Short Trade on CRV (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 3514.44 CRV at 0.208$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2024 (2.74 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2104 (1.11 %)
31 Jul 2026 at 06:19:44
hyperliquid
CRV
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
31 Jul 2026 06:19
→ 18:15
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.2081$
Qty 3514.4444 CRV
Size 731.3559$ (margin 100$) (leverage 7)
Risk Setup
TP 0.2024 (+2.74%)
TP $ 20.03$
SL 0.2104 (-1.11%)
SL $ 8.08$
RR 2.48
Status
loss
PnL
-0.19%
/ -1.41$
MAE -0.96%
MFE +1.23%
1.1R
expires
31 Jul 18:19
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 54402)
#20 / 46
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 31/07/2026 06:00
score du 31/07/2026 06:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4280
Quality Score
0.503
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#20 / 46
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
85 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.11 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#20 / 46
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
85 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.11 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.26×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.02×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.51×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
2.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
31/07 06:15
31/07 06:15
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 30/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 31/07 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 31/07 06:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1186
range
ranging
range_bound
| Strategic |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
bear
— |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.63
Transition risk :
0.37
Score contribution (this trade)
+1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.78
Snapshot évalué :
31/07 06:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
31/07/2026 06:00
Score brut
0.5028
Score SMA
0.5235
Rank
#20
/ 46
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4280
Rank Norm SMA
0.5889
Calculé le
31/07/2026 06:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4532 | r1h: -0.611% · r4h: -0.720% · r1d: -2.16% · r3d: -0.90% · ema21_slope: -0.0383% · dist_ema21: -1.051% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4682 | rs_1h: -0.398% · rs_4h: 0.306% · rs_1d: -0.81% · rs_3d: -1.37% · beta_24h: 0.174 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3468 | rvol_20: 0.97× · zscore_50: 0.232 · trend: -8.02% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5365 | ADX: 12.6 (weak) · Chop: 46.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.826% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.105%
(0.0023)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.524% | 0.5R | -0.634% | 0.6R | 0.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.524% | 0.5R | -0.634% | 0.6R | 0.8× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.225% | 1.1R | -0.634% | 0.6R | 1.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.225% | 1.1R | -0.961% | 0.9R | 1.3× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.225% | 1.1R | -0.961% | 0.9R | 1.3× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.600% | 1.5R | -0.961% | 0.9R | 1.7× | 288 |
computed 3 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.62
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 31% | early | — | — | 0.68 | bear_high | -4.62% | +0.01 | 30/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | near 0.0ATR | near 0.2ATR | 0.48 | bear_high | -0.99% | -0.19 | 31/07 04:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 37% | late | near 0.3ATR | — | 0.48 | bear_medium | -0.93% | +0.02 | 31/07 06:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_low |
48%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | — | — | bear_low | -0.98% | +0.02 | 31/07 06:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 17b | — | 1.955×ATR | p0 | +0.015×ATR | p3 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 9b | — | 1.264×ATR | p0 | -0.501×ATR | p59 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 15b | — | 4.334×ATR | p91 | -0.743×ATR | p74 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 1.928×ATR | p20 | -0.305×ATR | p24 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.8535
- reason: down_bo width=2.54×ATR dur=42b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.21037632
- tp_price: 0.20240921
- atr:
- score: 0.85353382400093
- expires_at: 2026-07-31T22:19:36.462518
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.85353382400093
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.083
- obi_top10 : 0.0919
- micro_price : 0.20798938
- spread_pct : 0.0481
- mid_price : 0.20795
- bid_wall_price : 0.207
- bid_wall_size : 914295
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.209
- ask_wall_size : 752142
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0831
- obi_top5_std : 0.0004
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6897
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.212295
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.20813
- balance_zone_mid:
0.2102125
- balance_zone_start_time:
1785344400
- balance_zone_end_time:
1785492000
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.5425
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
42
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8535
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1785488400
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.20813
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.7381
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.0183
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
1
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
1
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
6
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
8
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.00163817 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
42
inside_close_ratio
0.7381
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.0183
Signaux confirmants (16)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 06:19 | 0.20810000 | 0% |
| 2 | 06:25 | 0.20810000 | 0% |
| 3 | 06:32 | 0.20810000 | 0% |
| 4 | 06:37 | 0.20786000 | -0.115% |
| 5 | 06:43 | 0.20786000 | -0.115% |
| 6 | 10:13 | 0.20702000 | -0.519% |
| 7 | 10:19 | 0.20818000 | +0.038% |
| 8 | 10:25 | 0.20818000 | +0.038% |
| 9 | 10:32 | 0.20818000 | +0.038% |
| 10 | 10:37 | 0.20716000 | -0.452% |
| 11 | 10:43 | 0.20716000 | -0.452% |
| 12 | 10:49 | 0.20716000 | -0.452% |
| 13 | 10:55 | 0.20716000 | -0.452% |
| 14 | 11:02 | 0.20716000 | -0.452% |
| 15 | 11:07 | 0.20810000 | 0% |
| 16 | 12:13 | 0.20746000 | -0.308% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6897ms
Confidence avant OB :
85%
→
85%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.083
avg 0.083
± 0.000
OBI Top 10
0.092
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.2080
Micro Price
0.2080
Spread
0.0481%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.2070
Size
914,295.00
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.2090
Size
752,142.00
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2081 | 0.2104 | 0.2024 | 2.48 | 0.2787 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.2081
- Stop Loss: 0.2104
- Take Profit: 0.2024
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2104 - 0.2081 = 0.0023
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2081 - 0.2024 = 0.0057
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0057 / 0.0023 = 2.4783
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 731.3559 | 100 | 3514.4444 | 7.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0023
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0023 = 3478.26
Taille de position USD = 3478.26 x 0.2081 = 723.83
Donc, tu peux acheter 3478.26 avec un stoploss a 0.2104
Avec un position size USD de 723.83$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 3478.26 x 0.0023 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 3478.26 x 0.0057 = 19.83
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.83$
Résumé
- Taille de position 3478.26
- Taille de position USD 723.83
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 19.83
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4783
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.74 % | 20.03 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.11 % | 8.08 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -1.41 $ | -0.19 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.9611 % | 86.96 % | 28 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2081 | 0.2104 | 0.2024 | 2.48 | 0.2787 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.2081
- Stop Loss: 0.2104
- Take Profit: 0.2024
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2104 - 0.2081 = 0.0023
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2081 - 0.2024 = 0.0057
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0057 / 0.0023 = 2.4783
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.105%
(0.0023)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.524% | 0.5R | -0.634% | 0.6R | 0.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.524% | 0.5R | -0.634% | 0.6R | 0.8× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.225% | 1.1R | -0.634% | 0.6R | 1.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.225% | 1.1R | -0.961% | 0.9R | 1.3× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.225% | 1.1R | -0.961% | 0.9R | 1.3× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.600% | 1.5R | -0.961% | 0.9R | 1.7× | 288 |
computed 3 months ago
Commentaires
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