Short Trade on DOGE (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 8268.99 DOGE at 0.0695$ per unit. Take profit: 0.06711 (3.48 %) & Stop Loss: 0.0705 (1.4 %)
31 Jul 2026 at 17:07:26
hyperliquid
DOGE
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
31 Jul 2026 17:07
→ 05:00
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.06953$
Qty 8268.9903 DOGE
Size 574.9677$ (margin 100$) (leverage 6)
Risk Setup
TP 0.06711 (+3.48%)
TP $ 20.01$
SL 0.0705 (-1.4%)
SL $ 8.02$
RR 2.49
Status
loss
PnL
-0.54%
/ -3.09$
MAE -1.03%
MFE +0.00%
0.0R
expires
01 Aug 05:07
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 54897)
#8 / 48
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 31/07/2026 17:00
score du 31/07/2026 17:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8272
Quality Score
0.557
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#8 / 48
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
80 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.40 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#8 / 48
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
80 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.40 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | -0.42×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
16.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
31/07 17:00
31/07 17:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 30/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 31/07 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_medium (+1) 31/07 16:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1197
range
ranging
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Operational |
bear
— |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bear
— |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.63
Transition risk :
0.37
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.53
Snapshot évalué :
31/07 17:00
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
31/07/2026 17:00
Score brut
0.5571
Score SMA
0.5181
Rank
#8
/ 48
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8272
Rank Norm SMA
0.4888
Calculé le
31/07/2026 17:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4635 | r1h: -0.100% · r4h: -0.026% · r1d: -1.22% · r3d: -1.47% · ema21_slope: -0.0473% · dist_ema21: -0.226% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5077 | rs_1h: -0.154% · rs_4h: -0.220% · rs_1d: 1.52% · rs_3d: -0.03% · beta_24h: 0.571 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4891 | rvol_20: 0.97× · zscore_50: 0.214 · trend: 101.79% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6219 | ADX: 23.2 (weak) · Chop: 47.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.736% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.395%
(0.0010)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.003% | 0.0R | -0.463% | 0.3R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.003% | 0.0R | -0.463% | 0.3R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.003% | 0.0R | -0.758% | 0.5R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.003% | 0.0R | -1.020% | 0.7R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.003% | 0.0R | -1.034% | 0.7R | 0.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.488% | 1.8R | -1.034% | 0.7R | 2.4× | 288 |
computed 2 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.01
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | pullback | bear_trend | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | — | — | 0.79 | bear_high | -6.38% | -0.32 | 30/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | near -0.4ATR | — | 0.83 | bear_high | -2.02% | +0.01 | 31/07 16:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bear_medium |
62%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | — | 0.72 | bear_medium | -1.75% | +0.17 | 31/07 16:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | range_low |
39%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | — | — | bear_low | -1.05% | +0.04 | 31/07 16:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 27b | — | 3.489×ATR | p38 | -0.35×ATR | p39 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 7b | — | 1.342×ATR | p0 | -0.13×ATR | p15 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 6b | — | 2.331×ATR | p50 | -0.119×ATR | p17 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 6b | — | 3.025×ATR | p53 | -0.63×ATR | p62 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.7953
- reason: down_bo width=2.18×ATR dur=66b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.07050047
- tp_price: 0.06711432
- atr:
- score: 0.79534496171654
- expires_at: 2026-08-01T09:07:18.261491
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.79534496171654
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0648
- obi_top10 : 0.0582
- micro_price : 0.06960014
- spread_pct : 0.014368
- mid_price : 0.069605
- bid_wall_price : 0.0694
- bid_wall_size : 35374266.2
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.0706
- ask_wall_size : 39504136
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.07
- obi_top5_std : 0.0029
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6891
- aggregation_tick : 0.0001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.070991
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.069911
- balance_zone_mid:
0.070451
- balance_zone_start_time:
1785297600
- balance_zone_end_time:
1785531600
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.1831
