Short Trade on SUI (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 1158.86 SUI at 0.68$ per unit. Take profit: 0.6627 (2.53 %) & Stop Loss: 0.6868 (1.01 %)
31 Jul 2026 at 16:07:31
hyperliquid
SUI
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
31 Jul 2026 16:07
→ 00:00
· 7 hours
Position
Entry 0.6799$
Qty 1158.8627 SUI
Size 787.9339$ (margin 100$) (leverage 8)
Risk Setup
TP 0.6627 (+2.53%)
TP $ 19.93$
SL 0.6868 (-1.01%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.49
Status
loss
PnL
-1.01%
/ -8$
MAE -1.46%
MFE +0.15%
0.1R
expires
01 Aug 04:07
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 54851)
#28 / 48
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 31/07/2026 16:00
score du 31/07/2026 16:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3536
Quality Score
0.487
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#28 / 48
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
86 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.01 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#28 / 48
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
86 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.01 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | -0.92×ATR |
| 1d | near | -2.80×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
4.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
31/07 16:00
31/07 16:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 30/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 31/07 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 31/07 15:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1196
range
ranging
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Operational |
bear
— |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bear
— |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.63
Transition risk :
0.37
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.53
Snapshot évalué :
31/07 16:00
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
31/07/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.4873
Score SMA
0.5098
Rank
#28
/ 48
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3536
Rank Norm SMA
0.4570
Calculé le
31/07/2026 16:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4216 | r1h: -0.609% · r4h: -0.650% · r1d: -2.95% · r3d: -2.04% · ema21_slope: -0.0598% · dist_ema21: -1.210% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4522 | rs_1h: -0.441% · rs_4h: -1.065% · rs_1d: -0.16% · rs_3d: -0.62% · beta_24h: 0.393 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2930 | rvol_20: 0.85× · zscore_50: -0.139 · trend: -14.84% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5944 | ADX: 31.2 (trend) · Chop: 58.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.753% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.015%
(0.0069)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.140% | 0.1R | -0.300% | 0.3R | 0.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.146% | 0.1R | -0.430% | 0.4R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.146% | 0.1R | -0.531% | 0.5R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.146% | 0.1R | -1.062% | 1.1R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.146% | 0.1R | -1.464% | 1.4R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.559% | 2.5R | -1.464% | 1.4R | 1.8× | 288 |
computed 2 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.38
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | near -2.8ATR | — | 0.80 | bear_high | -6.38% | -0.48 | 30/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | near -0.9ATR | — | 0.75 | bear_high_confirmed | -1.90% | +0.06 | 31/07 12:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 33% | mid | — | — | 0.76 | bear_medium | -1.79% | +0.08 | 31/07 15:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | strong | fading | compression | bear_low |
45%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | — | — | bear_low | -1.14% | -0.20 | 31/07 15:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 27b | — | 3.317×ATR | p28 | -0.72×ATR | p66 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 6b | — | 2.601×ATR | p39 | -0.581×ATR | p61 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 8b | — | 2.41×ATR | p37 | -1.033×ATR | p80 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 13b | — | 3.532×ATR | p73 | -2.027×ATR | p100 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.863
- reason: down_bo width=1.99×ATR dur=65b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.68682332
- tp_price: 0.6626617
- atr:
- score: 0.8629640613629
- expires_at: 2026-08-01T08:07:24.478018
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.8629640613629
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0244
- obi_top10 : -0.0745
- micro_price : 0.67940792
- spread_pct : 0.014719
- mid_price : 0.67945
- bid_wall_price : 0.678
- bid_wall_size : 984405.1
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price :
- ask_wall_size :
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0251
- obi_top5_std : 0.0004
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6836
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.69116
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.681515
- balance_zone_mid:
0.6863375
- balance_zone_start_time:
1785297600
- balance_zone_end_time:
1785528000
- balance_zone_width_atr:
1.9853
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
65
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: stretched
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.863
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1785524400
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.681515
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.6769
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.3283
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
19
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
7
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.00485821 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
65
inside_close_ratio
0.6769
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.3283
Signaux confirmants (8)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16:07 | 0.67992000 | +0.003% |
| 2 | 16:13 | 0.67992000 | +0.003% |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.68103000 | +0.166% |
| 4 | 16:25 | 0.68103000 | +0.166% |
| 5 | 16:31 | 0.68103000 | +0.166% |
| 6 | 17:19 | 0.68141000 | +0.222% |
| 7 | 17:25 | 0.68141000 | +0.222% |
| 8 | 17:31 | 0.68141000 | +0.222% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6836ms
Confidence avant OB :
86%
→
86%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.024
avg 0.025
± 0.000
OBI Top 10
-0.075
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.6795
Micro Price
0.6794
Spread
0.0147%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.6780
Size
984,405.10
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6799 | 0.6868 | 0.6627 | 2.49 | 0.9051 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.6799
- Stop Loss: 0.6868
- Take Profit: 0.6627
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.6868 - 0.6799 = 0.0069
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.6799 - 0.6627 = 0.0172
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0172 / 0.0069 = 2.4928
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 787.9339 | 100 | 1158.8627 | 8.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0069
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0069 = 1159.42
Taille de position USD = 1159.42 x 0.6799 = 788.29
Donc, tu peux acheter 1159.42 avec un stoploss a 0.6868
Avec un position size USD de 788.29$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1159.42 x 0.0069 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1159.42 x 0.0172 = 19.94
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.94$
Résumé
- Taille de position 1159.42
- Taille de position USD 788.29
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 19.94
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4928
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.53 % | 19.93 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.01 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -1.01 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.0619 % | 104.63 % | 6 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6799 | 0.6868 | 0.6627 | 2.49 | 0.9051 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.6799
- Stop Loss: 0.6868
- Take Profit: 0.6627
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.6868 - 0.6799 = 0.0069
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.6799 - 0.6627 = 0.0172
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0172 / 0.0069 = 2.4928
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.015%
(0.0069)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.140% | 0.1R | -0.300% | 0.3R | 0.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.146% | 0.1R | -0.430% | 0.4R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.146% | 0.1R | -0.531% | 0.5R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.146% | 0.1R | -1.062% | 1.1R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.146% | 0.1R | -1.464% | 1.4R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.559% | 2.5R | -1.464% | 1.4R | 1.8× | 288 |
computed 2 months ago
Commentaires
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