Short Trade on VVV (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 28.61 VVV at 12.056$ per unit. Take profit: 11.3569 (5.8 %) & Stop Loss: 12.3356 (2.32 %)
31 Jul 2026 at 10:39:48
hyperliquid
VVV
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
31 Jul 2026 10:39
→ 22:35
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 12.056$
Qty 28.6092 VVV
Size 344.9121$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 11.3569 (+5.8%)
TP $ 20$
SL 12.3356 (-2.32%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
win
PnL
+1.14%
/ +3.92$
MAE -0.00%
MFE +4.04%
1.7R
expires
31 Jul 22:39
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 54607)
#22 / 43
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 31/07/2026 10:00
score du 31/07/2026 10:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2480
Quality Score
0.508
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#22 / 43
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
87 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.32 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#22 / 43
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
87 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.32 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
3/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.37×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.26×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.22×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
2.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
31/07 10:31
31/07 10:31
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 30/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 31/07 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 31/07 10:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
31/07/2026 10:00
Score brut
0.5084
Score SMA
0.4729
Rank
#22
/ 43
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2480
Rank Norm SMA
0.2841
Calculé le
31/07/2026 10:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3601 | r1h: -0.008% · r4h: -2.129% · r1d: -3.44% · r3d: -7.54% · ema21_slope: -0.0885% · dist_ema21: -2.280% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4010 | rs_1h: 0.436% · rs_4h: -1.735% · rs_1d: -1.07% · rs_3d: -8.11% · beta_24h: 0.616 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5448 | rvol_20: 1.63× · zscore_50: 0.823 · trend: 32.29% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6079 | ADX: 20.7 (weak) · Chop: 46.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.511% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.319%
(0.2796)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.323% | 1.0R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +2.472% | 1.1R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +2.472% | 1.1R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +4.040% | 1.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +4.040% | 1.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 144 |
| 24h | +4.040% | 1.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 288 |
computed 2 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 0.7
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
69%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | near 0.2ATR | — | 0.46 | bear_high | -5.56% | +0.86 | 30/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | near -1.3ATR | — | 0.46 | bear_high | -2.59% | -0.46 | 31/07 08:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | grind | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
61%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | near -0.4ATR | — | 0.43 | bear_medium_confirmed | -2.47% | +0.06 | 31/07 10:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion | bear_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | — | — | — | bear_low_confirmed | -2.24% | +0.04 | 31/07 10:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 2.693×ATR | p17 | -0.523×ATR | p54 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 18b | — | 3.958×ATR | p68 | -0.976×ATR | p86 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 6b | — | 2.157×ATR | p31 | -0.465×ATR | p50 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 1b | — | 2.78×ATR | p38 | +0.756×ATR | p69 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.8694
- reason: down_bo width=2.52×ATR dur=42b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 12.33563069
- tp_price: 11.35692327
- atr:
- score: 0.86937785656665
- expires_at: 2026-08-01T02:39:40.363874
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.86937785656665
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0556
- obi_top10 : 0.061
- micro_price : 11.98139646
- spread_pct : 0.066789
- mid_price : 11.982
- bid_wall_price : 11.9
- bid_wall_size : 9352.492
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price :
- ask_wall_size :
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.035
- obi_top5_std : 0.0144
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7062
- aggregation_tick : 0.1
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
12.563
- balance_zone_bottom:
12.069
- balance_zone_mid:
12.316
- balance_zone_start_time:
1785358800
- balance_zone_end_time:
1785506400
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.5165
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
42
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8694
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1785492000
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
12.069
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.8333
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
4
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.0662
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
1
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
2
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
4
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
10
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.19630694 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
42
inside_close_ratio
0.8333
bars_since_breakout
4
distance_to_edge_atr
0.0662
Signaux confirmants (7)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10:39 | 12.05600000 | 0% |
| 2 | 10:45 | 12.05600000 | 0% |
| 3 | 10:51 | 11.89200000 | -1.36% |
| 4 | 10:57 | 11.89200000 | -1.36% |
| 5 | 11:05 | 11.89200000 | -1.36% |
| 6 | 11:10 | 11.90500000 | -1.252% |
| 7 | 11:16 | 11.90500000 | -1.252% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7062ms
Confidence avant OB :
87%
→
87%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.056
avg 0.035
± 0.014
OBI Top 10
0.061
Microstructure
Mid Price
11.9820
Micro Price
11.9814
Spread
0.0668%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
11.9000
Size
9,352.49
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.056 | 12.3356 | 11.3569 | 2.5 | 23.438 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 12.056
- Stop Loss: 12.3356
- Take Profit: 11.3569
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 12.3356 - 12.056 = 0.2796
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 12.056 - 11.3569 = 0.6991
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.6991 / 0.2796 = 2.5004
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 344.9121 | 100 | 28.6092 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.2796
Taille de position = 8 / 0.2796 = 28.61
Taille de position USD = 28.61 x 12.056 = 344.92
Donc, tu peux acheter 28.61 avec un stoploss a 12.3356
Avec un position size USD de 344.92$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 28.61 x 0.2796 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 28.61 x 0.6991 = 20
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$
Résumé
- Taille de position 28.61
- Taille de position USD 344.92
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5004
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.8 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.32 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 3.92 $ | 1.14 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.056 | 12.3356 | 11.3569 | 2.5 | 23.438 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 12.056
- Stop Loss: 12.3356
- Take Profit: 11.3569
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 12.3356 - 12.056 = 0.2796
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 12.056 - 11.3569 = 0.6991
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.6991 / 0.2796 = 2.5004
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.319%
(0.2796)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.323% | 1.0R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +2.472% | 1.1R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +2.472% | 1.1R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +4.040% | 1.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +4.040% | 1.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 144 |
| 24h | +4.040% | 1.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 288 |
computed 2 months ago
Commentaires
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