Short Trade on LTC (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 19.82 LTC at 44.823$ per unit. Take profit: 43.8141 (2.25 %) & Stop Loss: 45.2266 (0.9 %)
31 Jul 2026 at 11:36:57
hyperliquid
LTC
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
31 Jul 2026 11:36
→ 23:30
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 44.823$
Qty 19.8227 LTC
Size 888.515$ (margin 100$) (leverage 9)
Risk Setup
TP 43.8141 (+2.25%)
TP $ 20$
SL 45.2266 (-0.9%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
win
PnL
+0.65%
/ +5.75$
MAE -0.33%
MFE +1.49%
1.7R
expires
31 Jul 23:36
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 54620)
#36 / 44
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 31/07/2026 11:00
score du 31/07/2026 11:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2040
Quality Score
0.541
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#36 / 44
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
87 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
0.90 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#36 / 44
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
87 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
0.90 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | -0.08×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.61×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
1.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
31/07 11:30
31/07 11:30
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 30/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 31/07 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_medium (+1) 31/07 11:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
31/07/2026 11:00
Score brut
0.5408
Score SMA
0.4793
Rank
#36
/ 44
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2040
Rank Norm SMA
0.2747
Calculé le
31/07/2026 11:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4580 | r1h: -0.165% · r4h: -0.317% · r1d: -0.68% · r3d: -2.76% · ema21_slope: -0.0404% · dist_ema21: -0.667% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5848 | rs_1h: 0.805% · rs_4h: 1.637% · rs_1d: 2.42% · rs_3d: -1.57% · beta_24h: 0.503 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3268 | rvol_20: 1.10× · zscore_50: 0.000 · trend: -27.26% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6123 | ADX: 19.3 (weak) · Chop: 44.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.626% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -0.900%
(0.4036)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.312% | 0.4R | -0.330% | 0.4R | 1.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.419% | 0.5R | -0.330% | 0.4R | 1.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.419% | 0.5R | -0.330% | 0.4R | 1.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.479% | 1.6R | -0.330% | 0.4R | 4.5× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.495% | 1.7R | -0.330% | 0.4R | 4.5× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.754% | 2.0R | -0.330% | 0.4R | 5.3× | 288 |
computed 2 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 3.47
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 33% | mid | — | — | 0.73 | bear_high | -5.56% | +0.04 | 30/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | near -0.1ATR | — | 0.70 | bear_high_confirmed | -2.54% | -0.20 | 31/07 08:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | normal | bear_medium |
64%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | — | 0.59 | bear_medium_confirmed | -2.50% | +0.22 | 31/07 11:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | strong | balanced | expansion | bear_low |
49%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | near -0.7ATR | — | — | bear_low | -2.22% | +0.16 | 31/07 11:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 5b | — | 2.343×ATR | p0 | -0.749×ATR | p75 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 1.775×ATR | p0 | -0.611×ATR | p58 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 2b | — | 1.339×ATR | p0 | -0.551×ATR | p53 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 5b | — | 0.926×ATR | p0 | -0.387×ATR | p35 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.8697
- reason: down_bo width=2.63×ATR dur=60b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 45.22657677
- tp_price: 43.81405807
- atr:
- score: 0.86965515377364
- expires_at: 2026-08-01T03:36:49.788929
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.86965515377364
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0291
- obi_top10 : 0.0387
- micro_price : 44.9288499
- spread_pct : 0.022262
- mid_price : 44.925
- bid_wall_price : 44.7
- bid_wall_size : 23419.68
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 45
- ask_wall_size : 22278.54
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0281
- obi_top5_std : 0.0006
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6798
- aggregation_tick : 0.1
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
45.559
- balance_zone_bottom:
44.8395
- balance_zone_mid:
45.19925
- balance_zone_start_time:
1785297600
- balance_zone_end_time:
1785510000
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.6329
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
60
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: stretched
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8697
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1785506400
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
44.8395
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.85
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.0604
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
7
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
8
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.27326774 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
60
inside_close_ratio
0.85
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.0604
Signaux confirmants (13)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11:36 | 44.82300000 | 0% |
| 2 | 11:42 | 44.82300000 | 0% |
| 3 | 13:06 | 44.73400000 | -0.199% |
| 4 | 13:12 | 44.73400000 | -0.199% |
| 5 | 13:18 | 44.76900000 | -0.12% |
| 6 | 13:24 | 44.76900000 | -0.12% |
| 7 | 13:31 | 44.76900000 | -0.12% |
| 8 | 17:07 | 44.58800000 | -0.524% |
| 9 | 17:12 | 44.58800000 | -0.524% |
| 10 | 17:18 | 44.61000000 | -0.475% |
| 11 | 17:24 | 44.61000000 | -0.475% |
| 12 | 17:31 | 44.61000000 | -0.475% |
| 13 | 17:36 | 44.67900000 | -0.321% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6798ms
Confidence avant OB :
87%
→
87%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.029
avg 0.028
± 0.001
OBI Top 10
0.039
Microstructure
Mid Price
44.9250
Micro Price
44.9288
Spread
0.0223%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
44.7000
Size
23,419.68
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
45.0000
Size
22,278.54
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.823 | 45.2266 | 43.8141 | 2.5 | 55.206 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 44.823
- Stop Loss: 45.2266
- Take Profit: 43.8141
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 45.2266 - 44.823 = 0.4036
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 44.823 - 43.8141 = 1.0089
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.0089 / 0.4036 = 2.4998
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 888.515 | 100 | 19.8227 | 9.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.4036
Taille de position = 8 / 0.4036 = 19.82
Taille de position USD = 19.82 x 44.823 = 888.39
Donc, tu peux acheter 19.82 avec un stoploss a 45.2266
Avec un position size USD de 888.39$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 19.82 x 0.4036 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 19.82 x 1.0089 = 20
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$
Résumé
- Taille de position 19.82
- Taille de position USD 888.39
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4998
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.25 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.9 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 5.75 $ | 0.65 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3302 % | 36.67 % | 10 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.823 | 45.2266 | 43.8141 | 2.5 | 55.206 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 44.823
- Stop Loss: 45.2266
- Take Profit: 43.8141
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 45.2266 - 44.823 = 0.4036
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 44.823 - 43.8141 = 1.0089
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.0089 / 0.4036 = 2.4998
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -0.900%
(0.4036)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.312% | 0.4R | -0.330% | 0.4R | 1.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.419% | 0.5R | -0.330% | 0.4R | 1.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.419% | 0.5R | -0.330% | 0.4R | 1.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.479% | 1.6R | -0.330% | 0.4R | 4.5× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.495% | 1.7R | -0.330% | 0.4R | 4.5× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.754% | 2.0R | -0.330% | 0.4R | 5.3× | 288 |
computed 2 months ago
Commentaires
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