Long Trade on PUMP (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 61368.52 PUMP at 0.00213$ per unit. Take profit: 0.002459 (15.28 %) & Stop Loss: 0.002003 (6.09 %)
31 Jul 2026 at 15:40:12
hyperliquid
PUMP
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
31 Jul 2026 15:40
→ 03:40
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.002133$
Qty 61368.518 PUMP
Size 130.899$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.002459 (+15.28%)
TP $ 20.01$
SL 0.002003 (-6.09%)
SL $ 7.98$
RR 2.51
Status
win
PnL
+3.70%
/ +4.85$
MAE -5.11%
MFE +5.44%
0.9R
expires
01 Aug 03:40
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 54835)
#1 / 46
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 31/07/2026 15:00
score du 31/07/2026 15:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9773
Quality Score
0.709
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#1 / 46
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
76 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.09 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#1 / 46
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
76 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.09 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
3/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.10×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.22×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.25×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
24.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
31/07 15:31
31/07 15:31
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 30/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 31/07 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 31/07 15:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
31/07/2026 15:00
Score brut
0.7090
Score SMA
0.6182
Rank
#1
/ 46
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9773
Rank Norm SMA
0.8490
Calculé le
31/07/2026 15:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7097 | r1h: -0.935% · r4h: 0.569% · r1d: 7.94% · r3d: 8.89% · ema21_slope: 0.2568% · dist_ema21: 3.797% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6823 | rs_1h: -0.626% · rs_4h: 0.019% · rs_1d: 10.50% · rs_3d: 9.96% · beta_24h: -0.253 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4859 | rvol_20: 1.00× · zscore_50: 0.263 · trend: 91.87% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8558 | ADX: 44.7 (trend) · Chop: 40.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.354% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -6.095%
(0.0001)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.281% | 0.1R | -2.579% | 0.4R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.281% | 0.1R | -3.469% | 0.6R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.281% | 0.1R | -5.110% | 0.8R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.485% | 0.4R | -5.110% | 0.8R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +5.438% | 0.9R | -5.110% | 0.8R | 1.1× | 143 |
| 24h | +5.438% | 0.9R | -5.110% | 0.8R | 1.1× | 288 |
computed 2 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 0.62
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 47% | mid | — | near -0.3ATR | 0.60 | bear_high | -6.38% | +1.00 | 30/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high_confirmed |
62%
|
noisy_chop 34% | late | — | near -1.2ATR | 0.51 | bear_high_confirmed | -1.90% | +0.56 | 31/07 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | weak | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
52%
|
noisy_chop 35% | mid | — | near 0.1ATR | 0.28 | bear_medium | -1.69% | +0.71 | 31/07 15:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | — | bear_low | -1.14% | +0.27 | 31/07 15:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 17b | — | 4.465×ATR | p65 | +0.855×ATR | p77 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 11b | — | 3.891×ATR | p59 | +1.269×ATR | p91 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 10b | — | 2.86×ATR | p70 | +0.381×ATR | p45 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 8b | — | 1.81×ATR | p7 | -0.112×ATR | p13 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.7584
- reason: up_bo width=1.46×ATR dur=27b phase=fresh|ob:bid_pressure(+0.07)
- stop_price: 0.00200264
- tp_price: 0.0024589
- atr:
- score: 0.68839567235711
- expires_at: 2026-08-01T07:40:05.194821
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.68839567235711
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.1671
- obi_top10 : 0.1391
- micro_price : 0.00212924
- spread_pct : 0.093985
- mid_price : 0.002129
- bid_wall_price : 0.00212
- bid_wall_size : 93732607.4
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.00214
- ask_wall_size : 63717573.6
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.1602
- obi_top5_std : 0.0088
- pressure_side : bid
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6907
- aggregation_tick : 1.0E-5
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.002043
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.001972
- balance_zone_mid:
0.0020075
- balance_zone_start_time:
1785430800
- balance_zone_end_time:
1785524400
- balance_zone_width_atr:
1.4604
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
27
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: forming
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.6884
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1785506400
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.002043
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.7407
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
5
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.8512
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
4
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
6
- regime : bull_high_confirmed
- atr_entry : 4.862E-5 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
27
inside_close_ratio
0.7407
bars_since_breakout
5
distance_to_edge_atr
1.8512
Signaux confirmants (10)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15:40 | 0.00213300 | 0% |
| 2 | 15:46 | 0.00213300 | 0% |
| 3 | 15:51 | 0.00213100 | -0.094% |
| 4 | 15:57 | 0.00213100 | -0.094% |
| 5 | 16:05 | 0.00213100 | -0.094% |
| 6 | 16:11 | 0.00211300 | -0.938% |
| 7 | 16:17 | 0.00211300 | -0.938% |
| 8 | 16:22 | 0.00211900 | -0.656% |
| 9 | 16:28 | 0.00211900 | -0.656% |
| 10 | 16:34 | 0.00211900 | -0.656% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
↑ bid
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6907ms
Confidence avant OB :
69%
→
76%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.167
avg 0.160
± 0.009
OBI Top 10
0.139
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.0021
Micro Price
0.0021
Spread
0.0940%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.0021
Size
93,732,607.40
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.0021
Size
63,717,573.60
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002133 | 0.002003 | 0.002459 | 2.51 | 0.004184 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.002133
- Stop Loss: 0.002003
- Take Profit: 0.002459
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002003 - 0.002133 = -0.00013
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002133 - 0.002459 = -0.000326
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000326 / -0.00013 = 2.5077
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 130.899 | 100 | 61368.518 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.00013
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00013 = -61538.46
Taille de position USD = -61538.46 x 0.002133 = -131.26
Donc, tu peux acheter -61538.46 avec un stoploss a 0.002003
Avec un position size USD de -131.26$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -61538.46 x -0.00013 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -61538.46 x -0.000326 = 20.06
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.06$
Résumé
- Taille de position -61538.46
- Taille de position USD -131.26
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20.06
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5077
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 15.28 % | 20.01 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 6.09 % | 7.98 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 4.85 $ | 3.70 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -5.1102 % | 83.85 % | 10 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002133 | 0.002003 | 0.002459 | 2.51 | 0.004184 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.002133
- Stop Loss: 0.002003
- Take Profit: 0.002459
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002003 - 0.002133 = -0.00013
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002133 - 0.002459 = -0.000326
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000326 / -0.00013 = 2.5077
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -6.095%
(0.0001)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.281% | 0.1R | -2.579% | 0.4R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.281% | 0.1R | -3.469% | 0.6R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.281% | 0.1R | -5.110% | 0.8R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.485% | 0.4R | -5.110% | 0.8R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +5.438% | 0.9R | -5.110% | 0.8R | 1.1× | 143 |
| 24h | +5.438% | 0.9R | -5.110% | 0.8R | 1.1× | 288 |
computed 2 months ago
Commentaires
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