Long Trade on BCH (CatchTheWave)
With 16.28 BCH at 213.61$ per unit. Take profit: 214.5929 (0.46 %) & Stop Loss: 213.1185 (0.23 %)
Long Trade on BCH (CatchTheWave)
With 16.28 BCH at 213.61$ per unit. Take profit: 214.5929 (0.46 %) & Stop Loss: 213.1185 (0.23 %)
Position
Entry 213.61$
Qty 16.2779 BCH
Size 3477.1223$ (margin 100$) (leverage 35)
Risk Setup
TP 214.5929 (+0.46%)
TP $ 16$
SL 213.1185 (-0.23%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7152
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.33×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 2.20×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 23.63×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 30/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 31/07 00:00 Tactical (1H) : range_high (0) 31/07 02:00 Score : -5 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.652337 15m : 0.320503 |
1H_regime : range_high 15m_regime : bear_low 5m_regime : range_low |
| Strategic |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5247 | r1h: 0.009% · r4h: -0.414% · r1d: 1.95% · r3d: 0.63% · ema21_slope: 0.0266% · dist_ema21: -0.377% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5148 | rs_1h: 0.151% · rs_4h: -0.370% · rs_1d: 1.52% · rs_3d: -0.34% · beta_24h: 1.036 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3949 | rvol_20: 1.04× · zscore_50: 0.354 · trend: 13.48% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5553 | ADX: 19.7 (weak) · Chop: 51.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.809% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.159% | 0.7R | -0.744% | 3.2R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.215% | 0.9R | -0.744% | 3.2R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.215% | 0.9R | -3.858% | 16.8R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.215% | 0.9R | -3.858% | 16.8R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.215% | 0.9R | -3.858% | 16.8R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | — | — | 0.67 | bear_high | -4.62% | -0.88 | 30/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | balanced | expansion | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | near 0.5ATR | — | 0.66 | range_high | +0.02% | +0.02 | 31/07 00:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | normal | range_high |
42%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | — | 0.56 | range_medium | -0.18% | +0.23 | 31/07 02:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | range_low |
41%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early | — | — | — | range_low | -0.41% | -0.09 | 31/07 02:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 21b | — | 4.014×ATR | p50 | -0.108×ATR | p13 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 1.997×ATR | p0 | -0.049×ATR | p5 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 14b | — | 4.364×ATR | p83 | -0.547×ATR | p53 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 9b | — | 0.874×ATR | p0 | -0.274×ATR | p27 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64473
-0.00454537
64180
0.652337
64499.4
-0.00495332
64180
0.320503
64422.5
-0.00284874
64239
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-28 15:00:00
[1] => 215.09
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-29 00:00:00
[1] => 216
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-29 04:00:00
[1] => 210.81
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-29 06:00:00
[1] => 215.73
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-29 18:00:00
[1] => 212.3
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-29 20:00:00
[1] => 204.31
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-29 23:00:00
[1] => 212.3
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-30 08:00:00
[1] => 209.42
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-30 16:00:00
[1] => 221.89
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-31 04:00:00
[1] => 213.57
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -3.4116003425121
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.3511729175446
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 14
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.8956782319614
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-30 11:00:00
[1] => 210.05
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-30 13:45:00
[1] => 221.37
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-30 16:00:00
[1] => 221.89
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-30 17:15:00
[1] => 218.3
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-30 22:00:00
[1] => 215.81
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-31 00:00:00
[1] => 218.2
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-31 00:45:00
[1] => 215.68
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-31 04:15:00
[1] => 213.57
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-31 06:15:00
[1] => 214.9
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-31 07:00:00
[1] => 213.61
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.60027919962773
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.6039043115959
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-31 00:50:00
[1] => 215.68
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-31 01:05:00
[1] => 217.73
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-31 03:10:00
[1] => 213.92
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-31 03:45:00
[1] => 214.95
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-31 04:20:00
[1] => 213.57
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-31 04:45:00
[1] => 214.53
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-31 05:30:00
[1] => 214.84
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-31 05:45:00
[1] => 213.7
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-31 06:25:00
[1] => 214.9
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-31 07:00:00
[1] => 213.61
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.60027919962773
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 7
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.6039043115959
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
221.89
185
0.5894
0.6806
0.3554
0.254
0.4383
1
0.4222
0.4841
0.6251
0.4083
0.6022
0.5694
-0.0635
0.0104
0.6667
-0.5415
0.1692
0.45
0.55
1
17
1
0.4921
0.6792
6.1207
0.5
1.125
2.0988
0.1692
0.8219
0.3145
0.22
0.1144
0.5347
0.4199
0.2449
0.5694
-4.7895
6.3333
1
0
1
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 00:50:00 | 215.68 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 01:05:00 | 217.73 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 03:10:00 | 213.92 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 03:45:00 | 214.95 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 04:20:00 | 213.57 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 04:45:00 | 214.53 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 05:30:00 | 214.84 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 05:45:00 | 213.7 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 06:25:00 | 214.9 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 07:00:00 | 213.61 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 11:00:00 | 210.05 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 13:45:00 | 221.37 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 16:00:00 | 221.89 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 17:15:00 | 218.3 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 22:00:00 | 215.81 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 00:00:00 | 218.2 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 00:45:00 | 215.68 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 04:15:00 | 213.57 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 06:15:00 | 214.9 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 07:00:00 | 213.61 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 15:00:00 | 215.09 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 00:00:00 | 216 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 04:00:00 | 210.81 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 06:00:00 | 215.73 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 18:00:00 | 212.3 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 20:00:00 | 204.31 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 23:00:00 | 212.3 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 08:00:00 | 209.42 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 16:00:00 | 221.89 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 04:00:00 | 213.57 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 213.61 | 213.1185 | 214.5929 | 2 | 277.03 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 213.1185 - 213.61 = -0.4915
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 213.61 - 214.5929 = -0.98289999999997
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.98289999999997 / -0.4915 = 1.9998
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3477.1223 | 100 | 16.2779 | 35.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.4915 = -16.28
Taille de position USD = -16.28 x 213.61 = -3477.57
Donc, tu peux acheter -16.28 avec un stoploss a 213.1185
Avec un position size USD de -3477.57$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -16.28 x -0.4915 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -16.28 x -0.98289999999997 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.46 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.23 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.23 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2762 % | 120.03 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 213.61 | 213.1185 | 214.5929 | 2 | 277.03 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 213.1185 - 213.61 = -0.4915
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 213.61 - 214.5929 = -0.98289999999997
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.98289999999997 / -0.4915 = 1.9998
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 214.5929
[entry_price] => 213.61
[stop_loss] => 213.06935
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-07-31 07:05:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 214.5929
[entry_price] => 213.61
[stop_loss] => 213.0202
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-07-31 07:05:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 214.5929
[entry_price] => 213.61
[stop_loss] => 212.97105
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-07-31 07:10:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 214.5929
[entry_price] => 213.61
[stop_loss] => 212.87275
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-07-31 07:10:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.159% | 0.7R | -0.744% | 3.2R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.215% | 0.9R | -0.744% | 3.2R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.215% | 0.9R | -3.858% | 16.8R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.215% | 0.9R | -3.858% | 16.8R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.215% | 0.9R | -3.858% | 16.8R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
Aucun commentaire.