Short Trade on DOGE (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 7536.01 DOGE at 0.0694$ per unit. Take profit: 0.06679 (3.82 %) & Stop Loss: 0.0705 (1.53 %)
31 Jul 2026 at 11:07:21
hyperliquid
DOGE
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
31 Jul 2026 11:07
→ 23:05
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.06944$
Qty 7536.008 DOGE
Size 523.2929$ (margin 100$) (leverage 5)
Risk Setup
TP 0.06679 (+3.82%)
TP $ 19.97$
SL 0.0705 (-1.53%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-0.97%
/ -5.07$
MAE -1.31%
MFE +0.90%
0.6R
expires
31 Jul 23:07
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 54622)
#4 / 44
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 31/07/2026 11:00
score du 31/07/2026 11:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5722
Quality Score
0.683
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#4 / 44
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
78 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.53 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#4 / 44
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
78 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.53 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -1.07×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.43×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
11.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
31/07 11:00
31/07 11:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 30/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 31/07 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_medium_confirmed (+1) 31/07 10:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1191
range
ranging
range_bound
| Strategic |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
bear
— |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.63
Transition risk :
0.37
Score contribution (this trade)
+1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.78
Snapshot évalué :
31/07 11:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
31/07/2026 11:00
Score brut
0.6830
Score SMA
0.4963
Rank
#4
/ 44
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5722
Rank Norm SMA
0.3785
Calculé le
31/07/2026 11:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4406 | r1h: 0.020% · r4h: -0.299% · r1d: -1.81% · r3d: -1.00% · ema21_slope: -0.0600% · dist_ema21: -0.876% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5933 | rs_1h: 0.989% · rs_4h: 1.655% · rs_1d: 1.29% · rs_3d: 0.19% · beta_24h: 0.385 |
| Volume | 20% | 1.0000 | rvol_20: 9.67× · zscore_50: 5.056 · trend: 235.01% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6833 | ADX: 22.0 (weak) · Chop: 34.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.679% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.527%
(0.0011)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.902% | 0.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +0.902% | 0.6R | -0.477% | 0.3R | 1.9× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.902% | 0.6R | -1.313% | 0.9R | 0.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.902% | 0.6R | -1.313% | 0.9R | 0.7× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.902% | 0.6R | -1.313% | 0.9R | 0.7× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.902% | 0.6R | -1.313% | 0.9R | 0.7× | 288 |
computed 2 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 2.02
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late_trend | bear_trend | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 36% | mid | — | — | 0.79 | bear_high | -5.56% | -0.47 | 30/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 37% | late | near -1.4ATR | — | 0.83 | bear_high | -2.59% | -0.06 | 31/07 08:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bear_medium_confirmed |
57%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | near -1.1ATR | — | 0.72 | bear_medium_confirmed | -2.48% | +0.11 | 31/07 10:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion | bear_low_confirmed |
50%
|
noisy_chop 33% | early | near -0.8ATR | — | — | bear_low_confirmed | -2.21% | +0.15 | 31/07 10:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 27b | — | 3.772×ATR | p38 | -0.556×ATR | p62 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 5b | — | 2.327×ATR | p4 | -1.27×ATR | p92 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 19b | — | 3.657×ATR | p79 | -0.691×ATR | p72 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 1b | — | 1.437×ATR | p3 | -0.488×ATR | p51 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.779
- reason: down_bo width=2.42×ATR dur=64b phase=extending
- stop_price: 0.07050057
- tp_price: 0.06678508
- atr:
- score: 0.77898528690634
- expires_at: 2026-08-01T03:07:13.849105
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.77898528690634
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : -0.0261
- obi_top10 : -0.1054
- micro_price : 0.06940965
- spread_pct : 0.014409
- mid_price : 0.069405
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.0704
- ask_wall_size : 35822173
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : -0.0283
- obi_top5_std : 0.002
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6785
- aggregation_tick : 0.0001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.071