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
66
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: stretched
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7953
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1785524400
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.069911
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.7424
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
2
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.7641
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
1
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
1
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
11
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
22
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.00049471 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
66
inside_close_ratio
0.7424
bars_since_breakout
2
distance_to_edge_atr
0.7641
Signaux confirmants (40)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17:07 | 0.06953300 | +0.004% |
| 2 | 17:13 | 0.06953300 | +0.004% |
| 3 | 17:19 | 0.06967000 | +0.201% |
| 4 | 17:25 | 0.06967000 | +0.201% |
| 5 | 17:31 | 0.06967000 | +0.201% |
| 6 | 17:37 | 0.06962100 | +0.131% |
| 7 | 17:43 | 0.06962100 | +0.131% |
| 8 | 17:49 | 0.06973100 | +0.289% |
| 9 | 17:55 | 0.06973100 | +0.289% |
| 10 | 18:01 | 0.06973100 | +0.289% |
| 11 | 18:07 | 0.06958200 | +0.075% |
| 12 | 18:13 | 0.06958200 | +0.075% |
| 13 | 18:19 | 0.06974900 | +0.315% |
| 14 | 18:25 | 0.06974900 | +0.315% |
| 15 | 18:31 | 0.06974900 | +0.315% |
| 16 | 18:37 | 0.06979100 | +0.375% |
| 17 | 18:43 | 0.06979100 | +0.375% |
| 18 | 18:49 | 0.06972000 | +0.273% |
| 19 | 18:55 | 0.06972000 | +0.273% |
| 20 | 19:02 | 0.06972000 | +0.273% |
| 21 | 19:07 | 0.06961800 | +0.127% |
| 22 | 19:13 | 0.06961800 | +0.127% |
| 23 | 19:19 | 0.06965100 | +0.174% |
| 24 | 19:25 | 0.06965100 | +0.174% |
| 25 | 19:31 | 0.06965100 | +0.174% |
| 26 | 19:37 | 0.06963700 | +0.154% |
| 27 | 19:43 | 0.06963700 | +0.154% |
| 28 | 19:49 | 0.06963400 | +0.15% |
| 29 | 19:55 | 0.06963400 | +0.15% |
| 30 | 20:01 | 0.06963400 | +0.15% |
| 31 | 20:07 | 0.06970200 | +0.247% |
| 32 | 20:13 | 0.06970200 | +0.247% |
| 33 | 20:19 | 0.06964300 | +0.163% |
| 34 | 20:25 | 0.06964300 | +0.163% |
| 35 | 20:31 | 0.06964300 | +0.163% |
| 36 | 20:37 | 0.06964400 | +0.164% |
| 37 | 20:43 | 0.06964400 | +0.164% |
| 38 | 20:49 | 0.06988600 | +0.512% |
| 39 | 20:55 | 0.06988600 | +0.512% |
| 40 | 21:01 | 0.06988600 | +0.512% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6891ms
Confidence avant OB :
80%
→
80%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.065
avg 0.070
± 0.003
OBI Top 10
0.058
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.0696
Micro Price
0.0696
Spread
0.0144%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.0694
Size
35,374,266.20
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.0706
Size
39,504,136.00
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.06953 | 0.0705 | 0.06711 | 2.49 | 0.07595 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.06953
- Stop Loss: 0.0705
- Take Profit: 0.06711
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.0705 - 0.06953 = 0.00097
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.06953 - 0.06711 = 0.00242
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00242 / 0.00097 = 2.4948
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 574.9677 | 100 | 8268.9903 | 6.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.00097
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00097 = 8247.42
Taille de position USD = 8247.42 x 0.06953 = 573.44
Donc, tu peux acheter 8247.42 avec un stoploss a 0.0705
Avec un position size USD de 573.44$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 8247.42 x 0.00097 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 8247.42 x 0.00242 = 19.96
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.96$
Résumé
- Taille de position 8247.42
- Taille de position USD 573.44
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 19.96
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4948
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.48 % | 20.01 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.4 % | 8.02 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -3.09 $ | -0.54 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.0341 % | 74.12 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.06953 | 0.0705 | 0.06711 | 2.49 | 0.07595 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.06953
- Stop Loss: 0.0705
- Take Profit: 0.06711
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.0705 - 0.06953 = 0.00097
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.06953 - 0.06711 = 0.00242
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00242 / 0.00097 = 2.4948
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.395%
(0.0010)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.003% | 0.0R | -0.463% | 0.3R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.003% | 0.0R | -0.463% | 0.3R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.003% | 0.0R | -0.758% | 0.5R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.003% | 0.0R | -1.020% | 0.7R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.003% | 0.0R | -1.034% | 0.7R | 0.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.488% | 1.8R | -1.034% | 0.7R | 2.4× | 288 |
computed 2 months ago
Commentaires
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