Short Trade on KAITO (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 95.41 KAITO at 1.07$ per unit. Take profit: 1.043 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 1.1535 (7.83 %)
31 Jul 2026 at 09:10:04
hyperliquid
KAITO
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
31 Jul 2026 09:10
→ 10:15
· 1 hour
Position
Entry 1.0697$
Qty 95.4143 KAITO
Size 102.0646$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 1.043 (+2.5%)
TP $ 2.55$
SL 1.1535 (-7.83%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.32
Status
loss
PnL
-2.56%
/ -2.61$
MAE -3.48%
MFE +0.00%
0.0R
expires
31 Jul 10:20
Exit
rank_decay: short rank=3 <= threshold=33/43
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 54565)
#45 / 45
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 31/07/2026 09:00
score du 31/07/2026 09:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1357
Quality Score
0.349
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#45 / 45
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-3
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.83 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#45 / 45
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-3
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.83 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -1.22×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.26×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.83×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+1
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
N/A
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
7.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
31/07 09:02
31/07 09:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3) 30/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 31/07 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 31/07 08:00 Score : -4 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1189
range
ranging
range_bound
| Strategic |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
bear
— |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.63
Transition risk :
0.37
Score contribution (this trade)
+1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.78
Snapshot évalué :
31/07 09:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
31/07/2026 09:00
Score brut
0.3490
Score SMA
0.4101
Rank
#45
/ 45
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1357
Rank Norm SMA
0.1225
Calculé le
31/07/2026 09:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2747 | r1h: -2.715% · r4h: -5.844% · r1d: -1.32% · r3d: -4.69% · ema21_slope: -0.0511% · dist_ema21: -4.392% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2471 | rs_1h: -2.502% · rs_4h: -5.576% · rs_1d: 0.62% · rs_3d: -4.83% · beta_24h: -0.854 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1513 | rvol_20: 0.38× · zscore_50: -0.731 · trend: -53.11% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5496 | ADX: 27.6 (trend) · Chop: 60.5 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.9209 | ATR%: 3.237% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
1.2h)
Initial Risk: -7.834%
(0.0838)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -3.478% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 1.2h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -3.478% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 13 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -3.889% | 0.5R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -5.824% | 0.7R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.496% | 0.2R | -5.824% | 0.7R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.870% | 0.2R | -5.824% | 0.7R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.1
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
61%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | — | 0.44 | bear_high | -5.56% | +1.00 | 30/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | normal | bull_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | 0.05 | bear_high | -0.92% | -0.84 | 31/07 08:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 35% | mid | near -1.2ATR | near 0.2ATR | -0.06 | bear_medium | -1.02% | -0.18 | 31/07 08:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | near -1.1ATR | — | -0.01 | bear_low | -0.94% | -0.40 | 31/07 08:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 2b | — | 2.069×ATR | p0 | -0.124×ATR | p10 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 6b | — | 1.315×ATR | p0 | -0.478×ATR | p48 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 6b | — | 2.799×ATR | p56 | -0.961×ATR | p79 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 14b | — | 5.205×ATR | p84 | -1.257×ATR | p85 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.0697 | 1.1535 | 1.043 | 0.32 | 0.2392 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1.0697
- Stop Loss: 1.1535
- Take Profit: 1.043
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.1535 - 1.0697 = 0.0838
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.0697 - 1.043 = 0.0267
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0267 / 0.0838 = 0.3186
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 102.0646 | 100 | 95.4143 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0838
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0838 = 95.47
Taille de position USD = 95.47 x 1.0697 = 102.12
Donc, tu peux acheter 95.47 avec un stoploss a 1.1535
Avec un position size USD de 102.12$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 95.47 x 0.0838 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 95.47 x 0.0267 = 2.55
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.55$
Résumé
- Taille de position 95.47
- Taille de position USD 102.12
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 2.55
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.3186
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 2.55 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 7.83 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -2.61 $ | -2.56 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -3.4776 % | 44.39 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.0697 | 1.1535 | 1.043 | 0.32 | 0.2392 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1.0697
- Stop Loss: 1.1535
- Take Profit: 1.043
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.1535 - 1.0697 = 0.0838
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.0697 - 1.043 = 0.0267
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0267 / 0.0838 = 0.3186
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
1.2h)
Initial Risk: -7.834%
(0.0838)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -3.478% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 1.2h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -3.478% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 13 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -3.889% | 0.5R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -5.824% | 0.7R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.496% | 0.2R | -5.824% | 0.7R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.870% | 0.2R | -5.824% | 0.7R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Commentaires
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