Short Trade on kBONK (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 100831.86 kBONK at 0.00282$ per unit. Take profit: 0.002749 (2.52 %) & Stop Loss: 0.002899 (2.8 %)
31 Jul 2026 at 04:10:04
hyperliquid
kBONK
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
31 Jul 2026 04:10
→ 07:00
· 2 hours
Position
Entry 0.00282$
Qty 100831.8629 kBONK
Size 284.3459$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 0.002749 (+2.52%)
TP $ 7.16$
SL 0.002899 (-2.8%)
SL $ 7.97$
RR 0.9
Status
win
PnL
+1.24%
/ +3.53$
MAE -0.00%
MFE +1.49%
0.5R
expires
31 Jul 07:20
Exit
rank_decay: short rank=30 <= threshold=35/45
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 54324)
#45 / 46
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 31/07/2026 04:00
score du 31/07/2026 04:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1829
Quality Score
0.443
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#45 / 46
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.80 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#45 / 46
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.80 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.30×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.67×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+0
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
N/A
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
1.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
31/07 04:01
31/07 04:01
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 30/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 31/07 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 31/07 03:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1184
range
ranging
range_bound
| Strategic |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.63
Transition risk :
0.37
Score contribution (this trade)
0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.78
Snapshot évalué :
31/07 04:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
31/07/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.4428
Score SMA
0.4640
Rank
#45
/ 46
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1829
Rank Norm SMA
0.2571
Calculé le
31/07/2026 04:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2878 | r1h: -1.125% · r4h: -3.134% · r1d: -3.83% · r3d: -5.60% · ema21_slope: -0.0822% · dist_ema21: -2.778% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3256 | rs_1h: -0.626% · rs_4h: -2.413% · rs_1d: -3.68% · rs_3d: -6.24% · beta_24h: 0.933 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3710 | rvol_20: 1.09× · zscore_50: 0.092 · trend: 3.19% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6725 | ADX: 21.5 (weak) · Chop: 39.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.206% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
3.2h)
Initial Risk: -2.801%
(0.0001)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.674% | 0.2R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.135% | 0.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 3.2h ★ | +1.489% | 0.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 37 |
| 4h | +1.915% | 0.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +2.589% | 0.9R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 96 |
| 12h | +2.589% | 0.9R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 0.21
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 45% | mid | — | — | 0.68 | bear_high | -4.62% | -1.00 | 30/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | normal | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | near -1.7ATR | — | 0.58 | range_high | -0.33% | -0.39 | 31/07 00:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late | near -0.3ATR | — | 0.48 | range_medium | -0.71% | -0.27 | 31/07 03:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | expansion | bear_medium |
61%
|
noisy_chop 50% | late | — | — | — | bear_low | -0.90% | -0.26 | 31/07 03:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 27b | — | 9.056×ATR | p79 | -0.525×ATR | p56 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 15b | — | 3.615×ATR | p53 | -1.181×ATR | p83 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 6b | — | 4.273×ATR | p85 | -1.774×ATR | p95 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 9b | — | 3.582×ATR | p58 | -1.437×ATR | p90 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.00289934
- tp_price: 0.0027495
- atr: 3.174E-5
- expires_at: 2026-07-31T14:10:04+00:00
Details
- rank: 45
- total: 46
- score: 0.2878
- delta_2h: -0.086
- extension_atr: -2.05
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1829
- confidence: 0.978
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.00282 | 0.002899 | 0.002749 | 0.9 | 0.002884 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.00282
- Stop Loss: 0.002899
- Take Profit: 0.002749
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002899 - 0.00282 = 7.9E-5
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.00282 - 0.002749 = 7.1E-5
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 7.1E-5 / 7.9E-5 = 0.8987
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 284.3459 | 100 | 100831.8629 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 7.9E-5
Taille de position = 8 / 7.9E-5 = 101265.82
Taille de position USD = 101265.82 x 0.00282 = 285.57
Donc, tu peux acheter 101265.82 avec un stoploss a 0.002899
Avec un position size USD de 285.57$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 101265.82 x 7.9E-5 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 101265.82 x 7.1E-5 = 7.19
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 7.19$
Résumé
- Taille de position 101265.82
- Taille de position USD 285.57
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 7.19
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.8987
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.52 % | 7.16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.8 % | 7.97 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 3.53 $ | 1.24 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.00282 | 0.002899 | 0.002749 | 0.9 | 0.002884 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.00282
- Stop Loss: 0.002899
- Take Profit: 0.002749
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002899 - 0.00282 = 7.9E-5
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.00282 - 0.002749 = 7.1E-5
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 7.1E-5 / 7.9E-5 = 0.8987
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
3.2h)
Initial Risk: -2.801%
(0.0001)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.674% | 0.2R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.135% | 0.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 3.2h ★ | +1.489% | 0.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 37 |
| 4h | +1.915% | 0.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +2.589% | 0.9R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 96 |
| 12h | +2.589% | 0.9R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
Commentaires
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