Short Trade on LIT (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 85.33 LIT at 2.068$ per unit. Take profit: 2.0164 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 2.1619 (4.54 %)
31 Jul 2026 at 16:10:04
hyperliquid
LIT
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
31 Jul 2026 16:10
→ 22:05
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 2.0681$
Qty 85.3325 LIT
Size 176.4761$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 2.0164 (+2.5%)
TP $ 4.41$
SL 2.1619 (-4.54%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.55
Status
loss
PnL
-1.00%
/ -1.76$
MAE -1.54%
MFE +0.23%
0.1R
expires
31 Jul 22:10
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 54887)
#47 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 31/07/2026 16:00
score du 31/07/2026 16:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0760
Quality Score
0.414
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#47 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.54 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#47 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.54 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.28×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.60×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.76×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
N/A
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
15.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
31/07 16:02
31/07 16:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 30/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 31/07 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 31/07 15:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1196
range
ranging
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Operational |
bear
— |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bear
— |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.63
Transition risk :
0.37
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.53
Snapshot évalué :
31/07 16:00
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
31/07/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.4144
Score SMA
0.4904
Rank
#47
/ 48
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0760
Rank Norm SMA
0.3311
Calculé le
31/07/2026 16:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2926 | r1h: -1.782% · r4h: -0.739% · r1d: -7.49% · r3d: -9.14% · ema21_slope: -0.2541% · dist_ema21: -3.953% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2855 | rs_1h: -1.614% · rs_4h: -1.153% · rs_1d: -4.71% · rs_3d: -7.72% · beta_24h: 1.258 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3020 | rvol_20: 0.89× · zscore_50: -0.125 · trend: -14.00% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6321 | ADX: 24.1 (weak) · Chop: 46.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.875% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -4.536%
(0.0938)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.077% | 0.0R | -1.214% | 0.3R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.077% | 0.0R | -1.538% | 0.3R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.145% | 0.0R | -1.538% | 0.3R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.227% | 0.1R | -1.538% | 0.3R | 0.2× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.614% | 0.1R | -1.760% | 0.4R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.383% | 0.3R | -1.760% | 0.4R | 0.8× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.2
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | — | — | bear_high | -6.38% | -0.95 | 30/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | — | 0.39 | bear_high_confirmed | -1.90% | -0.12 | 31/07 12:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid | near -0.3ATR | — | 0.47 | bear_medium | -1.79% | -0.53 | 31/07 15:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | — | 0.42 | bear_low | -1.09% | -0.28 | 31/07 15:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 25b | — | 3.074×ATR | p29 | -0.405×ATR | p41 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 4b | — | 2.356×ATR | p19 | -0.895×ATR | p80 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 8b | — | 3.6×ATR | p74 | -1.097×ATR | p83 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 8b | — | 3.808×ATR | p77 | -1.665×ATR | p94 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.0681 | 2.1619 | 2.0164 | 0.55 | 2.7191 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 2.0681
- Stop Loss: 2.1619
- Take Profit: 2.0164
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.1619 - 2.0681 = 0.0938
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.0681 - 2.0164 = 0.0517
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0517 / 0.0938 = 0.5512
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 176.4761 | 100 | 85.3325 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0938
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0938 = 85.29
Taille de position USD = 85.29 x 2.0681 = 176.39
Donc, tu peux acheter 85.29 avec un stoploss a 2.1619
Avec un position size USD de 176.39$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 85.29 x 0.0938 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 85.29 x 0.0517 = 4.41
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.41$
Résumé
- Taille de position 85.29
- Taille de position USD 176.39
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 4.41
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5512
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 4.41 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.54 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -1.76 $ | -1.00 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5376 % | 33.9 % | 11 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.0681 | 2.1619 | 2.0164 | 0.55 | 2.7191 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 2.0681
- Stop Loss: 2.1619
- Take Profit: 2.0164
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.1619 - 2.0681 = 0.0938
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.0681 - 2.0164 = 0.0517
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0517 / 0.0938 = 0.5512
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -4.536%
(0.0938)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.077% | 0.0R | -1.214% | 0.3R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.077% | 0.0R | -1.538% | 0.3R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.145% | 0.0R | -1.538% | 0.3R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.227% | 0.1R | -1.538% | 0.3R | 0.2× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.614% | 0.1R | -1.760% | 0.4R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.383% | 0.3R | -1.760% | 0.4R | 0.8× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Commentaires
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