Short Trade on LIT (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 75.14 LIT at 2.122$ per unit. Take profit: 1.856 (12.54 %) & Stop Loss: 2.2287 (5.02 %)
31 Jul 2026 at 10:11:00
hyperliquid
LIT
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
31 Jul 2026 10:11
→ 22:10
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 2.1222$
Qty 75.1368 LIT
Size 159.4554$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 1.856 (+12.54%)
TP $ 20$
SL 2.2287 (-5.02%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
win
PnL
+1.45%
/ +2.31$
MAE -1.21%
MFE +2.78%
0.6R
expires
31 Jul 22:10
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 54613)
#41 / 43
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 31/07/2026 10:00
score du 31/07/2026 10:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3158
Quality Score
0.441
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#41 / 43
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
85 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.02 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#41 / 43
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
85 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.02 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.66×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.60×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.04×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
14.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
31/07 10:02
31/07 10:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 30/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 31/07 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 31/07 09:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1190
range
ranging
range_bound
| Strategic |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
bear
— |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.63
Transition risk :
0.37
Score contribution (this trade)
+1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.78
Snapshot évalué :
31/07 10:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
31/07/2026 10:00
Score brut
0.4413
Score SMA
0.5004
Rank
#41
/ 43
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3158
Rank Norm SMA
0.4302
Calculé le
31/07/2026 10:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3471 | r1h: -1.016% · r4h: -1.787% · r1d: -6.37% · r3d: -2.06% · ema21_slope: -0.1349% · dist_ema21: -3.019% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3754 | rs_1h: -0.572% · rs_4h: -1.393% · rs_1d: -3.99% · rs_3d: -2.62% · beta_24h: 1.211 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2829 | rvol_20: 0.83× · zscore_50: -0.398 · trend: -7.50% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5785 | ADX: 16.5 (weak) · Chop: 45.5 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.857% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -5.018%
(0.1065)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.712% | 0.1R | -1.211% | 0.2R | 0.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.466% | 0.3R | -1.211% | 0.2R | 1.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.466% | 0.3R | -1.211% | 0.2R | 1.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.785% | 0.6R | -1.211% | 0.2R | 2.3× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +2.785% | 0.6R | -1.211% | 0.2R | 2.3× | 144 |
| 24h | +4.396% | 0.9R | -1.211% | 0.2R | 3.6× | 288 |
computed 2 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 2.11
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | — | — | bear_high | -5.56% | -0.93 | 30/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | near -0.6ATR | — | 0.39 | bear_high | -0.91% | -0.20 | 31/07 08:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | near -0.7ATR | — | 0.47 | bear_medium | -1.29% | +0.04 | 31/07 09:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late | near -1.8ATR | — | 0.35 | bear_low_confirmed | -1.30% | -0.15 | 31/07 09:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 25b | — | 2.927×ATR | p21 | -0.202×ATR | p22 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 10b | — | 0.506×ATR | p3 | -0.635×ATR | p64 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 2b | — | 1.378×ATR | p0 | -0.453×ATR | p39 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 10b | — | 3.991×ATR | p81 | -0.564×ATR | p47 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.8493
- reason: down_bo width=3.00×ATR dur=46b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 2.2286724
- tp_price: 1.856019
- atr:
- score: 0.8492553081833
- expires_at: 2026-08-01T02:10:52.781096
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.8492553081833
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.1616
- obi_top10 : 0.2152
- micro_price : 2.12257377
- spread_pct : 0.047125
- mid_price : 2.1225
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 2.18
- ask_wall_size : 18107
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.1051
- obi_top5_std : 0.0499
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6870
- aggregation_tick : 0.01
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
2.2842
- balance_zone_bottom:
2.1652
- balance_zone_mid:
2.2247
- balance_zone_start_time:
1785344400
- balance_zone_end_time:
1785506400
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.9957
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
46
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8493
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1785502800
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
2.1652
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.8696
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.0825
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
8
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
8
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.03972399 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
46
inside_close_ratio
0.8696
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
1.0825
Signaux confirmants (18)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10:11 | 2.12220000 | 0% |
| 2 | 10:17 | 2.12220000 | 0% |
| 3 | 10:22 | 2.13260000 | +0.49% |
| 4 | 10:28 | 2.13260000 | +0.49% |
| 5 | 10:35 | 2.13260000 | +0.49% |
| 6 | 10:40 | 2.13830000 | +0.759% |
| 7 | 10:46 | 2.13830000 | +0.759% |
| 8 | 10:52 | 2.13470000 | +0.589% |
| 9 | 10:58 | 2.13470000 | +0.589% |
| 10 | 11:06 | 2.13470000 | +0.589% |
| 11 | 11:52 | 2.10200000 | -0.952% |
| 12 | 11:58 | 2.10200000 | -0.952% |
| 13 | 12:05 | 2.10200000 | -0.952% |
| 14 | 12:40 | 2.11530000 | -0.325% |
| 15 | 12:46 | 2.11530000 | -0.325% |
| 16 | 12:52 | 2.11090000 | -0.532% |
| 17 | 12:58 | 2.11090000 | -0.532% |
| 18 | 13:05 | 2.11090000 | -0.532% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6870ms
Confidence avant OB :
85%
→
85%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.162
avg 0.105
± 0.050
OBI Top 10
0.215
Microstructure
Mid Price
2.1225
Micro Price
2.1226
Spread
0.0471%
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
2.1800
Size
18,107.00
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.1222 | 2.2287 | 1.856 | 2.5 | 3.157 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 2.1222
- Stop Loss: 2.2287
- Take Profit: 1.856
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.2287 - 2.1222 = 0.1065
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.1222 - 1.856 = 0.2662
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.2662 / 0.1065 = 2.4995
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 159.4554 | 100 | 75.1368 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.1065
Taille de position = 8 / 0.1065 = 75.12
Taille de position USD = 75.12 x 2.1222 = 159.42
Donc, tu peux acheter 75.12 avec un stoploss a 2.2287
Avec un position size USD de 159.42$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 75.12 x 0.1065 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 75.12 x 0.2662 = 20
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$
Résumé
- Taille de position 75.12
- Taille de position USD 159.42
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4995
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 12.54 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.02 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 2.31 $ | 1.45 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.211 % | 24.13 % | 14 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.1222 | 2.2287 | 1.856 | 2.5 | 3.157 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 2.1222
- Stop Loss: 2.2287
- Take Profit: 1.856
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.2287 - 2.1222 = 0.1065
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.1222 - 1.856 = 0.2662
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.2662 / 0.1065 = 2.4995
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -5.018%
(0.1065)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.712% | 0.1R | -1.211% | 0.2R | 0.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.466% | 0.3R | -1.211% | 0.2R | 1.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.466% | 0.3R | -1.211% | 0.2R | 1.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.785% | 0.6R | -1.211% | 0.2R | 2.3× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +2.785% | 0.6R | -1.211% | 0.2R | 2.3× | 144 |
| 24h | +4.396% | 0.9R | -1.211% | 0.2R | 3.6× | 288 |
computed 2 months ago
Commentaires
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