Long Trade on TAO (BosPullback)
With 2.81 TAO at 195.13$ per unit. Take profit: 202.2575 (3.65 %) & Stop Loss: 192.279 (1.46 %)
Long Trade on TAO (BosPullback)
With 2.81 TAO at 195.13$ per unit. Take profit: 202.2575 (3.65 %) & Stop Loss: 192.279 (1.46 %)
Position
Entry 195.13$
Qty 2.806 TAO
Size 547.5424$ (margin 100$) (leverage 5)
Risk Setup
TP 202.2575 (+3.65%)
TP $ 20$
SL 192.279 (-1.46%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6164
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.53×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.23×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 10.14×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BosPullback. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 30/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 31/07 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 31/07 02:00 Score : -2 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_medium |
| Strategic |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5351 | r1h: -0.422% · r4h: -0.112% · r1d: 2.40% · r3d: 4.17% · ema21_slope: 0.0613% · dist_ema21: 0.759% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5382 | rs_1h: -0.281% · rs_4h: -0.069% · rs_1d: 1.97% · rs_3d: 3.20% · beta_24h: 0.488 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1444 | rvol_20: 0.23× · zscore_50: -1.025 · trend: -40.45% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5368 | ADX: 21.4 (weak) · Chop: 55.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.854% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.302% | 0.2R | -0.446% | 0.3R | 0.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.302% | 0.2R | -1.589% | 1.1R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.302% | 0.2R | -1.640% | 1.1R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.302% | 0.2R | -2.527% | 1.7R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.010% | 0.7R | -2.527% | 1.7R | 0.4× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 36% | late | — | — | 0.61 | bear_high | -4.62% | -0.55 | 30/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | normal | range_high |
43%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | near -0.2ATR | 0.63 | range_high | +0.02% | +0.36 | 31/07 00:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 33% | early | — | — | 0.67 | range_medium | -0.18% | +0.20 | 31/07 02:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bull_medium |
61%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | near 0.3ATR | — | — | range_low | -0.41% | +0.12 | 31/07 02:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 46b | — | 9.55×ATR | p92 | +0.34×ATR | p35 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 8b | — | 2.802×ATR | p42 | +0.637×ATR | p63 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 7b | — | 1.992×ATR | p26 | +0.324×ATR | p38 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 8b | — | 1.463×ATR | p3 | -0.211×ATR | p25 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
197.85
145
0.719
0.5706
0.3159
0.2425
0.3758
1
0.3259
0.5648
0.6655
0.4412
0.5881
0.6309
0.1098
0.0652
1
0.2273
0.8324
0.55
0.45
1
4
0.9474
0.5675
0.5603
3.15
0.55
1.8333
3.3831
0.8324
0.4154
0.3477
0.3
0.0918
0.4393
0.4541
0.6359
0.6309
-4.0398
6.9047
1
1
0
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192.46
197.85
197.85
192.46
194.63
192.46
193.545
0.8755
201.47
198.51
199.99
0.8267
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 03:20 | 195.13000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 03:26 | 195.13000000 | 0% |
| 3 | 03:33 | 194.90000000 | -0.118% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 195.13 | 192.279 | 202.2575 | 2.5 | 228.7 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 192.279 - 195.13 = -2.851
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 195.13 - 202.2575 = -7.1275
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -7.1275 / -2.851 = 2.5
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 547.5424 | 100 | 2.806 | 5.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -2.851 = -2.81
Taille de position USD = -2.81 x 195.13 = -548.32
Donc, tu peux acheter -2.81 avec un stoploss a 192.279
Avec un position size USD de -548.32$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -2.81 x -2.851 = 8.01
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.01$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -2.81 x -7.1275 = 20.03
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.03$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.65 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.46 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -1.46 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.4759 % | 101.01 % | 10 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 195.13 | 192.279 | 202.2575 | 2.5 | 228.7 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 192.279 - 195.13 = -2.851
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 195.13 - 202.2575 = -7.1275
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -7.1275 / -2.851 = 2.5
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(
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[take_profit] => 202.2575
[entry_price] => 195.13
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[rr_ratio] => 2.27
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-07-31 09:35:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.302% | 0.2R | -0.446% | 0.3R | 0.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.302% | 0.2R | -1.589% | 1.1R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.302% | 0.2R | -1.640% | 1.1R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.302% | 0.2R | -2.527% | 1.7R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.010% | 0.7R | -2.527% | 1.7R | 0.4× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
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