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.069911
- balance_zone_mid:
0.0704555
- balance_zone_start_time:
1785283200
- balance_zone_end_time:
1785510000
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.4163
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
64
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: stretched
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.779
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: extending
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1785488400
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.069911
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.7969
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
6
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.0473
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
13
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
18
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.00045068 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
64
inside_close_ratio
0.7969
bars_since_breakout
6
distance_to_edge_atr
1.0473
Signaux confirmants (37)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11:07 | 0.06943900 | -0.001% |
| 2 | 11:13 | 0.06943900 | -0.001% |
| 3 | 11:19 | 0.06929100 | -0.215% |
| 4 | 11:25 | 0.06929100 | -0.215% |
| 5 | 11:31 | 0.06929100 | -0.215% |
| 6 | 11:37 | 0.06900500 | -0.626% |
| 7 | 11:43 | 0.06900500 | -0.626% |
| 8 | 11:49 | 0.06903600 | -0.582% |
| 9 | 11:55 | 0.06903600 | -0.582% |
| 10 | 12:01 | 0.06903600 | -0.582% |
| 11 | 12:07 | 0.06901000 | -0.619% |
| 12 | 12:13 | 0.06901000 | -0.619% |
| 13 | 12:19 | 0.06913900 | -0.433% |
| 14 | 12:25 | 0.06913900 | -0.433% |
| 15 | 12:31 | 0.06913900 | -0.433% |
| 16 | 12:37 | 0.06934100 | -0.143% |
| 17 | 12:43 | 0.06934100 | -0.143% |
| 18 | 12:49 | 0.06944100 | +0.001% |
| 19 | 12:55 | 0.06944100 | +0.001% |
| 20 | 13:01 | 0.06944100 | +0.001% |
| 21 | 13:07 | 0.06967000 | +0.331% |
| 22 | 13:13 | 0.06967000 | +0.331% |
| 23 | 13:19 | 0.06964900 | +0.301% |
| 24 | 13:25 | 0.06964900 | +0.301% |
| 25 | 13:31 | 0.06964900 | +0.301% |
| 26 | 13:37 | 0.06983100 | +0.563% |
| 27 | 13:43 | 0.06983100 | +0.563% |
| 28 | 16:07 | 0.06978700 | +0.5% |
| 29 | 16:13 | 0.06978700 | +0.5% |
| 30 | 16:19 | 0.06984300 | +0.58% |
| 31 | 16:25 | 0.06984300 | +0.58% |
| 32 | 16:31 | 0.06984300 | +0.58% |
| 33 | 16:37 | 0.06972500 | +0.41% |
| 34 | 16:43 | 0.06972500 | +0.41% |
| 35 | 16:49 | 0.06967500 | +0.338% |
| 36 | 16:55 | 0.06967500 | +0.338% |
| 37 | 17:01 | 0.06967500 | +0.338% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6785ms
Confidence avant OB :
78%
→
78%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
-0.026
avg -0.028
± 0.002
OBI Top 10
-0.105
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.0694
Micro Price
0.0694
Spread
0.0144%
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.0704
Size
35,822,173.00
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.06944 | 0.0705 | 0.06679 | 2.5 | 0.07579 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.06944
- Stop Loss: 0.0705
- Take Profit: 0.06679
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.0705 - 0.06944 = 0.00106
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.06944 - 0.06679 = 0.00265
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00265 / 0.00106 = 2.5
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 523.2929 | 100 | 7536.008 | 5.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.00106
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00106 = 7547.17
Taille de position USD = 7547.17 x 0.06944 = 524.08
Donc, tu peux acheter 7547.17 avec un stoploss a 0.0705
Avec un position size USD de 524.08$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 7547.17 x 0.00106 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 7547.17 x 0.00265 = 20
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$
Résumé
- Taille de position 7547.17
- Taille de position USD 524.08
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.82 % | 19.97 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.53 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -5.07 $ | -0.97 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.3134 % | 86.04 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.06944 | 0.0705 | 0.06679 | 2.5 | 0.07579 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.06944
- Stop Loss: 0.0705
- Take Profit: 0.06679
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.0705 - 0.06944 = 0.00106
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.06944 - 0.06679 = 0.00265
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00265 / 0.00106 = 2.5
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.527%
(0.0011)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.902% | 0.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +0.902% | 0.6R | -0.477% | 0.3R | 1.9× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.902% | 0.6R | -1.313% | 0.9R | 0.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.902% | 0.6R | -1.313% | 0.9R | 0.7× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.902% | 0.6R | -1.313% | 0.9R | 0.7× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.902% | 0.6R | -1.313% | 0.9R | 0.7× | 288 |
computed 2 months ago
Commentaires
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