Long Trade on XMR (CatchTheWave)
With 8.21 XMR at 356.56$ per unit. Take profit: 358.5096 (0.55 %) & Stop Loss: 355.5852 (0.27 %)
Long Trade on XMR (CatchTheWave)
With 8.21 XMR at 356.56$ per unit. Take profit: 358.5096 (0.55 %) & Stop Loss: 355.5852 (0.27 %)
Position
Entry 356.56$
Qty 8.2069 XMR
Size 2926.2465$ (margin 100$) (leverage 29)
Risk Setup
TP 358.5096 (+0.55%)
TP $ 16$
SL 355.5852 (-0.27%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8957
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.31×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.48×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.98×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 30/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 30/07 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 30/07 22:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.272883 15m : 0.333168 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bear_medium 5m_regime : bear_low |
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5143 | r1h: -0.468% · r4h: -2.206% · r1d: 1.33% · r3d: 4.82% · ema21_slope: 0.0919% · dist_ema21: -0.398% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5188 | rs_1h: 0.049% · rs_4h: -1.233% · rs_1d: 1.27% · rs_3d: 3.18% · beta_24h: 1.173 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5343 | rvol_20: 1.24× · zscore_50: 0.538 · trend: 85.01% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6217 | ADX: 22.5 (weak) · Chop: 46.3 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.891% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.620% | 2.3R | -0.081% | 0.3R | 7.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.620% | 2.3R | -0.648% | 2.4R | 1.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.620% | 2.3R | -1.170% | 4.3R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.620% | 2.3R | -1.495% | 5.5R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.620% | 2.3R | -2.670% | 9.8R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | — | 0.51 | bear_high | -4.03% | +0.74 | 30/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high_confirmed |
64%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | near 0.5ATR | 0.32 | range_high | +0.33% | +0.30 | 30/07 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | — | 0.35 | range_medium | -0.24% | +0.03 | 30/07 22:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | strong | grind | compression | range_medium |
39%
|
choppy 56% | mid | near -0.6ATR | — | 0.34 | range_low | -0.38% | -0.21 | 30/07 22:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 6b | — | 0.917×ATR | p0 | +0.544×ATR | p67 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 15b | — | 4.44×ATR | p83 | +0.412×ATR | p50 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 4b | — | 3.091×ATR | p62 | -0.606×ATR | p53 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 5b | — | 2.451×ATR | p47 | -0.874×ATR | p70 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64696.2
-0.00685166
64253
0.272883
64611
-0.00554099
64253
0.333168
64405.8
-0.00273046
64230
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[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
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[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.7961956521739
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.002795638803464
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 4
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.8795079675706
[ms_bos_up] => 1
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[2] => H
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[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
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[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.33377608058
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.022441651705561
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 6
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.3745511669659
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[0] => 2026-07-30 20:10:00
[1] => 364.91
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[1] => 364.53
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368
195
0.6234
0.566
0.3658
0.3168
0.4058
1
0.2826
0.5396
0.6411
0.952
0.6467
0.6841
0.0239
0.0617
0.6667
-0.4741
0.6772
0.4
0.6
1
4
1
0.3664
0.3864
4.5532
0.6
1.9534
4.368
0.6772
0.4701
0.1411
0.92
0.5067
0.729
0.5782
0.7797
0.6841
-3.1664
6.8556
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (6)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23:05 | 356.56000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 23:11 | 356.65000000 | +0.025% |
| 3 | 23:17 | 356.67000000 | +0.031% |
| 4 | 23:22 | 356.44000000 | -0.034% |
| 5 | 23:28 | 356.49000000 | -0.02% |
| 6 | 23:34 | 356.57000000 | +0.003% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 19:20:00 | 359.67 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 20:10:00 | 364.91 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 21:20:00 | 364.53 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 22:10:00 | 368 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 23:45:00 | 359.98 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 00:55:00 | 358.01 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 01:30:00 | 361.38 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 03:00:00 | 356.48 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 10:00:00 | 359.03 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 11:00:00 | 356.1 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 13:45:00 | 361.86 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 14:45:00 | 355.42 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 16:00:00 | 359.67 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 17:15:00 | 356.06 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 22:00:00 | 368 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 00:45:00 | 358.01 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 01:30:00 | 361.38 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 03:00:00 | 356.48 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 09:00:00 | 344.7 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-28 15:00:00 | 334.89 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 07:00:00 | 351.69 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 12:00:00 | 345.39 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 18:00:00 | 355.19 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 21:00:00 | 349.99 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 13:00:00 | 361.86 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 14:00:00 | 355.42 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 22:00:00 | 368 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 02:00:00 | 357.7 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 356.56 | 355.5852 | 358.5096 | 2 | 627.25 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 355.5852 - 356.56 = -0.97480000000002
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 356.56 - 358.5096 = -1.9496
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.9496 / -0.97480000000002 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2926.2465 | 100 | 8.2069 | 29.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.97480000000002 = -8.21
Taille de position USD = -8.21 x 356.56 = -2927.36
Donc, tu peux acheter -8.21 avec un stoploss a 355.5852
Avec un position size USD de -2927.36$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -8.21 x -0.97480000000002 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -8.21 x -1.9496 = 16.01
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.55 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.27 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.55 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0813 % | 29.74 % | 6 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 356.56 | 355.5852 | 358.5096 | 2 | 627.25 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 355.5852 - 356.56 = -0.97480000000002
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 356.56 - 358.5096 = -1.9496
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.9496 / -0.97480000000002 = 2
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[result] => loss
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Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.620% | 2.3R | -0.081% | 0.3R | 7.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.620% | 2.3R | -0.648% | 2.4R | 1.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.620% | 2.3R | -1.170% | 4.3R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.620% | 2.3R | -1.495% | 5.5R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.620% | 2.3R | -2.670% | 9.8R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
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