Short Trade on LIT

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31 Jul 2026 at 12:10:05 hyperliquid

Short Trade on LIT (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 84.89 LIT at 2.092$ per unit. Take profit: 2.04 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 2.1865 (4.5 %)

LIT SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 31 Jul 2026 12:10 → 18:05 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 2.0923$

Qty 84.8918 LIT

Size 177.6191$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 2.04 (+2.5%)

TP $ 4.44$

SL 2.1865 (-4.5%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.56

Status win PnL +0.13% / +0.24$ MAE -2.42% MFE +1.40% 0.3R expires 31 Jul 18:10 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 54701)

#43 / 44 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 31/07/2026 12:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.2959

Quality Score

0.421

score brut du coin

Quality Rank

#43 / 44 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

100 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

+1 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

4.50 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#43 / 44 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

100 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

+1 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

4.50 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	near	0.16×ATR
4h	clear	0.61×ATR
1d	clear	2.04×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	late	BLOCKED
4h	↓ down	late	BLOCKED
1d	↓ down	early	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score

+1 OK

seuil : ≥ +3

Breadth Leadership

N/A

attendu : btc_leading

Breadth State

N/A

attendu : contracting / deteriorating

Décision V5

N/A

regime + leadership

Context

Volume 24h (signal)

14.5M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
31/07 12:02

Coin Market Regime V2
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 30/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 31/07 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 31/07 11:00 Score : 0 / ±6

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

30/07 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

31/07 08:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

31/07 11:00

Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 1192

range ranging range_bound

Strategic	range —	range 0
Operational	range —	range 0
Tactical	bear —	expansion +1
Micro	— —

MTF alignment : 0.65

Stability : 0.63

Transition risk : 0.37

Score contribution (this trade) +1

Market Breadth

Breadth Score —

Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown

Breadth state insufficient_history

Δ 15m

·—

Δ 1h

·—

Δ 4h

·—

Δ 12h

·—

Δ 24h

·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)

15m	—
1h	—
4h	—
24h	—

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	—	—
4h	—	—
24h	—	—

Expansion & Tails (4h)

Up ≥1σ

—

Down ≥1σ

—

Expansion

—

Tail ↑

—

Tail ↓

—

Dispersion : —

Universe : —

Regime confidence : 0.78

Snapshot évalué : 31/07 12:00 · env range_bound

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 31/07/2026 12:00

Score brut

0.4211

Score SMA

0.4937

Rank

#43 / 44

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.2959

Rank Norm SMA

0.3733

Calculé le

31/07/2026 12:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.2302	r1h: -1.273% · r4h: -3.909% · r1d: -6.57% · r3d: -8.01% · ema21_slope: -0.1960% · dist_ema21: -4.205%
Force Relative	25%	0.2984	rs_1h: -1.389% · rs_4h: -2.295% · rs_1d: -3.56% · rs_3d: -6.18% · beta_24h: 0.992
Volume	20%	0.4134	rvol_20: 1.20× · zscore_50: 0.201 · trend: 15.85%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.6320	ADX: 19.3 (weak) · Chop: 41.7 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 1.900% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.502% (0.0942)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.019%	0.0R	-2.060%	0.5R	0.0×	12
2h	+0.019%	0.0R	-2.423%	0.5R	0.0×	24
4h	+1.396%	0.3R	-2.423%	0.5R	0.6×	48
6h ★	+1.396%	0.3R	-2.423%	0.5R	0.6×	72
8h	+1.396%	0.3R	-2.423%	0.5R	0.6×	96
12h	+1.764%	0.4R	-2.423%	0.5R	0.7×	144

computed 2 months ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30

ML Pullback Score: 0.36

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	compression	bull_high	55%	noisy_chop 38%	early	—	—	—	bear_high	-5.56%	-0.93	30/07 20:00
4h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	expansion	bear_high	54%	noisy_chop 38%	late	—	—	0.39	bear_high_confirmed	-2.54%	-0.26	31/07 08:00
1h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	normal	bear_high	57%	noisy_chop 42%	late	near 0.2ATR	—	0.47	bear_medium_confirmed	-2.28%	-0.32	31/07 11:00
15m	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	fading	normal	bear_high	61%	noisy_chop 48%	late	—	—	0.39	bear_low	-2.06%	-0.16	31/07 11:45
5m	—

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↓ down	early	25b	—	2.927×ATR	p21	-0.202×ATR	p22
4h	↓ down	late	3b	—	2.319×ATR	p19	-1.113×ATR	p85
1h	↓ down	late	4b	—	3.045×ATR	p59	-1.326×ATR	p90
15m	↓ down	late	6b	—	2.397×ATR	p32	-1.138×ATR	p86

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 2.1865376
tp_price: 2.0399925
atr: 0.03769504
expires_at: 2026-07-31T22:10:05+00:00

Details

rank: 44
total: 44
score: 0.2302
delta_2h: -0.1169
extension_atr: -2.39
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.2959
confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
2.0923	2.1865	2.04	0.56	2.7329

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 2.0923
Stop Loss: 2.1865
Take Profit: 2.04

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 2.1865 - 2.0923 = 0.0942
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 2.0923 - 2.04 = 0.0523
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0523 / 0.0942 = 0.5552

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
177.6191	100	84.8918	2.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.0942

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0942 = 84.93

Taille de position USD = 84.93 x 2.0923 = 177.7

Donc, tu peux acheter 84.93 avec un stoploss a 2.1865

Avec un position size USD de 177.7$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 84.93 x 0.0942 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 84.93 x 0.0523 = 4.44

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.44$

Résumé

Taille de position 84.93
Taille de position USD 177.7
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 4.44
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5552

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.5 %	4.44 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
4.5 %	8 $

PNL	PNL %
0.24 $	0.13

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-2.4232 %	53.82 %	8

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
2.0923	2.1865	2.04	0.56	2.7329

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 2.0923
Stop Loss: 2.1865
Take Profit: 2.04

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 2.1865 - 2.0923 = 0.0942
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 2.0923 - 2.04 = 0.0523
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0523 / 0.0942 = 0.5552

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.502% (0.0942)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.019%	0.0R	-2.060%	0.5R	0.0×	12
2h	+0.019%	0.0R	-2.423%	0.5R	0.0×	24
4h	+1.396%	0.3R	-2.423%	0.5R	0.6×	48
6h ★	+1.396%	0.3R	-2.423%	0.5R	0.6×	72
8h	+1.396%	0.3R	-2.423%	0.5R	0.6×	96
12h	+1.764%	0.4R	-2.423%	0.5R	0.7×	144

computed 2 months ago

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