Long Trade on TAO (CatchTheWave)
With 11.6 TAO at 193.79$ per unit. Take profit: 195.1689 (0.71 %) & Stop Loss: 193.1006 (0.36 %)
Long Trade on TAO (CatchTheWave)
With 11.6 TAO at 193.79$ per unit. Take profit: 195.1689 (0.71 %) & Stop Loss: 193.1006 (0.36 %)
Position
Entry 193.79$
Qty 11.6038 TAO
Size 2248.7085$ (margin 100$) (leverage 22)
Risk Setup
TP 195.1689 (+0.71%)
TP $ 16$
SL 193.1006 (-0.36%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6235
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.09×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.03×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 10.05×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 30/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 31/07 12:00 Tactical (1H) : range_high (0) 31/07 15:00 Score : -3 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.523695 15m : 0.461016 |
1H_regime : range_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
| Strategic |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Operational |
bear
— |
expansion
-1 |
| Tactical |
bear
— |
transition
-1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5331 | r1h: -0.572% · r4h: 1.132% · r1d: 0.50% · r3d: 1.03% · ema21_slope: -0.0081% · dist_ema21: 0.297% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5596 | rs_1h: -0.404% · rs_4h: 0.717% · rs_1d: 3.29% · rs_3d: 2.44% · beta_24h: 0.951 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1776 | rvol_20: 0.52× · zscore_50: -0.738 · trend: -32.18% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5576 | ADX: 16.7 (weak) · Chop: 48.3 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.978% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.222% | 0.6R | -0.578% | 1.6R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.222% | 0.6R | -0.578% | 1.6R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.222% | 0.6R | -0.578% | 1.6R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.709% | 7.6R | -0.578% | 1.6R | 4.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.168% | 8.9R | -0.578% | 1.6R | 5.5× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 36% | late | — | — | 0.61 | bear_high | -6.38% | -0.44 | 30/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion | range_high |
43%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | near 0.0ATR | 0.62 | bear_high_confirmed | -1.90% | +0.44 | 31/07 12:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion | range_high |
41%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | near -0.1ATR | 0.67 | bear_medium | -1.79% | +0.38 | 31/07 15:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | range_medium |
41%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | near 0.5ATR | — | bear_low | -1.14% | +0.10 | 31/07 15:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 46b | — | 9.475×ATR | p92 | +0.252×ATR | p29 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 0.613×ATR | p0 | +0.415×ATR | p44 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 5b | — | 2.399×ATR | p45 | +0.153×ATR | p15 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 6b | — | 2.381×ATR | p32 | -0.36×ATR | p44 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63099.3
-0.00205008
62970
0.523695
63710.3
-0.0116207
62970
0.461016
64113.6
-0.0178533
62969
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[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
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[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.6945712836124
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.8717139852787
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.6277602523659
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[detected_trend] => uptrend
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[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 9
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
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197.1
197
0.6053
0.5999
0.3205
0.2794
0.3542
1
0.0747
0.5947
0.6323
0.7747
0.5594
0.5733
0.0487
0.0294
0.6667
-0.2036
0.0669
0.5
0.5
1
2
0.9474
0.4938
0.6227
3.6171
0.5
1.4526
3.7565
0.0669
0
0.2753
0.66
0.2681
0.5335
0.4765
0
0.5733
-4.129
5.5482
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16:15 | 193.79000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 16:27 | 193.72000000 | -0.036% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 13:05:00 | 194.74 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 14:10:00 | 190.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 14:35:00 | 192.93 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 14:55:00 | 191.56 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 15:35:00 | 193.04 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 16:30:00 | 194.35 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 16:45:00 | 193.55 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 18:00:00 | 197.1 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 19:00:00 | 196.16 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 20:05:00 | 193.17 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 04:45:00 | 195.25 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 06:00:00 | 197 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 07:00:00 | 194.18 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 09:30:00 | 191.93 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 11:00:00 | 194.95 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 12:00:00 | 192.99 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 13:00:00 | 194.74 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 14:00:00 | 190.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 18:00:00 | 197.1 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 20:00:00 | 193.17 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 09:00:00 | 195.13 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 18:00:00 | 194.72 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 21:00:00 | 186.41 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 02:00:00 | 194.13 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 07:00:00 | 190.79 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 16:00:00 | 195.4 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 23:00:00 | 192.46 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 03:00:00 | 197.85 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 14:00:00 | 190.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 18:00:00 | 197.1 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 193.79 | 193.1006 | 195.1689 | 2 | 233.61 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 193.1006 - 193.79 = -0.68940000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 193.79 - 195.1689 = -1.3789
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.3789 / -0.68940000000001 = 2.0001
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2248.7085 | 100 | 11.6038 | 22.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.68940000000001 = -11.6
Taille de position USD = -11.6 x 193.79 = -2247.96
Donc, tu peux acheter -11.6 avec un stoploss a 193.1006
Avec un position size USD de -2247.96$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -11.6 x -0.68940000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -11.6 x -1.3789 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.71 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.36 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.36 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5779 % | 162.47 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 193.79 | 193.1006 | 195.1689 | 2 | 233.61 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 193.1006 - 193.79 = -0.68940000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 193.79 - 195.1689 = -1.3789
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.3789 / -0.68940000000001 = 2.0001
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.222% | 0.6R | -0.578% | 1.6R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.222% | 0.6R | -0.578% | 1.6R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.222% | 0.6R | -0.578% | 1.6R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.709% | 7.6R | -0.578% | 1.6R | 4.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.168% | 8.9R | -0.578% | 1.6R | 5.5× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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