Short Trade on ZEC (BosPullback)
With 1.46 ZEC at 458.82$ per unit. Take profit: 445.1672 (2.98 %) & Stop Loss: 464.2811 (1.19 %)
Short Trade on ZEC (BosPullback)
With 1.46 ZEC at 458.82$ per unit. Take profit: 445.1672 (2.98 %) & Stop Loss: 464.2811 (1.19 %)
Position
Entry 458.82$
Qty 1.4649 ZEC
Size 672.125$ (margin 100$) (leverage 7)
Risk Setup
TP 445.1672 (+2.98%)
TP $ 20$
SL 464.2811 (-1.19%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2153
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | -0.03×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 0.89×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BosPullback. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 30/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 31/07 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 31/07 12:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_medium |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3626 | r1h: 0.053% · r4h: -1.295% · r1d: -4.68% · r3d: -5.14% · ema21_slope: -0.1488% · dist_ema21: -1.609% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4556 | rs_1h: -0.064% · rs_4h: 0.318% · rs_1d: -1.66% · rs_3d: -3.31% · beta_24h: 0.899 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3511 | rvol_20: 1.04× · zscore_50: -0.147 · trend: 6.22% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5079 | ADX: 17.2 (weak) · Chop: 55.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.042% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.150% | 0.1R | -0.650% | 0.6R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.366% | 0.3R | -0.946% | 0.8R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.565% | 0.5R | -0.946% | 0.8R | 0.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.164% | 1.0R | -0.946% | 0.8R | 1.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.164% | 1.0R | -2.132% | 1.8R | 0.6× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | — | — | 0.42 | bear_high | -5.56% | -0.78 | 30/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | near 0.0ATR | — | 0.66 | bear_high | -2.29% | -0.07 | 31/07 12:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | normal | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | 0.61 | bear_medium_confirmed | -2.07% | -0.02 | 31/07 12:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | explosive | expansion_after_compression | bear_medium |
63%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | near -0.3ATR | 0.61 | bear_low | -1.56% | +0.11 | 31/07 12:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 16b | — | 4.124×ATR | p50 | -0.886×ATR | p74 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 7b | — | 2.163×ATR | p6 | -0.555×ATR | p52 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 11b | — | 1.293×ATR | p0 | +0.001×ATR | p0 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 6b | — | 2.349×ATR | p42 | +0.563×ATR | p60 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
452.15
147
0.2778
0.5147
0.331
0.2293
0.4142
1
0.4546
0.3497
0.3235
0.5787
0.5402
0.1496
-0.1156
-0.0784
0
-0.2198
-1.0959
0.4
0.6
-1
2
1
0.5414
0.2634
4.6541
0.6
1.4398
2.3055
-1.0959
0.7514
0.2327
0.44
0.172
0.4939
0.4103
0.931
0.1496
-10.1567
1.7864
1
0
0
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452.15
463.74
463.74
452.15
463.74
455.69
459.715
0.5862
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (8)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12:46 | 458.82000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 12:52 | 458.36000000 | -0.1% |
| 3 | 12:58 | 458.36000000 | -0.1% |
| 4 | 14:22 | 459.67000000 | +0.185% |
| 5 | 14:28 | 459.67000000 | +0.185% |
| 6 | 15:05 | 457.76000000 | -0.231% |
| 7 | 15:16 | 458.08000000 | -0.161% |
| 8 | 15:40 | 457.63000000 | -0.259% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 458.82 | 464.2811 | 445.1672 | 2.5 | 1266 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 464.2811 - 458.82 = 5.4611
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 458.82 - 445.1672 = 13.6528
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 13.6528 / 5.4611 = 2.5
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 672.125 | 100 | 1.4649 | 7.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 5.4611 = 1.46
Taille de position USD = 1.46 x 458.82 = 669.88
Donc, tu peux acheter 1.46 avec un stoploss a 464.2811
Avec un position size USD de 669.88$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1.46 x 5.4611 = 7.97
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.97$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1.46 x 13.6528 = 19.93
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.93$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.98 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.19 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -1.19 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.2249 % | 102.92 % | 18 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 458.82 | 464.2811 | 445.1672 | 2.5 | 1266 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 464.2811 - 458.82 = 5.4611
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 458.82 - 445.1672 = 13.6528
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 13.6528 / 5.4611 = 2.5
Array
(
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.150% | 0.1R | -0.650% | 0.6R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.366% | 0.3R | -0.946% | 0.8R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.565% | 0.5R | -0.946% | 0.8R | 0.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.164% | 1.0R | -0.946% | 0.8R | 1.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.164% | 1.0R | -2.132% | 1.8R | 0.6× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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