Long Trade on PENGU (CatchTheWave)
With 247908.27 PENGU at 0.006$ per unit. Take profit: 0.006062 (1.08 %) & Stop Loss: 0.005965 (0.53 %)
Long Trade on PENGU (CatchTheWave)
With 247908.27 PENGU at 0.006$ per unit. Take profit: 0.006062 (1.08 %) & Stop Loss: 0.005965 (0.53 %)
Position
Entry 0.005997$
Qty 247908.2739 PENGU
Size 1486.7059$ (margin 100$) (leverage 15)
Risk Setup
TP 0.006062 (+1.08%)
TP $ 16.11$
SL 0.005965 (-0.53%)
SL $ 7.93$
RR 2.03
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8606
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.55×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.47×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.29×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 30/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 30/07 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 30/07 22:00 Score : -2 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : -0.109337 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : bear_low |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6043 | r1h: 0.760% · r4h: -0.635% · r1d: 4.33% · r3d: 3.50% · ema21_slope: 0.1826% · dist_ema21: 2.460% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5583 | rs_1h: 0.585% · rs_4h: -0.812% · rs_1d: 3.44% · rs_3d: 0.94% · beta_24h: 0.551 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2774 | rvol_20: 0.54× · zscore_50: -0.348 · trend: 20.61% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7634 | ADX: 31.6 (trend) · Chop: 30.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.122% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.750% | 1.4R | -0.317% | 0.6R | 2.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.800% | 1.5R | -0.317% | 0.6R | 2.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.301% | 2.4R | -0.317% | 0.6R | 4.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.134% | 4.0R | -0.317% | 0.6R | 6.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.134% | 4.0R | -1.017% | 1.9R | 2.1× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | pullback | bear_trend | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | near -1.0ATR | — | 0.75 | bear_high | -4.03% | -0.17 | 30/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | range_high |
38%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late | — | — | 0.72 | range_high | +0.33% | +0.01 | 30/07 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | fading | expansion | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early | near -0.5ATR | near -0.6ATR | 0.57 | range_medium | +0.12% | +0.33 | 30/07 22:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | strong | grind | compression | bull_medium |
57%
|
noisy_chop 45% | mid | near -1.0ATR | — | — | range_low | -0.38% | -0.04 | 30/07 22:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 27b | — | 2.678×ATR | p6 | -0.047×ATR | p4 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 7b | — | 3.243×ATR | p55 | +1.141×ATR | p88 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 1b | — | 1.73×ATR | p15 | +0.279×ATR | p36 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 3b | — | 3.122×ATR | p61 | -0.925×ATR | p76 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64729.9
-0.00827969
64194
-0.109337
64613.7
-0.00649642
64194
64444.8
-0.00384648
64197
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0.006166
198
0.6779
0.8265
0.4257
0.1973
0.6125
0.9868
0.5302
0.4871
0.5593
0.928
0.7794
0.4518
0.1566
0.0759
1
0.9236
1.4277
0.25
0.75
1
4
1
0.6054
0.9255
5.7149
0.6
0.9868
2.2898
1.4277
0.8075
0.3292
0.88
0.3616
0.5096
0.5216
0.7513
0.4518
-6.1489
5.0685
1
0
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (6)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22:45 | 0.00599700 | 0% |
| 2 | 22:51 | 0.00599800 | +0.017% |
| 3 | 22:57 | 0.00599600 | -0.017% |
| 4 | 23:04 | 0.00599300 | -0.067% |
| 5 | 23:09 | 0.00599200 | -0.083% |
| 6 | 23:15 | 0.00598200 | -0.25% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 18:35:00 | 0.005864 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 18:55:00 | 0.005864 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 21:00:00 | 0.006167 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 21:20:00 | 0.006072 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 22:00:00 | 0.006168 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 22:55:00 | 0.006045 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 23:35:00 | 0.006083 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 00:20:00 | 0.006017 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 01:40:00 | 0.006166 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 02:40:00 | 0.005995 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 12:00:00 | 0.005851 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 13:30:00 | 0.005812 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 13:45:00 | 0.005903 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 15:30:00 | 0.005831 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 16:00:00 | 0.00587 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 17:00:00 | 0.005831 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 22:00:00 | 0.006168 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 00:15:00 | 0.006017 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 01:30:00 | 0.006166 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 02:30:00 | 0.005995 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 08:00:00 | 0.005966 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-28 13:00:00 | 0.005805 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 16:00:00 | 0.006128 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 04:00:00 | 0.005807 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 18:00:00 | 0.005892 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 21:00:00 | 0.005652 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 02:00:00 | 0.005907 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 08:00:00 | 0.005781 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 13:00:00 | 0.005903 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 22:00:00 | 0.006168 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.005997 | 0.005965 | 0.006062 | 2.03 | 0.007078 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.005965 - 0.005997 = -3.2E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.005997 - 0.006062 = -6.5E-5
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -6.5E-5 / -3.2E-5 = 2.0313
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1486.7059 | 100 | 247908.2739 | 15.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -3.2E-5 = -250000
Taille de position USD = -250000 x 0.005997 = -1499.25
Donc, tu peux acheter -250000 avec un stoploss a 0.005965
Avec un position size USD de -1499.25$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -250000 x -3.2E-5 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -250000 x -6.5E-5 = 16.25
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.25$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.08 % | 16.11 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.53 % | 7.93 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16.11 $ | 1.08 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3168 % | 59.37 % | 4 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.005997 | 0.005965 | 0.006062 | 2.03 | 0.007078 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.005965 - 0.005997 = -3.2E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.005997 - 0.006062 = -6.5E-5
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -6.5E-5 / -3.2E-5 = 2.0313
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Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.750% | 1.4R | -0.317% | 0.6R | 2.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.800% | 1.5R | -0.317% | 0.6R | 2.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.301% | 2.4R | -0.317% | 0.6R | 4.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.134% | 4.0R | -0.317% | 0.6R | 6.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.134% | 4.0R | -1.017% | 1.9R | 2.1× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
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