.8088 (0.63 %) & Stop Loss: 357.4056 (0.32 %)
Long Trade on XMR (CatchTheWave)
With 7.05 XMR at 358.54$ per unit. Take profit: 360.8088 (0.63 %) & Stop Loss: 357.4056 (0.32 %)
Position
Entry 358.54$
Qty 7.0521 XMR
Size 2528.4748$ (margin 100$) (leverage 25)
Risk Setup
TP 360.8088 (+0.63%)
TP $ 16$
SL 357.4056 (-0.32%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8986
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.08×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.48×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.98×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 30/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 30/07 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 30/07 22:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.164459 15m : 0.325424 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : bear_low |
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5495 | r1h: 0.397% · r4h: -2.254% · r1d: 1.57% · r3d: 5.51% · ema21_slope: 0.0958% · dist_ema21: 0.045% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4918 | rs_1h: 0.222% · rs_4h: -2.431% · rs_1d: 0.68% · rs_3d: 2.95% · beta_24h: 1.437 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6277 | rvol_20: 1.55× · zscore_50: 0.900 · trend: 104.85% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6400 | ADX: 24.1 (weak) · Chop: 45.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.911% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.064% | 0.2R | -0.633% | 2.0R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.064% | 0.2R | -0.859% | 2.7R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.064% | 0.2R | -1.403% | 4.4R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.064% | 0.2R | -2.039% | 6.4R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.064% | 0.2R | -3.208% | 10.1R | 0.0× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | — | 0.51 | bear_high | -4.03% | +0.74 | 30/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high_confirmed |
64%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | near 0.5ATR | 0.32 | range_high | +0.33% | +0.30 | 30/07 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | — | 0.35 | range_medium | +0.12% | +0.02 | 30/07 22:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_medium |
40%
|
noisy_chop 52% | mid | near 0.0ATR | — | 0.34 | range_low | -0.33% | -0.14 | 30/07 22:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 6b | — | 0.917×ATR | p0 | +0.544×ATR | p67 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 15b | — | 4.44×ATR | p83 | +0.412×ATR | p50 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 4b | — | 2.87×ATR | p56 | -0.426×ATR | p39 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 3b | — | 1.624×ATR | p3 | -0.714×ATR | p61 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64779.6
-0.00627676
64373
0.164459
64594.3
-0.0033801
64376
0.325424
64449.5
-0.000256937
64433
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[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.30446076925226
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 4
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[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
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368
195
0.6248
0.566
0.3606
0.3054
0.4058
1
0.325
0.5274
0.6411
0.844
0.6509
0.7257
0.0334
0.0682
0.6667
-0.1011
1.1324
0.4
0.6
1
4
1
0.3892
0.3864
4.5532
0.6
1.9534
4.368
1.1324
0.4701
0.1517
0.74
0.4349
0.7084
0.5903
0.7869
0.7257
-2.8864
7.6372
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (4)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22:28 | 358.54000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 22:46 | 358.02000000 | -0.145% |
| 3 | 22:52 | 357.21000000 | -0.371% |
| 4 | 22:58 | 356.76000000 | -0.496% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 18:10:00 | 358.74 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 19:20:00 | 359.67 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 20:10:00 | 364.91 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 21:20:00 | 364.53 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 22:10:00 | 368 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 23:45:00 | 359.98 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 00:55:00 | 358.01 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 01:30:00 | 361.38 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 02:20:00 | 358.52 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 08:15:00 | 354.06 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 10:00:00 | 359.03 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 11:00:00 | 356.1 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 13:45:00 | 361.86 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 14:45:00 | 355.42 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 16:00:00 | 359.67 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 17:15:00 | 356.06 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 22:00:00 | 368 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 00:45:00 | 358.01 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 01:30:00 | 361.38 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 09:00:00 | 344.7 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-28 15:00:00 | 334.89 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 07:00:00 | 351.69 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 12:00:00 | 345.39 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 18:00:00 | 355.19 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 21:00:00 | 349.99 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 13:00:00 | 361.86 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 14:00:00 | 355.42 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 22:00:00 | 368 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 00:00:00 | 358.01 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 358.54 | 357.4056 | 360.8088 | 2 | 640.39 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 357.4056 - 358.54 = -1.1344
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 358.54 - 360.8088 = -2.2688
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -2.2688 / -1.1344 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2528.4748 | 100 | 7.0521 | 25.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -1.1344 = -7.05
Taille de position USD = -7.05 x 358.54 = -2527.71
Donc, tu peux acheter -7.05 avec un stoploss a 357.4056
Avec un position size USD de -2527.71$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -7.05 x -1.1344 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -7.05 x -2.2688 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.63 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.32 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.32 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5327 % | 168.36 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 358.54 | 357.4056 | 360.8088 | 2 | 640.39 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 357.4056 - 358.54 = -1.1344
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 358.54 - 360.8088 = -2.2688
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -2.2688 / -1.1344 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.064% | 0.2R | -0.633% | 2.0R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.064% | 0.2R | -0.859% | 2.7R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.064% | 0.2R | -1.403% | 4.4R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.064% | 0.2R | -2.039% | 6.4R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.064% | 0.2R | -3.208% | 10.1R | 0.0× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
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