Short Trade on VVV (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 17.46 VVV at 11.79$ per unit. Take profit: 11.4953 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 12.2483 (3.89 %)
31 Jul 2026 at 12:10:05
hyperliquid
VVV
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
31 Jul 2026 12:10
→ 18:00
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 11.79$
Qty 17.4562 VVV
Size 205.8083$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 11.4953 (+2.5%)
TP $ 5.14$
SL 12.2483 (-3.89%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.64
Status
win
PnL
+1.15%
/ +2.37$
MAE -0.87%
MFE +1.87%
0.5R
expires
31 Jul 18:10
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 54695)
#42 / 44
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 31/07/2026 12:00
score du 31/07/2026 12:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3471
Quality Score
0.444
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#42 / 44
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
93 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.89 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#42 / 44
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
93 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.89 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
3/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.93×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.04×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.22×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+1
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
N/A
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
3.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
31/07 12:02
31/07 12:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 30/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 31/07 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 31/07 11:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1192
range
ranging
range_bound
| Strategic |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
bear
— |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.63
Transition risk :
0.37
Score contribution (this trade)
+1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.78
Snapshot évalué :
31/07 12:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
31/07/2026 12:00
Score brut
0.4436
Score SMA
0.4828
Rank
#42
/ 44
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3471
Rank Norm SMA
0.3118
Calculé le
31/07/2026 12:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3169 | r1h: -0.985% · r4h: -1.531% · r1d: -3.14% · r3d: -10.91% · ema21_slope: -0.1395% · dist_ema21: -2.593% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3786 | rs_1h: -1.101% · rs_4h: 0.082% · rs_1d: -0.12% · rs_3d: -9.08% · beta_24h: -0.211 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3281 | rvol_20: 0.43× · zscore_50: -0.464 · trend: 69.26% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5886 | ADX: 18.6 (weak) · Chop: 46.4 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.637% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -3.887%
(0.4583)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.246% | 0.1R | -0.831% | 0.2R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.246% | 0.1R | -0.865% | 0.2R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.594% | 0.2R | -0.865% | 0.2R | 0.7× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.875% | 0.5R | -0.865% | 0.2R | 2.2× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.875% | 0.5R | -1.349% | 0.4R | 1.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.875% | 0.5R | -1.841% | 0.5R | 1.0× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 0.97
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
69%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | near 0.2ATR | — | 0.46 | bear_high | -5.56% | +0.86 | 30/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | near -1.0ATR | — | 0.46 | bear_high_confirmed | -2.54% | -0.41 | 31/07 08:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | grind | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
59%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | near -0.9ATR | — | 0.43 | bear_medium_confirmed | -2.28% | -0.15 | 31/07 11:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | strong | balanced | expansion | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | — | 0.50 | bear_low | -1.90% | -0.04 | 31/07 11:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 2.693×ATR | p17 | -0.523×ATR | p54 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 18b | — | 3.697×ATR | p59 | -0.784×ATR | p77 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 7b | — | 2.708×ATR | p55 | -0.859×ATR | p76 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 2.961×ATR | p42 | -0.529×ATR | p50 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 12.24829045
- tp_price: 11.49525
- atr: 0.18331618
- expires_at: 2026-07-31T22:10:05+00:00
Details
- rank: 41
- total: 44
- score: 0.3169
- delta_2h: -0.0432
- extension_atr: -1.39
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.3471
- confidence: 0.93
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.79 | 12.2483 | 11.4953 | 0.64 | 22.622 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 11.79
- Stop Loss: 12.2483
- Take Profit: 11.4953
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 12.2483 - 11.79 = 0.4583
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 11.79 - 11.4953 = 0.2947
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.2947 / 0.4583 = 0.643
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 205.8083 | 100 | 17.4562 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.4583
Taille de position = 8 / 0.4583 = 17.46
Taille de position USD = 17.46 x 11.79 = 205.85
Donc, tu peux acheter 17.46 avec un stoploss a 12.2483
Avec un position size USD de 205.85$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 17.46 x 0.4583 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 17.46 x 0.2947 = 5.15
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 5.15$
Résumé
- Taille de position 17.46
- Taille de position USD 205.85
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 5.15
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.643
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 5.14 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.89 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 2.37 $ | 1.15 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.8651 % | 22.26 % | 11 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.79 | 12.2483 | 11.4953 | 0.64 | 22.622 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 11.79
- Stop Loss: 12.2483
- Take Profit: 11.4953
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 12.2483 - 11.79 = 0.4583
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 11.79 - 11.4953 = 0.2947
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.2947 / 0.4583 = 0.643
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -3.887%
(0.4583)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.246% | 0.1R | -0.831% | 0.2R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.246% | 0.1R | -0.865% | 0.2R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.594% | 0.2R | -0.865% | 0.2R | 0.7× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.875% | 0.5R | -0.865% | 0.2R | 2.2× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.875% | 0.5R | -1.349% | 0.4R | 1.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.875% | 0.5R | -1.841% | 0.5R | 1.0× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Commentaires
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