Short Trade on HYPE (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 4.7 HYPE at 52.095$ per unit. Take profit: 50.7926 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 53.7968 (3.27 %)
31 Jul 2026 at 16:10:04
hyperliquid
HYPE
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
31 Jul 2026 16:10
→ 16:15
· 4 minutes
Position
Entry 52.095$
Qty 4.7008 HYPE
Size 244.8874$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 50.7926 (+2.5%)
TP $ 6.12$
SL 53.7968 (-3.27%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.77
Status
loss
PnL
-0.24%
/ -0.59$
MAE -1.65%
MFE +0.16%
0.1R
expires
31 Jul 16:20
Exit
rank_decay: short rank=12 <= threshold=38/48
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 54877)
#12 / 48
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 31/07/2026 16:00
score du 31/07/2026 16:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5957
Quality Score
0.537
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#12 / 48
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.27 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#12 / 48
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.27 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | -1.32×ATR |
| 1d | near | -3.14×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
N/A
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
318.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
31/07 16:02
31/07 16:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 30/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2) 31/07 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 31/07 15:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1196
range
ranging
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Operational |
bear
— |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bear
— |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.63
Transition risk :
0.37
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.53
Snapshot évalué :
31/07 16:00
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
31/07/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.5371
Score SMA
0.5267
Rank
#12
/ 48
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5957
Rank Norm SMA
0.5930
Calculé le
31/07/2026 16:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2928 | r1h: -1.052% · r4h: -3.276% · r1d: -5.23% · r3d: -5.24% · ema21_slope: -0.1039% · dist_ema21: -3.291% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3239 | rs_1h: -0.884% · rs_4h: -3.691% · rs_1d: -2.44% · rs_3d: -3.82% · beta_24h: 1.028 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.8249 | rvol_20: 2.46× · zscore_50: 1.923 · trend: 87.62% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6889 | ADX: 22.7 (weak) · Chop: 35.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.339% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
4h)
Initial Risk: -3.267%
(1.7018)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.096% | 0.0R | -1.647% | 0.5R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.163% | 0.1R | -1.647% | 0.5R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.163% | 0.1R | -1.647% | 0.5R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.163% | 0.1R | -1.647% | 0.5R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.165% | 0.4R | -1.647% | 0.5R | 0.7× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.14
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
47%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | near -3.1ATR | — | 0.49 | bear_high | -6.38% | -0.97 | 30/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bear_high_confirmed |
61%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | near -1.3ATR | — | 0.61 | bear_high_confirmed | -1.90% | -0.20 | 31/07 12:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
57%
|
noisy_chop 48% | late | — | — | 0.52 | bear_medium | -1.79% | -0.33 | 31/07 15:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_medium_confirmed |
58%
|
noisy_chop 48% | late | — | — | 0.45 | bear_low | -1.14% | -0.45 | 31/07 15:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 24b | — | 5.798×ATR | p81 | -1.005×ATR | p80 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 4b | — | 2.546×ATR | p22 | -1.096×ATR | p81 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 6b | — | 4.29×ATR | p87 | -1.635×ATR | p94 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 8b | — | 4.093×ATR | p76 | -1.843×ATR | p97 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 53.79684322
- tp_price: 50.792625
- atr: 0.68073729
- expires_at: 2026-08-01T02:10:04+00:00
Details
- rank: 47
- total: 48
- score: 0.2928
- delta_2h: -0.109
- extension_atr: -2.8
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.5957
- confidence: 0.979
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 52.095 | 53.7968 | 50.7926 | 0.77 | 90.565 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 52.095
- Stop Loss: 53.7968
- Take Profit: 50.7926
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 53.7968 - 52.095 = 1.7018
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 52.095 - 50.7926 = 1.3024
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.3024 / 1.7018 = 0.7653
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 244.8874 | 100 | 4.7008 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 1.7018
Taille de position = 8 / 1.7018 = 4.7
Taille de position USD = 4.7 x 52.095 = 244.85
Donc, tu peux acheter 4.7 avec un stoploss a 53.7968
Avec un position size USD de 244.85$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 4.7 x 1.7018 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 4.7 x 1.3024 = 6.12
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 6.12$
Résumé
- Taille de position 4.7
- Taille de position USD 244.85
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 6.12
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.7653
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 6.12 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.27 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -0.59 $ | -0.24 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2515 % | 7.7 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 52.095 | 53.7968 | 50.7926 | 0.77 | 90.565 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 52.095
- Stop Loss: 53.7968
- Take Profit: 50.7926
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 53.7968 - 52.095 = 1.7018
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 52.095 - 50.7926 = 1.3024
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.3024 / 1.7018 = 0.7653
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
4h)
Initial Risk: -3.267%
(1.7018)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.096% | 0.0R | -1.647% | 0.5R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.163% | 0.1R | -1.647% | 0.5R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.163% | 0.1R | -1.647% | 0.5R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.163% | 0.1R | -1.647% | 0.5R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.165% | 0.4R | -1.647% | 0.5R | 0.7× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Commentaires
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