Short Trade on LIT (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 117.31 LIT at 2.176$ per unit. Take profit: 2.0054 (7.84 %) & Stop Loss: 2.2441 (3.13 %)
31 Jul 2026 at 06:11:11
hyperliquid
LIT
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
31 Jul 2026 06:11
→ 18:10
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 2.1759$
Qty 117.3109 LIT
Size 255.2568$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 2.0054 (+7.84%)
TP $ 20$
SL 2.2441 (-3.13%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
win
PnL
+4.04%
/ +10.32$
MAE -2.43%
MFE +5.18%
1.7R
expires
31 Jul 18:11
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 54435)
#39 / 46
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 31/07/2026 06:00
score du 31/07/2026 06:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2726
Quality Score
0.470
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#39 / 46
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
73 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-2
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.13 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#39 / 46
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
73 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.13 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.49×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.08×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.28×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
13.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
31/07 06:02
31/07 06:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 30/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 31/07 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 31/07 05:00 Score : -2 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1186
range
ranging
range_bound
| Strategic |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
bear
— |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.63
Transition risk :
0.37
Score contribution (this trade)
+1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.78
Snapshot évalué :
31/07 06:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
31/07/2026 06:00
Score brut
0.4701
Score SMA
0.5013
Rank
#39
/ 46
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2726
Rank Norm SMA
0.4623
Calculé le
31/07/2026 06:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4491 | r1h: -1.218% · r4h: -1.455% · r1d: -1.18% · r3d: -0.85% · ema21_slope: -0.0125% · dist_ema21: -2.174% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4403 | rs_1h: -1.005% · rs_4h: -0.429% · rs_1d: 0.17% · rs_3d: -1.32% · beta_24h: 2.263 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2473 | rvol_20: 0.70× · zscore_50: -0.532 · trend: -11.88% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5058 | ADX: 15.0 (weak) · Chop: 52.9 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.823% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -3.134%
(0.0682)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.935% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.271% | 0.1R | -2.431% | 0.8R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.941% | 0.9R | -2.431% | 0.8R | 1.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.897% | 1.2R | -2.431% | 0.8R | 1.6× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +5.184% | 1.7R | -2.431% | 0.8R | 2.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +6.604% | 2.1R | -2.431% | 0.8R | 2.7× | 288 |
computed 3 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 1.39
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | — | — | bear_high | -4.62% | -0.92 | 30/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | range_high |
41%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | near 0.1ATR | near 0.2ATR | 0.39 | bear_high | -0.82% | +0.26 | 31/07 04:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | normal | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | near -0.5ATR | — | 0.47 | bear_medium | -1.01% | -0.27 | 31/07 05:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 45% | early | near -1.0ATR | — | 0.34 | bear_low | -1.08% | -0.15 | 31/07 05:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 25b | — | 2.763×ATR | p14 | -0.01×ATR | p1 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 9b | — | 1.141×ATR | p3 | -0.161×ATR | p21 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 9b | — | 2.962×ATR | p53 | -0.964×ATR | p78 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 2.794×ATR | p38 | -0.643×ATR | p52 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.7326
- reason: down_bo width=2.67×ATR dur=48b phase=fresh|ob:bid_pressure(-0.10)|ob:obi_bullish(-0.05)
- stop_price: 2.24409486
- tp_price: 2.00541286
- atr:
- score: 0.88263120674041
- expires_at: 2026-07-31T22:11:03.092722
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.88263120674041
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.5517
- obi_top10 : 0.5594
- micro_price : 2.17639231
- spread_pct : 0.045956
- mid_price : 2.1765
- bid_wall_price : 2.14
- bid_wall_size : 98018
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 2.21
- ask_wall_size : 14118
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.5488
- obi_top5_std : 0.0018
- pressure_side : bid
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7242
- aggregation_tick : 0.01
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
2.29105
- balance_zone_bottom:
2.18955
- balance_zone_mid:
2.2403
- balance_zone_start_time:
1785322800
- balance_zone_end_time:
1785492000
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.6747
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
48
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8826
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1785488400
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
2.18955
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.8125
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.3597
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
1
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
1
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
8
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
11
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.03794856 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
48
inside_close_ratio
0.8125
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.3597
Signaux confirmants (12)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 06:11 | 2.17590000 | 0% |
| 2 | 06:17 | 2.17590000 | 0% |
| 3 | 06:22 | 2.18850000 | +0.579% |
| 4 | 06:28 | 2.18850000 | +0.579% |
| 5 | 06:35 | 2.18850000 | +0.579% |
| 6 | 06:40 | 2.18660000 | +0.492% |
| 7 | 06:46 | 2.18660000 | +0.492% |
| 8 | 06:52 | 2.18390000 | +0.368% |
| 9 | 06:58 | 2.18390000 | +0.368% |
| 10 | 07:05 | 2.18390000 | +0.368% |
| 11 | 07:11 | 2.18450000 | +0.395% |
| 12 | 07:17 | 2.18450000 | +0.395% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
↑ bid
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7242ms
Confidence avant OB :
88%
→
73%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.552
avg 0.549
± 0.002
OBI Top 10
0.559
Microstructure
Mid Price
2.1765
Micro Price
2.1764
Spread
0.0460%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
2.1400
Size
98,018.00
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
2.2100
Size
14,118.00
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.1759 | 2.2441 | 2.0054 | 2.5 | 3.1225 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 2.1759
- Stop Loss: 2.2441
- Take Profit: 2.0054
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.2441 - 2.1759 = 0.0682
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.1759 - 2.0054 = 0.1705
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1705 / 0.0682 = 2.5
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 255.2568 | 100 | 117.3109 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0682
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0682 = 117.3
Taille de position USD = 117.3 x 2.1759 = 255.23
Donc, tu peux acheter 117.3 avec un stoploss a 2.2441
Avec un position size USD de 255.23$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 117.3 x 0.0682 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 117.3 x 0.1705 = 20
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$
Résumé
- Taille de position 117.3
- Taille de position USD 255.23
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 7.84 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.13 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 10.32 $ | 4.04 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.4312 % | 77.57 % | 4 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.1759 | 2.2441 | 2.0054 | 2.5 | 3.1225 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 2.1759
- Stop Loss: 2.2441
- Take Profit: 2.0054
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.2441 - 2.1759 = 0.0682
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.1759 - 2.0054 = 0.1705
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1705 / 0.0682 = 2.5
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -3.134%
(0.0682)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.935% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.271% | 0.1R | -2.431% | 0.8R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.941% | 0.9R | -2.431% | 0.8R | 1.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.897% | 1.2R | -2.431% | 0.8R | 1.6× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +5.184% | 1.7R | -2.431% | 0.8R | 2.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +6.604% | 2.1R | -2.431% | 0.8R | 2.7× | 288 |
computed 3 months ago
Commentaires
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