Long Trade on PUMP (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 53500.97 PUMP at 0.00215$ per unit. Take profit: 0.002526 (17.38 %) & Stop Loss: 0.002002 (6.97 %)
31 Jul 2026 at 12:39:54
hyperliquid
PUMP
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
31 Jul 2026 12:39
→ 00:35
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.002152$
Qty 53500.9697 PUMP
Size 115.1341$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.002526 (+17.38%)
TP $ 20.01$
SL 0.002002 (-6.97%)
SL $ 8.03$
RR 2.49
Status
win
PnL
+2.74%
/ +3.16$
MAE -5.95%
MFE +3.16%
0.5R
expires
01 Aug 00:39
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 54697)
#1 / 44
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 31/07/2026 12:00
score du 31/07/2026 12:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8965
Quality Score
0.725
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#1 / 44
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
68 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#1 / 44
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
68 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
3/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.35×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.49×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.40×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
22.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
31/07 12:31
31/07 12:31
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 30/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 31/07 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 31/07 12:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
31/07/2026 12:00
Score brut
0.7246
Score SMA
0.5882
Rank
#1
/ 44
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8965
Rank Norm SMA
0.8218
Calculé le
31/07/2026 12:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6189 | r1h: -2.467% · r4h: 1.883% · r1d: 4.15% · r3d: 0.73% · ema21_slope: 0.1689% · dist_ema21: 2.216% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5762 | rs_1h: -2.583% · rs_4h: 3.497% · rs_1d: 7.17% · rs_3d: 2.56% · beta_24h: -1.044 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.8922 | rvol_20: 2.82× · zscore_50: 1.811 · trend: 126.33% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7763 | ADX: 40.6 (trend) · Chop: 45.9 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.261% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -6.970%
(0.0002)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.697% | 0.1R | -1.208% | 0.2R | 0.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.697% | 0.1R | -2.463% | 0.4R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.697% | 0.1R | -3.439% | 0.5R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.697% | 0.1R | -5.948% | 0.9R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +3.160% | 0.5R | -5.948% | 0.9R | 0.5× | 144 |
| 24h | +4.507% | 0.7R | -5.948% | 0.9R | 0.8× | 288 |
computed 2 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 0.45
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 45% | mid | — | near 0.4ATR | 0.61 | bear_high | -5.56% | +1.00 | 30/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 35% | late | — | near -1.5ATR | 0.51 | bear_high | -2.29% | +0.64 | 31/07 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | weak | grind | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
62%
|
noisy_chop 35% | late | — | near -0.3ATR | 0.28 | bear_medium_confirmed | -2.07% | +0.74 | 31/07 12:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
59%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | — | — | bear_low | -1.56% | +0.64 | 31/07 12:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 17b | — | 4.046×ATR | p65 | +0.408×ATR | p48 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 11b | — | 4.243×ATR | p63 | +1.512×ATR | p93 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 7b | — | 3.283×ATR | p80 | +1.486×ATR | p91 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 2b | — | 2.784×ATR | p55 | +1.212×ATR | p89 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.6827
- reason: up_bo width=1.41×ATR dur=24b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.00200247
- tp_price: 0.00252583
- atr:
- score: 0.68271395338117
- expires_at: 2026-08-01T04:39:46.448447
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.68271395338117
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.1465
- obi_top10 : 0.1201
- micro_price : 0.00214804
- spread_pct : 0.093153
- mid_price : 0.002148
- bid_wall_price : 0.00213
- bid_wall_size : 102280730.2
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.00216
- ask_wall_size : 47302856.2
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.1431
- obi_top5_std : 0.0045
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6937
- aggregation_tick : 1.0E-5
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.002043
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.001972
- balance_zone_mid:
0.0020075
- balance_zone_start_time:
1785430800
- balance_zone_end_time:
1785513600
- balance_zone_width_atr:
1.4112
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
24
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: forming
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.6827
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1785506400
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.002043
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.8333
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
2
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
2.1665
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
4
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
6
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 5.031E-5 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
24
inside_close_ratio
0.8333
bars_since_breakout
2
distance_to_edge_atr
2.1665
Signaux confirmants (20)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12:39 | 0.00215200 | 0% |
| 2 | 12:46 | 0.00215200 | 0% |
| 3 | 12:52 | 0.00214600 | -0.279% |
| 4 | 12:58 | 0.00214600 | -0.279% |
| 5 | 13:05 | 0.00214600 | -0.279% |
| 6 | 13:10 | 0.00214400 | -0.372% |
| 7 | 13:16 | 0.00214400 | -0.372% |
| 8 | 13:22 | 0.00214600 | -0.279% |
| 9 | 13:28 | 0.00214600 | -0.279% |
| 10 | 13:34 | 0.00214600 | -0.279% |
| 11 | 13:39 | 0.00214100 | -0.511% |
| 12 | 13:46 | 0.00214100 | -0.511% |
| 13 | 13:51 | 0.00214600 | -0.279% |
| 14 | 13:58 | 0.00214600 | -0.279% |
| 15 | 14:05 | 0.00214600 | -0.279% |
| 16 | 14:10 | 0.00214300 | -0.418% |
| 17 | 14:16 | 0.00214300 | -0.418% |
| 18 | 14:22 | 0.00212100 | -1.441% |
| 19 | 14:27 | 0.00212100 | -1.441% |
| 20 | 14:34 | 0.00212100 | -1.441% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6937ms
Confidence avant OB :
68%
→
68%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.147
avg 0.143
± 0.005
OBI Top 10
0.120
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.0021
Micro Price
0.0021
Spread
0.0932%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.0021
Size
102,280,730.20
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.0022
Size
47,302,856.20
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002152 | 0.002002 | 0.002526 | 2.49 | 0.004099 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.002152
- Stop Loss: 0.002002
- Take Profit: 0.002526
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002002 - 0.002152 = -0.00015
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002152 - 0.002526 = -0.000374
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000374 / -0.00015 = 2.4933
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 115.1341 | 100 | 53500.9697 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.00015
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00015 = -53333.33
Taille de position USD = -53333.33 x 0.002152 = -114.77
Donc, tu peux acheter -53333.33 avec un stoploss a 0.002002
Avec un position size USD de -114.77$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -53333.33 x -0.00015 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -53333.33 x -0.000374 = 19.95
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.95$
Résumé
- Taille de position -53333.33
- Taille de position USD -114.77
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 19.95
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4933
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 17.38 % | 20.01 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 6.97 % | 8.03 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 3.16 $ | 2.74 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -5.948 % | 85.33 % | 10 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002152 | 0.002002 | 0.002526 | 2.49 | 0.004099 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.002152
- Stop Loss: 0.002002
- Take Profit: 0.002526
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002002 - 0.002152 = -0.00015
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002152 - 0.002526 = -0.000374
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000374 / -0.00015 = 2.4933
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -6.970%
(0.0002)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.697% | 0.1R | -1.208% | 0.2R | 0.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.697% | 0.1R | -2.463% | 0.4R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.697% | 0.1R | -3.439% | 0.5R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.697% | 0.1R | -5.948% | 0.9R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +3.160% | 0.5R | -5.948% | 0.9R | 0.5× | 144 |
| 24h | +4.507% | 0.7R | -5.948% | 0.9R | 0.8× | 288 |
computed 2 months ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.