Short Trade on VVV (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 29.56 VVV at 12.063$ per unit. Take profit: 11.3865 (5.61 %) & Stop Loss: 12.3336 (2.24 %)
31 Jul 2026 at 07:10:26
hyperliquid
VVV
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
31 Jul 2026 07:10
→ 19:10
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 12.063$
Qty 29.5634 VVV
Size 356.6234$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)
Risk Setup
TP 11.3865 (+5.61%)
TP $ 20$
SL 12.3336 (-2.24%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
win
PnL
+3.06%
/ +10.91$
MAE -0.12%
MFE +4.10%
1.8R
expires
31 Jul 19:10
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 54474)
#37 / 45
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 31/07/2026 07:00
score du 31/07/2026 07:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2058
Quality Score
0.476
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#37 / 45
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
87 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+3
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.24 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#37 / 45
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
87 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.24 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.69×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.33×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 0.54×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
2.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
31/07 07:02
31/07 07:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) 30/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 31/07 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 31/07 06:00 Score : +3 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1187
range
ranging
range_bound
| Strategic |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
bear
— |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.63
Transition risk :
0.37
Score contribution (this trade)
+1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.78
Snapshot évalué :
31/07 07:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
31/07/2026 07:00
Score brut
0.4761
Score SMA
0.4654
Rank
#37
/ 45
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2058
Rank Norm SMA
0.2625
Calculé le
31/07/2026 07:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4368 | r1h: -0.149% · r4h: -1.216% · r1d: -0.20% · r3d: -3.15% · ema21_slope: -0.0197% · dist_ema21: -1.012% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4456 | rs_1h: -0.437% · rs_4h: -0.713% · rs_1d: 0.84% · rs_3d: -3.82% · beta_24h: 0.915 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2537 | rvol_20: 0.89× · zscore_50: -0.199 · trend: -46.88% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5529 | ADX: 24.0 (weak) · Chop: 56.3 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.544% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.243%
(0.2706)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.235% | 0.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.898% | 0.9R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +2.918% | 1.3R | -0.116% | 0.1R | 25.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.918% | 1.3R | -0.116% | 0.1R | 25.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +4.095% | 1.8R | -0.116% | 0.1R | 35.3× | 143 |
| 24h | +4.095% | 1.8R | -0.116% | 0.1R | 35.3× | 288 |
computed 2 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 2.73
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | range_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | — | 0.46 | bear_high | -4.62% | +0.90 | 30/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | near -0.3ATR | — | 0.46 | bear_high | -0.99% | -0.43 | 31/07 04:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | normal | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 31% | early | — | — | 0.45 | range_medium | -0.67% | +0.10 | 31/07 06:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_medium |
60%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | near -0.8ATR | near 0.5ATR | 0.56 | range_low | -0.69% | +0.03 | 31/07 06:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 2.415×ATR | p4 | -0.262×ATR | p28 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 17b | — | 3.005×ATR | p27 | -0.305×ATR | p35 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 2b | — | 1.14×ATR | p0 | -0.407×ATR | p42 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 3b | — | 1.082×ATR | p3 | -0.4×ATR | p38 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.8687
- reason: down_bo width=2.81×ATR dur=39b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 12.33360477
- tp_price: 11.38648807
- atr:
- score: 0.86866498113081
- expires_at: 2026-07-31T23:10:18.691349
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.86866498113081
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0885
- obi_top10 : 0.0817
- micro_price : 12.0691502
- spread_pct : 0.049727
- mid_price : 12.069
- bid_wall_price : 12
- bid_wall_size : 12770.974
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 12.1
- ask_wall_size : 8018.49
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0885
- obi_top5_std : 0.0001
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6942
- aggregation_tick : 0.1
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
12.563
- balance_zone_bottom:
12.069
- balance_zone_mid:
12.316
- balance_zone_start_time:
1785358800
- balance_zone_end_time:
1785495600
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.8061
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
39
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8687
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1785492000
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
12.069
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.8974
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.0341
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
1
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
1
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
3
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
11
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.17604773 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
39
inside_close_ratio
0.8974
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.0341
Signaux confirmants (20)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 07:10 | 12.06300000 | 0% |
| 2 | 07:16 | 12.06300000 | 0% |
| 3 | 07:22 | 12.02800000 | -0.29% |
| 4 | 07:27 | 12.02800000 | -0.29% |
| 5 | 07:34 | 12.02800000 | -0.29% |
| 6 | 07:39 | 11.95900000 | -0.862% |
| 7 | 07:46 | 11.95900000 | -0.862% |
| 8 | 07:51 | 11.93000000 | -1.103% |
| 9 | 07:57 | 11.93000000 | -1.103% |
| 10 | 08:05 | 11.93000000 | -1.103% |
| 11 | 08:10 | 11.95700000 | -0.879% |
| 12 | 08:16 | 11.95700000 | -0.879% |
| 13 | 08:22 | 11.93600000 | -1.053% |
| 14 | 08:27 | 11.93600000 | -1.053% |
| 15 | 08:34 | 11.93600000 | -1.053% |
| 16 | 08:39 | 11.90100000 | -1.343% |
| 17 | 08:46 | 11.90100000 | -1.343% |
| 18 | 08:51 | 11.91600000 | -1.219% |
| 19 | 08:57 | 11.91600000 | -1.219% |
| 20 | 09:05 | 11.91600000 | -1.219% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6942ms
Confidence avant OB :
87%
→
87%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.089
avg 0.089
± 0.000
OBI Top 10
0.082
Microstructure
Mid Price
12.0690
Micro Price
12.0692
Spread
0.0497%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
12.0000
Size
12,770.97
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
12.1000
Size
8,018.49
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.063 | 12.3336 | 11.3865 | 2.5 | 23.058 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 12.063
- Stop Loss: 12.3336
- Take Profit: 11.3865
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 12.3336 - 12.063 = 0.2706
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 12.063 - 11.3865 = 0.6765
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.6765 / 0.2706 = 2.5
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 356.6234 | 100 | 29.5634 | 4.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.2706
Taille de position = 8 / 0.2706 = 29.56
Taille de position USD = 29.56 x 12.063 = 356.58
Donc, tu peux acheter 29.56 avec un stoploss a 12.3336
Avec un position size USD de 356.58$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 29.56 x 0.2706 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 29.56 x 0.6765 = 20
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$
Résumé
- Taille de position 29.56
- Taille de position USD 356.58
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.61 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.24 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 10.91 $ | 3.06 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1161 % | 5.18 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.063 | 12.3336 | 11.3865 | 2.5 | 23.058 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 12.063
- Stop Loss: 12.3336
- Take Profit: 11.3865
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 12.3336 - 12.063 = 0.2706
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 12.063 - 11.3865 = 0.6765
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.6765 / 0.2706 = 2.5
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.243%
(0.2706)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.235% | 0.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.898% | 0.9R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +2.918% | 1.3R | -0.116% | 0.1R | 25.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.918% | 1.3R | -0.116% | 0.1R | 25.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +4.095% | 1.8R | -0.116% | 0.1R | 35.3× | 143 |
| 24h | +4.095% | 1.8R | -0.116% | 0.1R | 35.3× | 288 |
computed 2 months ago
Commentaires
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