Long Trade on PUMP (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 100654.25 PUMP at 0.00208$ per unit. Take profit: 0.002281 (9.56 %) & Stop Loss: 0.002003 (3.79 %)
31 Jul 2026 at 16:40:16
hyperliquid
PUMP
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
31 Jul 2026 16:40
→ 04:40
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.002082$
Qty 100654.2526 PUMP
Size 209.5622$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.002281 (+9.56%)
TP $ 20.03$
SL 0.002003 (-3.79%)
SL $ 7.95$
RR 2.52
Status
win
PnL
+4.76%
/ +9.96$
MAE -2.79%
MFE +8.02%
2.1R
expires
01 Aug 04:40
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 54883)
#1 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 31/07/2026 16:00
score du 31/07/2026 16:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9972
Quality Score
0.719
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#1 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
80 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.79 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#1 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
80 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.79 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
3/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.09×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.27×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.25×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
25.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
31/07 16:31
31/07 16:31
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 30/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 31/07 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 31/07 16:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
31/07/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.7187
Score SMA
0.6228
Rank
#1
/ 48
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9972
Rank Norm SMA
0.8562
Calculé le
31/07/2026 16:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7568 | r1h: 0.282% · r4h: 2.848% · r1d: 5.39% · r3d: 9.34% · ema21_slope: 0.2851% · dist_ema21: 3.905% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7613 | rs_1h: 0.450% · rs_4h: 2.433% · rs_1d: 8.18% · rs_3d: 10.76% · beta_24h: -0.627 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3683 | rvol_20: 0.69× · zscore_50: -0.072 · trend: 57.03% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8510 | ADX: 44.9 (trend) · Chop: 41.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.312% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -3.794%
(0.0001)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.009% | 0.3R | -1.105% | 0.3R | 0.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.009% | 0.3R | -2.786% | 0.7R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.873% | 0.5R | -2.786% | 0.7R | 0.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +6.676% | 1.8R | -2.786% | 0.7R | 2.4× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +8.021% | 2.1R | -2.786% | 0.7R | 2.9× | 143 |
| 24h | +8.021% | 2.1R | -2.786% | 0.7R | 2.9× | 288 |
computed 2 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 2.09
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 47% | mid | — | near -0.3ATR | 0.60 | bear_high | -6.38% | +1.00 | 30/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | — | near -1.3ATR | 0.51 | bear_high | -2.02% | +0.46 | 31/07 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
52%
|
noisy_chop 33% | mid | — | near -0.1ATR | 0.28 | bear_medium | -1.75% | +0.74 | 31/07 16:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | — | — | bear_low | -1.08% | -0.13 | 31/07 16:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 17b | — | 4.465×ATR | p65 | +0.855×ATR | p77 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 12b | — | 4.107×ATR | p63 | +1.065×ATR | p82 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 11b | — | 3.145×ATR | p80 | +0.425×ATR | p48 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 12b | — | 2.334×ATR | p27 | -0.638×ATR | p68 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.8017
- reason: up_bo width=1.43×ATR dur=28b phase=extending|ob:bid_pressure(+0.07)
- stop_price: 0.00200252
- tp_price: 0.0022807
- atr:
- score: 0.73174765674113
- expires_at: 2026-08-01T08:40:08.722495
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.73174765674113
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.1932
- obi_top10 : 0.162
- micro_price : 0.00208298
- spread_pct : 0.048031
- mid_price : 0.0020825
- bid_wall_price : 0.00207
- bid_wall_size : 104339398.2
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.00209
- ask_wall_size : 75931932.4
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.17
- obi_top5_std : 0.0134
- pressure_side : bid
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7043
- aggregation_tick : 1.0E-5
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.002043
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.001972
- balance_zone_mid:
0.0020075
- balance_zone_start_time:
1785430800
- balance_zone_end_time:
1785528000
- balance_zone_width_atr:
1.4253
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
28
