Long Trade on BNB (CatchTheWave)
With 3.79 BNB at 586.65$ per unit. Take profit: 590.8737 (0.72 %) & Stop Loss: 584.5382 (0.36 %)
Long Trade on BNB (CatchTheWave)
With 3.79 BNB at 586.65$ per unit. Take profit: 590.8737 (0.72 %) & Stop Loss: 584.5382 (0.36 %)
Position
Entry 586.65$
Qty 3.7882 BNB
Size 2222.3269$ (margin 100$) (leverage 22)
Risk Setup
TP 590.8737 (+0.72%)
TP $ 16$
SL 584.5382 (-0.36%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8370
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.98×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.79×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.38×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 30/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 31/07 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_medium (+1) 31/07 10:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.56177 15m : 0.641564 |
1H_regime : bull_medium 15m_regime : bear_low_confirmed 5m_regime : bear_low_confirmed |
| Strategic |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
bear
— |
expansion
-1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5514 | r1h: -0.184% · r4h: 0.164% · r1d: 0.55% · r3d: 4.63% · ema21_slope: 0.0356% · dist_ema21: 0.222% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5929 | rs_1h: 0.260% · rs_4h: 0.558% · rs_1d: 2.92% · rs_3d: 4.07% · beta_24h: 0.625 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2318 | rvol_20: 0.72× · zscore_50: -0.353 · trend: -35.51% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6225 | ADX: 33.7 (trend) · Chop: 57.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.523% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.244% | 0.7R | -0.324% | 0.9R | 0.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.244% | 0.7R | -0.479% | 1.3R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.546% | 1.5R | -0.479% | 1.3R | 1.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.546% | 1.5R | -0.479% | 1.3R | 1.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.626% | 1.7R | -0.479% | 1.3R | 1.3× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | — | near -0.4ATR | 0.79 | bear_high | -5.56% | +0.30 | 30/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | — | — | 0.84 | bear_high | -2.59% | +0.46 | 31/07 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_medium |
59%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | near -1.1ATR | — | 0.76 | bear_medium_confirmed | -2.47% | +0.18 | 31/07 10:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | range_low |
30%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | near -0.3ATR | — | — | bear_low_confirmed | -2.30% | +0.10 | 31/07 10:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 7b | — | 2.669×ATR | p11 | +1.265×ATR | p91 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 10b | — | 3.427×ATR | p52 | -0.106×ATR | p11 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 1b | — | 2.186×ATR | p30 | -0.721×ATR | p68 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 4b | — | 3.699×ATR | p57 | -1.382×ATR | p84 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63757.6
-0.0193337
62525
0.56177
64223
-0.0264394
62525
0.641564
64271.1
-0.0252073
62651
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595.19
198
0.6068
0.5087
0.3107
0.2525
0.3583
1
0.3401
0.5157
0.6386
0.8437
0.5937
0.7574
0.023
0.0699
0.6667
-0.5322
0.8261
0.5
0.5
1
1
1
0.4949
0.409
2.4276
0.65
1.3867
2.3044
0.8261
0.5076
0.2593
0.94
0.1195
0.5155
0.4277
0.859
0.7574
-2.2371
6.9851
1
1
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10:18 | 586.65000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 10:24 | 586.31000000 | -0.058% |
| 3 | 11:12 | 585.32000000 | -0.227% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 07:45:00 | 589.74 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 08:00:00 | 589.74 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 08:50:00 | 593.21 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 09:30:00 | 589.84 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 09:50:00 | 590.95 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 10:05:00 | 588.09 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 11:25:00 | 593.84 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 12:30:00 | 589.87 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 13:05:00 | 595.19 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 14:10:00 | 584.84 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 23:30:00 | 594.59 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 01:00:00 | 594.52 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 03:00:00 | 586 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 06:45:00 | 592.93 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 07:45:00 | 589.74 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 08:45:00 | 593.21 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 10:00:00 | 588.09 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 11:15:00 | 593.84 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 13:00:00 | 595.19 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 14:00:00 | 584.84 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 00:00:00 | 573.24 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 04:00:00 | 565.71 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 09:00:00 | 573.11 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 18:00:00 | 573.21 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 21:00:00 | 565.12 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 02:00:00 | 577.38 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 17:00:00 | 596.02 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 03:00:00 | 586 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 13:00:00 | 595.19 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 14:00:00 | 584.84 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 586.65 | 584.5382 | 590.8737 | 2 | 702.77 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 584.5382 - 586.65 = -2.1118
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 586.65 - 590.8737 = -4.2237
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -4.2237 / -2.1118 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2222.3269 | 100 | 3.7882 | 22.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -2.1118 = -3.79
Taille de position USD = -3.79 x 586.65 = -2223.4
Donc, tu peux acheter -3.79 avec un stoploss a 584.5382
Avec un position size USD de -2223.4$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -3.79 x -2.1118 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -3.79 x -4.2237 = 16.01
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.72 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.36 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.36 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.4517 % | 125.47 % | 7 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 586.65 | 584.5382 | 590.8737 | 2 | 702.77 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 584.5382 - 586.65 = -2.1118
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 586.65 - 590.8737 = -4.2237
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -4.2237 / -2.1118 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.244% | 0.7R | -0.324% | 0.9R | 0.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.244% | 0.7R | -0.479% | 1.3R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.546% | 1.5R | -0.479% | 1.3R | 1.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.546% | 1.5R | -0.479% | 1.3R | 1.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.626% | 1.7R | -0.479% | 1.3R | 1.3× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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