Short Trade on JTO (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 452.13 JTO at 0.505$ per unit. Take profit: 0.492 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.5223 (3.51 %)
31 Jul 2026 at 07:10:04
hyperliquid
JTO
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
31 Jul 2026 07:10
→ 09:10
· 1 hour
Position
Entry 0.5046$
Qty 452.1296 JTO
Size 228.1672$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.492 (+2.5%)
TP $ 5.7$
SL 0.5223 (-3.51%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.71
Status
loss
PnL
-2.08%
/ -4.75$
MAE -2.33%
MFE +0.48%
0.1R
expires
31 Jul 09:20
Exit
rank_decay: short rank=30 <= threshold=35/45
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 54464)
#45 / 45
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 31/07/2026 07:00
score du 31/07/2026 07:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0993
Quality Score
0.386
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#45 / 45
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.51 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#45 / 45
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.51 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.47×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | 0.93×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+1
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
N/A
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
1.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
31/07 07:01
31/07 07:01
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 30/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 31/07 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 31/07 06:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1187
range
ranging
range_bound
| Strategic |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
bear
— |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.63
Transition risk :
0.37
Score contribution (this trade)
+1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.78
Snapshot évalué :
31/07 07:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
31/07/2026 07:00
Score brut
0.3859
Score SMA
0.4193
Rank
#45
/ 45
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0993
Rank Norm SMA
0.1112
Calculé le
31/07/2026 07:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3321 | r1h: -0.826% · r4h: -1.275% · r1d: -1.22% · r3d: -9.66% · ema21_slope: -0.0405% · dist_ema21: -0.671% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3491 | rs_1h: -1.115% · rs_4h: -0.772% · rs_1d: -0.18% · rs_3d: -10.34% · beta_24h: 1.098 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1579 | rvol_20: 0.29× · zscore_50: -0.661 · trend: -48.51% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4494 | ADX: 20.7 (weak) · Chop: 65.8 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.493% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
2.2h)
Initial Risk: -3.508%
(0.0177)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.482% | 0.1R | -0.406% | 0.1R | 1.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.482% | 0.1R | -2.329% | 0.7R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 2.2h ★ | +0.482% | 0.1R | -2.329% | 0.7R | 0.2× | 25 |
| 4h | +0.482% | 0.1R | -3.506% | 1.0R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.482% | 0.1R | -4.568% | 1.3R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.482% | 0.1R | -4.568% | 1.3R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.27
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | grind | compression | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | — | 0.48 | bear_high | -4.62% | -0.93 | 30/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | — | 0.30 | bear_high | -0.99% | -0.82 | 31/07 04:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 31% | early | near -0.5ATR | — | 0.31 | range_medium | -0.67% | +0.08 | 31/07 06:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | normal | bear_medium |
56%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | near 0.4ATR | — | — | range_low | -0.69% | +0.01 | 31/07 06:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 35b | — | 7.222×ATR | p89 | -0.95×ATR | p79 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 24b | — | 8.408×ATR | p100 | -0.459×ATR | p45 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 1.295×ATR | p0 | -0.28×ATR | p29 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 15b | — | 0×ATR | p0 | -0.616×ATR | p45 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.52234404
- tp_price: 0.49203375
- atr: 0.00707761
- expires_at: 2026-07-31T17:10:04+00:00
Details
- rank: 46
- total: 47
- score: 0.3321
- delta_2h: -0.0434
- extension_atr: -0.51
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.0993
- confidence: 0.978
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 07:10 | 0.50465000 | +0.01% |
| 2 | 08:10 | 0.50525000 | +0.129% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5046 | 0.5223 | 0.492 | 0.71 | 0.3696 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.5046
- Stop Loss: 0.5223
- Take Profit: 0.492
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.5223 - 0.5046 = 0.0177
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.5046 - 0.492 = 0.0126
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0126 / 0.0177 = 0.7119
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 228.1672 | 100 | 452.1296 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0177
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0177 = 451.98
Taille de position USD = 451.98 x 0.5046 = 228.07
Donc, tu peux acheter 451.98 avec un stoploss a 0.5223
Avec un position size USD de 228.07$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 451.98 x 0.0177 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 451.98 x 0.0126 = 5.69
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 5.69$
Résumé
- Taille de position 451.98
- Taille de position USD 228.07
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 5.69
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.7119
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 5.7 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.51 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -4.75 $ | -2.08 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.3286 % | 66.39 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5046 | 0.5223 | 0.492 | 0.71 | 0.3696 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.5046
- Stop Loss: 0.5223
- Take Profit: 0.492
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.5223 - 0.5046 = 0.0177
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.5046 - 0.492 = 0.0126
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0126 / 0.0177 = 0.7119
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.492
[entry_price] => 0.5046
[stop_loss] => 0.52407
[rr_ratio] => 0.65
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-07-31 17:00:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
2.2h)
Initial Risk: -3.508%
(0.0177)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.482% | 0.1R | -0.406% | 0.1R | 1.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.482% | 0.1R | -2.329% | 0.7R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 2.2h ★ | +0.482% | 0.1R | -2.329% | 0.7R | 0.2× | 25 |
| 4h | +0.482% | 0.1R | -3.506% | 1.0R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.482% | 0.1R | -4.568% | 1.3R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.482% | 0.1R | -4.568% | 1.3R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
Commentaires
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