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: forming
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7317
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: extending
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1785506400
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.002043
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.7143
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
6
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.7829
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
4
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
6
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 4.981E-5 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
28
inside_close_ratio
0.7143
bars_since_breakout
6
distance_to_edge_atr
0.7829
Signaux confirmants (34)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16:40 | 0.00208200 | 0% |
| 2 | 16:46 | 0.00208200 | 0% |
| 3 | 16:52 | 0.00209100 | +0.432% |
| 4 | 16:58 | 0.00209100 | +0.432% |
| 5 | 17:05 | 0.00209100 | +0.432% |
| 6 | 17:11 | 0.00210100 | +0.913% |
| 7 | 17:16 | 0.00210100 | +0.913% |
| 8 | 17:22 | 0.00209800 | +0.768% |
| 9 | 17:28 | 0.00209800 | +0.768% |
| 10 | 17:35 | 0.00209800 | +0.768% |
| 11 | 17:40 | 0.00207600 | -0.288% |
| 12 | 17:46 | 0.00207600 | -0.288% |
| 13 | 17:52 | 0.00207400 | -0.384% |
| 14 | 17:58 | 0.00207400 | -0.384% |
| 15 | 18:06 | 0.00207400 | -0.384% |
| 16 | 18:11 | 0.00205400 | -1.345% |
| 17 | 18:17 | 0.00205400 | -1.345% |
| 18 | 20:10 | 0.00207500 | -0.336% |
| 19 | 20:16 | 0.00207500 | -0.336% |
| 20 | 20:22 | 0.00209400 | +0.576% |
| 21 | 20:28 | 0.00209400 | +0.576% |
| 22 | 20:34 | 0.00209400 | +0.576% |
| 23 | 20:40 | 0.00210800 | +1.249% |
| 24 | 20:46 | 0.00210800 | +1.249% |
| 25 | 20:51 | 0.00210600 | +1.153% |
| 26 | 20:57 | 0.00210600 | +1.153% |
| 27 | 21:05 | 0.00210600 | +1.153% |
| 28 | 21:10 | 0.00209400 | +0.576% |
| 29 | 21:16 | 0.00209400 | +0.576% |
| 30 | 21:22 | 0.00211200 | +1.441% |
| 31 | 21:27 | 0.00211200 | +1.441% |
| 32 | 21:34 | 0.00211200 | +1.441% |
| 33 | 21:39 | 0.00211300 | +1.489% |
| 34 | 21:46 | 0.00211300 | +1.489% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
↑ bid
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7043ms
Confidence avant OB :
73%
→
80%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.193
avg 0.170
± 0.013
OBI Top 10
0.162
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.0021
Micro Price
0.0021
Spread
0.0480%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.0021
Size
104,339,398.20
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.0021
Size
75,931,932.40
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002082 | 0.002003 | 0.002281 | 2.52 | 0.00411 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.002082
- Stop Loss: 0.002003
- Take Profit: 0.002281
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002003 - 0.002082 = -7.9E-5
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002082 - 0.002281 = -0.000199
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000199 / -7.9E-5 = 2.519
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 209.5622 | 100 | 100654.2526 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -7.9E-5
Taille de position = 8 / -7.9E-5 = -101265.82
Taille de position USD = -101265.82 x 0.002082 = -210.84
Donc, tu peux acheter -101265.82 avec un stoploss a 0.002003
Avec un position size USD de -210.84$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -101265.82 x -7.9E-5 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -101265.82 x -0.000199 = 20.15
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.15$
Résumé
- Taille de position -101265.82
- Taille de position USD -210.84
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20.15
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.519
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 9.56 % | 20.03 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.79 % | 7.95 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 9.96 $ | 4.76 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.7858 % | 73.42 % | 4 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002082 | 0.002003 | 0.002281 | 2.52 | 0.00411 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.002082
- Stop Loss: 0.002003
- Take Profit: 0.002281
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002003 - 0.002082 = -7.9E-5
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002082 - 0.002281 = -0.000199
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000199 / -7.9E-5 = 2.519
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -3.794%
(0.0001)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.009% | 0.3R | -1.105% | 0.3R | 0.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.009% | 0.3R | -2.786% | 0.7R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.873% | 0.5R | -2.786% | 0.7R | 0.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +6.676% | 1.8R | -2.786% | 0.7R | 2.4× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +8.021% | 2.1R | -2.786% | 0.7R | 2.9× | 143 |
| 24h | +8.021% | 2.1R | -2.786% | 0.7R | 2.9× | 288 |
computed 2 months ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.