Long Trade on PENGU (CatchTheWave)
With 343495.06 PENGU at 0.00599$ per unit. Take profit: 0.00604 (0.78 %) & Stop Loss: 0.00597 (0.38 %)
Long Trade on PENGU (CatchTheWave)
With 343495.06 PENGU at 0.00599$ per unit. Take profit: 0.00604 (0.78 %) & Stop Loss: 0.00597 (0.38 %)
Position
Entry 0.005993$
Qty 343495.0623 PENGU
Size 2058.5659$ (margin 100$) (leverage 21)
Risk Setup
TP 0.00604 (+0.78%)
TP $ 16.14$
SL 0.00597 (-0.38%)
SL $ 7.9$
RR 2.04
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8367
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.20×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.98×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.14×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 30/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 31/07 00:00 Tactical (1H) : range_high (0) 31/07 03:00 Score : -5 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.594424 15m : 0.475631 |
1H_regime : range_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
| Strategic |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5960 | r1h: 0.033% · r4h: 0.483% · r1d: 3.96% · r3d: 1.46% · ema21_slope: 0.1990% · dist_ema21: 0.899% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5666 | rs_1h: 0.175% · rs_4h: 0.527% · rs_1d: 3.54% · rs_3d: 0.49% · beta_24h: 0.785 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2064 | rvol_20: 0.51× · zscore_50: -0.273 · trend: -33.25% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7719 | ADX: 32.6 (trend) · Chop: 36.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.082% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.203% | 5.7R | -0.050% | 0.1R | 44.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.203% | 5.7R | -0.050% | 0.1R | 44.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.203% | 5.7R | -0.050% | 0.1R | 44.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.203% | 5.7R | -0.951% | 2.5R | 2.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.203% | 5.7R | -0.951% | 2.5R | 2.3× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | pullback | bear_trend | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | near -0.8ATR | — | 0.75 | bear_high | -4.62% | -0.05 | 30/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | — | 0.72 | range_high | -0.33% | +0.05 | 31/07 00:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | range_high |
35%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | near 0.2ATR | 0.58 | range_medium | -0.50% | +0.38 | 31/07 03:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | compression | range_medium |
39%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | — | 0.62 | range_low | -0.67% | -0.03 | 31/07 03:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 27b | — | 2.493×ATR | p0 | +0.044×ATR | p4 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 8b | — | 2.79×ATR | p32 | +0.588×ATR | p57 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 6b | — | 2.558×ATR | p60 | -0.297×ATR | p38 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 3b | — | 2.277×ATR | p21 | -0.942×ATR | p75 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64437.1
-0.00720244
63973
0.594424
64477.2
-0.00656443
64054
0.475631
64413.2
-0.00607355
64022
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0.006166
193
0.6663
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0.4277
0.2273
0.5917
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0.4682
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0.5593
0.712
0.8156
0.4138
0.0792
0.0566
1
0.2161
0.8819
0.25
0.75
1
9
1
0.5453
0.9255
5.7149
0.6
0.9868
2.2898
0.8819
0.8075
0.272
0.52
0.5222
0.5762
0.5342
0.7867
0.4138
-7.541
5.323
1
0
1
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 23:35:00 | 0.006083 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 00:20:00 | 0.006017 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 01:40:00 | 0.006166 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 03:10:00 | 0.005978 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 04:05:00 | 0.006045 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 04:45:00 | 0.006002 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 05:10:00 | 0.00604 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 05:30:00 | 0.006005 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 06:30:00 | 0.006075 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 07:25:00 | 0.005989 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 16:00:00 | 0.00587 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 17:00:00 | 0.005831 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 22:00:00 | 0.006168 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 00:15:00 | 0.006017 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 01:30:00 | 0.006166 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 03:00:00 | 0.005978 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 04:00:00 | 0.006045 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 04:45:00 | 0.006002 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 06:30:00 | 0.006075 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 07:15:00 | 0.006 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 13:00:00 | 0.005805 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 16:00:00 | 0.006128 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 04:00:00 | 0.005807 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 18:00:00 | 0.005892 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 21:00:00 | 0.005652 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 02:00:00 | 0.005907 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 08:00:00 | 0.005781 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 13:00:00 | 0.005903 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 22:00:00 | 0.006168 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 03:00:00 | 0.005978 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.005993 | 0.00597 | 0.00604 | 2.04 | 0.007136 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.00597 - 0.005993 = -2.3E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.005993 - 0.00604 = -4.7E-5
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -4.7E-5 / -2.3E-5 = 2.0435
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2058.5659 | 100 | 343495.0623 | 21.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -2.3E-5 = -347826.09
Taille de position USD = -347826.09 x 0.005993 = -2084.52
Donc, tu peux acheter -347826.09 avec un stoploss a 0.00597
Avec un position size USD de -2084.52$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -347826.09 x -2.3E-5 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -347826.09 x -4.7E-5 = 16.35
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.35$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.78 % | 16.14 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.38 % | 7.9 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16.14 $ | 0.78 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0501 % | 13.05 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.005993 | 0.00597 | 0.00604 | 2.04 | 0.007136 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.00597 - 0.005993 = -2.3E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.005993 - 0.00604 = -4.7E-5
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -4.7E-5 / -2.3E-5 = 2.0435
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.203% | 5.7R | -0.050% | 0.1R | 44.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.203% | 5.7R | -0.050% | 0.1R | 44.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.203% | 5.7R | -0.050% | 0.1R | 44.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.203% | 5.7R | -0.951% | 2.5R | 2.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.203% | 5.7R | -0.951% | 2.5R | 2.3× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
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