Short Trade on VVV (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 17.2 VVV at 11.868$ per unit. Take profit: 10.7049 (9.8 %) & Stop Loss: 12.3332 (3.92 %)
31 Jul 2026 at 09:10:24
hyperliquid
VVV
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
31 Jul 2026 09:10
→ 21:10
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 11.868$
Qty 17.1954 VVV
Size 204.0755$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 10.7049 (+9.8%)
TP $ 20$
SL 12.3332 (-3.92%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
win
PnL
0.00%
MAE -1.76%
MFE +2.52%
0.6R
expires
31 Jul 21:10
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 54564)
#42 / 45
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 31/07/2026 09:00
score du 31/07/2026 09:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2121
Quality Score
0.447
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#42 / 45
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
86 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.92 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#42 / 45
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
86 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.92 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
3/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.45×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.97×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.22×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
2.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
31/07 09:02
31/07 09:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 30/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 31/07 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 31/07 08:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1189
range
ranging
range_bound
| Strategic |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
bear
— |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.63
Transition risk :
0.37
Score contribution (this trade)
+1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.78
Snapshot évalué :
31/07 09:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
31/07/2026 09:00
Score brut
0.4468
Score SMA
0.4714
Rank
#42
/ 45
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2121
Rank Norm SMA
0.2797
Calculé le
31/07/2026 09:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3745 | r1h: -0.285% · r4h: -2.408% · r1d: -1.23% · r3d: -8.36% · ema21_slope: -0.0600% · dist_ema21: -2.097% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3905 | rs_1h: -0.071% · rs_4h: -2.140% · rs_1d: 0.71% · rs_3d: -8.50% · beta_24h: 1.134 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2400 | rvol_20: 0.65× · zscore_50: -0.417 · trend: -16.62% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5919 | ADX: 21.2 (weak) · Chop: 48.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.504% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -3.920%
(0.4652)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.323% | 0.3R | -0.876% | 0.2R | 1.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.323% | 0.3R | -1.761% | 0.5R | 0.8× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.323% | 0.3R | -1.761% | 0.5R | 0.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.519% | 0.6R | -1.761% | 0.5R | 1.4× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +2.519% | 0.6R | -1.761% | 0.5R | 1.4× | 143 |
| 24h | +2.519% | 0.6R | -1.761% | 0.5R | 1.4× | 288 |
computed 2 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 1.43
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
69%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | near 0.2ATR | — | 0.46 | bear_high | -5.56% | +0.86 | 30/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | near -1.0ATR | — | 0.46 | bear_high | -0.92% | -0.50 | 31/07 08:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | near -0.5ATR | — | 0.45 | bear_medium | -1.02% | -0.01 | 31/07 08:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | strong | fading | compression | bear_medium |
58%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | — | 0.58 | bear_low | -0.94% | -0.16 | 31/07 08:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 2.693×ATR | p17 | -0.523×ATR | p54 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 18b | — | 3.765×ATR | p68 | -0.715×ATR | p73 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 4b | — | 2.355×ATR | p43 | -0.964×ATR | p81 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 10b | — | 3.931×ATR | p83 | -1.007×ATR | p81 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.8575
- reason: down_bo width=2.87×ATR dur=41b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 12.33323965
- tp_price: 10.70490088
- atr:
- score: 0.85752703526573
- expires_at: 2026-08-01T01:10:17.122482
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.85752703526573
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.1118
- obi_top10 : 0.0858
- micro_price : 11.8715
- spread_pct : 0.058982
- mid_price : 11.8715
- bid_wall_price : 11.8
- bid_wall_size : 11272.034
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 12
- ask_wall_size : 7854.406
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.1224
- obi_top5_std : 0.006
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6809
- aggregation_tick : 0.1
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
12.563
- balance_zone_bottom:
12.069
- balance_zone_mid:
12.316
- balance_zone_start_time:
1785358800
- balance_zone_end_time:
1785502800
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.8655
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
41
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8575
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1785492000
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
12.069
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.8537
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
3
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.1659
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
1
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
1
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
3
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
10
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.17239648 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
41
inside_close_ratio
0.8537
bars_since_breakout
3
distance_to_edge_atr
1.1659
Signaux confirmants (15)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09:10 | 11.86800000 | 0% |
| 2 | 09:16 | 11.86800000 | 0% |
| 3 | 09:21 | 11.89800000 | +0.253% |
| 4 | 09:27 | 11.89800000 | +0.253% |
| 5 | 09:34 | 11.89800000 | +0.253% |
| 6 | 09:39 | 11.93900000 | +0.598% |
| 7 | 09:45 | 11.93900000 | +0.598% |
| 8 | 09:51 | 11.86200000 | -0.051% |
| 9 | 09:57 | 11.86200000 | -0.051% |
| 10 | 10:04 | 11.86200000 | -0.051% |
| 11 | 10:10 | 11.71800000 | -1.264% |
| 12 | 10:16 | 11.71800000 | -1.264% |
| 13 | 10:22 | 11.91100000 | +0.362% |
| 14 | 10:27 | 11.91100000 | +0.362% |
| 15 | 10:34 | 11.91100000 | +0.362% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6809ms
Confidence avant OB :
86%
→
86%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.112
avg 0.122
± 0.006
OBI Top 10
0.086
Microstructure
Mid Price
11.8715
Micro Price
11.8715
Spread
0.0590%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
11.8000
Size
11,272.03
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
12.0000
Size
7,854.41
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.868 | 12.3332 | 10.7049 | 2.5 | 23.613 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 11.868
- Stop Loss: 12.3332
- Take Profit: 10.7049
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 12.3332 - 11.868 = 0.4652
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 11.868 - 10.7049 = 1.1631
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.1631 / 0.4652 = 2.5002
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 204.0755 | 100 | 17.1954 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.4652
Taille de position = 8 / 0.4652 = 17.2
Taille de position USD = 17.2 x 11.868 = 204.13
Donc, tu peux acheter 17.2 avec un stoploss a 12.3332
Avec un position size USD de 204.13$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 17.2 x 0.4652 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 17.2 x 1.1631 = 20.01
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.01$
Résumé
- Taille de position 17.2
- Taille de position USD 204.13
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20.01
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5002
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 9.8 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.92 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 0 $ | 0.00 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.761 % | 44.93 % | 28 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.868 | 12.3332 | 10.7049 | 2.5 | 23.613 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 11.868
- Stop Loss: 12.3332
- Take Profit: 10.7049
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 12.3332 - 11.868 = 0.4652
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 11.868 - 10.7049 = 1.1631
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.1631 / 0.4652 = 2.5002
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -3.920%
(0.4652)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.323% | 0.3R | -0.876% | 0.2R | 1.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.323% | 0.3R | -1.761% | 0.5R | 0.8× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.323% | 0.3R | -1.761% | 0.5R | 0.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.519% | 0.6R | -1.761% | 0.5R | 1.4× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +2.519% | 0.6R | -1.761% | 0.5R | 1.4× | 143 |
| 24h | +2.519% | 0.6R | -1.761% | 0.5R | 1.4× | 288 |
computed 2 months ago
Commentaires
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