Long Trade on BCH (CatchTheWave)
With 11.43 BCH at 215.46$ per unit. Take profit: 216.8598 (0.65 %) & Stop Loss: 214.7601 (0.32 %)
Long Trade on BCH (CatchTheWave)
With 11.43 BCH at 215.46$ per unit. Take profit: 216.8598 (0.65 %) & Stop Loss: 214.7601 (0.32 %)
Position
Entry 215.46$
Qty 11.4305 BCH
Size 2462.8156$ (margin 100$) (leverage 25)
Risk Setup
TP 216.8598 (+0.65%)
TP $ 16$
SL 214.7601 (-0.32%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7305
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.99×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.50×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 23.80×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 30/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 30/07 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 30/07 22:00 Score : -2 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.092516 15m : 0.297549 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6035 | r1h: 0.514% · r4h: 0.393% · r1d: 3.15% · r3d: 1.80% · ema21_slope: 0.1702% · dist_ema21: 0.639% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5406 | rs_1h: 0.340% · rs_4h: 0.217% · rs_1d: 2.26% · rs_3d: -0.76% · beta_24h: 1.168 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2180 | rvol_20: 0.42× · zscore_50: -0.262 · trend: -23.35% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7146 | ADX: 25.8 (trend) · Chop: 36.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.892% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.251% | 0.8R | -0.715% | 2.2R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.251% | 0.8R | -0.877% | 2.7R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.251% | 0.8R | -0.877% | 2.7R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.251% | 0.8R | -4.683% | 14.4R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.251% | 0.8R | -4.683% | 14.4R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | — | 0.67 | bear_high | -4.03% | -0.86 | 30/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | expansion | range_high |
36%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | — | — | 0.66 | range_high | +0.33% | +0.12 | 30/07 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | normal | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 45% | mid | — | — | 0.56 | range_medium | +0.12% | +0.22 | 30/07 22:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion_after_compression | range_medium |
38%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | near -0.6ATR | near 0.0ATR | — | range_low | -0.30% | +0.02 | 30/07 22:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 21b | — | 3.725×ATR | p45 | +0.234×ATR | p28 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 7b | — | 3.176×ATR | p26 | +0.448×ATR | p46 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 10b | — | 2.915×ATR | p55 | -0.079×ATR | p11 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 5b | — | 1.12×ATR | p0 | -0.16×ATR | p18 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64790.1
-0.00685547
64346
0.092516
64594.3
-0.0033801
64376
0.297549
64449.5
-0.000256937
64433
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221.89
189
0.69
0.6806
0.3744
0.2758
0.455
1
0.5332
0.491
0.6251
0.4396
0.6678
0.6962
0.0519
0.061
1
0.4579
1.4378
0.45
0.55
1
13
1
0.4484
0.6792
6.1207
0.5
1.125
2.0988
1.4378
0.8219
0.3147
0.38
0.0174
0.5403
0.4114
0.6805
0.6962
-3.0972
7.0992
1
0
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (4)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22:25 | 215.46000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 22:37 | 215.04000000 | -0.195% |
| 3 | 22:43 | 215.17000000 | -0.135% |
| 4 | 23:02 | 214.62000000 | -0.39% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 19:35:00 | 219.36 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 22:00:00 | 215.81 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 22:30:00 | 216.96 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 23:00:00 | 216 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 23:35:00 | 217.83 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 23:50:00 | 216.73 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 00:10:00 | 218.2 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 00:50:00 | 215.68 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 01:05:00 | 217.73 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 02:25:00 | 215.46 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 08:00:00 | 209.42 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 09:45:00 | 211.15 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 11:00:00 | 210.05 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 13:45:00 | 221.37 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 16:00:00 | 221.89 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 17:15:00 | 218.3 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 22:00:00 | 215.81 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 00:00:00 | 218.2 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 00:45:00 | 215.68 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 02:15:00 | 215.92 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 15:00:00 | 215.09 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 00:00:00 | 216 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 04:00:00 | 210.81 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 06:00:00 | 215.73 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 18:00:00 | 212.3 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 20:00:00 | 204.31 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 23:00:00 | 212.3 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 08:00:00 | 209.42 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 16:00:00 | 221.89 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 00:00:00 | 215.68 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 215.46 | 214.7601 | 216.8598 | 2 | 275.76 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 214.7601 - 215.46 = -0.69990000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 215.46 - 216.8598 = -1.3998
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.3998 / -0.69990000000001 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2462.8156 | 100 | 11.4305 | 25.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.69990000000001 = -11.43
Taille de position USD = -11.43 x 215.46 = -2462.71
Donc, tu peux acheter -11.43 avec un stoploss a 214.7601
Avec un position size USD de -2462.71$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -11.43 x -0.69990000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -11.43 x -1.3998 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.65 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.32 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.32 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.4363 % | 134.33 % | 4 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 215.46 | 214.7601 | 216.8598 | 2 | 275.76 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 214.7601 - 215.46 = -0.69990000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 215.46 - 216.8598 = -1.3998
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.3998 / -0.69990000000001 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.251% | 0.8R | -0.715% | 2.2R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.251% | 0.8R | -0.877% | 2.7R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.251% | 0.8R | -0.877% | 2.7R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.251% | 0.8R | -4.683% | 14.4R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.251% | 0.8R | -4.683% | 14.4R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
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