Short Trade on LTC (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 14.63 LTC at 44.679$ per unit. Take profit: 43.3122 (3.06 %) & Stop Loss: 45.2257 (1.22 %)
31 Jul 2026 at 17:42:48
hyperliquid
LTC
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
31 Jul 2026 17:42
→ 05:40
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 44.679$
Qty 14.633 LTC
Size 653.7885$ (margin 100$) (leverage 7)
Risk Setup
TP 43.3122 (+3.06%)
TP $ 20$
SL 45.2257 (-1.22%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
win
PnL
+0.75%
/ +4.87$
MAE -0.16%
MFE +1.18%
1.0R
expires
01 Aug 05:42
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 54895)
#5 / 48
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 31/07/2026 17:00
score du 31/07/2026 17:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3553
Quality Score
0.594
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#5 / 48
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
85 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.22 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#5 / 48
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
85 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.22 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | -0.49×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.67×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
1.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
31/07 17:30
31/07 17:30
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 30/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 31/07 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_medium (+1) 31/07 17:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
31/07/2026 17:00
Score brut
0.5936
Score SMA
0.4852
Rank
#5
/ 48
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3553
Rank Norm SMA
0.2859
Calculé le
31/07/2026 17:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4447 | r1h: -0.149% · r4h: 0.038% · r1d: -1.89% · r3d: -3.61% · ema21_slope: -0.0615% · dist_ema21: -0.587% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4808 | rs_1h: -0.203% · rs_4h: -0.156% · rs_1d: 0.85% · rs_3d: -2.18% · beta_24h: 0.457 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.7775 | rvol_20: 3.50× · zscore_50: 1.396 · trend: 13.34% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5630 | ADX: 28.7 (trend) · Chop: 59.9 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.567% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.224%
(0.5467)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.674% | 0.6R | -0.159% | 0.1R | 4.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.162% | 1.0R | -0.159% | 0.1R | 7.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.177% | 1.0R | -0.159% | 0.1R | 7.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.177% | 1.0R | -0.159% | 0.1R | 7.4× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.177% | 1.0R | -0.159% | 0.1R | 7.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.446% | 2.0R | -0.159% | 0.1R | 15.4× | 288 |
computed 2 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 6.38
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 33% | mid | — | — | 0.73 | bear_high | -6.38% | +0.15 | 30/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | near -0.5ATR | — | 0.70 | bear_high | -2.02% | -0.26 | 31/07 16:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | compression | bear_medium |
60%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | — | — | 0.59 | bear_medium | -1.70% | +0.04 | 31/07 17:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | bear_low |
45%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | — | — | — | bear_low | -0.96% | -0.03 | 31/07 17:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 5b | — | 2.269×ATR | p0 | -0.694×ATR | p72 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 5b | — | 2.267×ATR | p19 | -0.732×ATR | p70 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 8b | — | 2.465×ATR | p46 | -0.784×ATR | p68 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 12b | — | 2.022×ATR | p14 | -0.44×ATR | p45 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.8484
- reason: down_bo width=2.72×ATR dur=66b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 45.22570895
- tp_price: 43.31222763
- atr:
- score: 0.84841680245346
- expires_at: 2026-08-01T09:42:40.832200
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.84841680245346
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0374
- obi_top10 : 0.0901
- micro_price : 44.68934911
- spread_pct : 0.022381
- mid_price : 44.685
- bid_wall_price : 44.5
- bid_wall_size : 17715.1
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 44.8
- ask_wall_size : 15237.18
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0394
- obi_top5_std : 0.0017
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7027
- aggregation_tick : 0.1
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
45.559
- balance_zone_bottom:
44.8395
- balance_zone_mid:
45.19925
- balance_zone_start_time:
1785297600
- balance_zone_end_time:
1785531600
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.7193
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
66
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: stretched
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8484
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1785528000
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
44.8395
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.8333
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.6066
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
7
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
11
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.26458947 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
66
inside_close_ratio
0.8333
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.6066
Signaux confirmants (16)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17:42 | 44.67900000 | 0% |
| 2 | 17:48 | 44.73000000 | +0.114% |
| 3 | 17:54 | 44.73000000 | +0.114% |
| 4 | 18:01 | 44.73000000 | +0.114% |
| 5 | 18:07 | 44.58200000 | -0.217% |
| 6 | 18:13 | 44.58200000 | -0.217% |
| 7 | 18:19 | 44.63000000 | -0.11% |
| 8 | 18:24 | 44.63000000 | -0.11% |
| 9 | 18:31 | 44.63000000 | -0.11% |
| 10 | 18:36 | 44.49900000 | -0.403% |
| 11 | 18:42 | 44.49900000 | -0.403% |
| 12 | 18:49 | 44.45200000 | -0.508% |
| 13 | 18:54 | 44.45200000 | -0.508% |
| 14 | 19:01 | 44.45200000 | -0.508% |
| 15 | 19:07 | 44.29700000 | -0.855% |
| 16 | 19:12 | 44.29700000 | -0.855% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7027ms
Confidence avant OB :
85%
→
85%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.037
avg 0.039
± 0.002
OBI Top 10
0.090
Microstructure
Mid Price
44.6850
Micro Price
44.6893
Spread
0.0224%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
44.5000
Size
17,715.10
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
44.8000
Size
15,237.18
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.679 | 45.2257 | 43.3122 | 2.5 | 55.257 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 44.679
- Stop Loss: 45.2257
- Take Profit: 43.3122
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 45.2257 - 44.679 = 0.5467
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 44.679 - 43.3122 = 1.3668
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.3668 / 0.5467 = 2.5001
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 653.7885 | 100 | 14.633 | 7.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.5467
Taille de position = 8 / 0.5467 = 14.63
Taille de position USD = 14.63 x 44.679 = 653.65
Donc, tu peux acheter 14.63 avec un stoploss a 45.2257
Avec un position size USD de 653.65$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 14.63 x 0.5467 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 14.63 x 1.3668 = 20
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$
Résumé
- Taille de position 14.63
- Taille de position USD 653.65
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5001
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.06 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.22 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 4.87 $ | 0.75 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1589 % | 12.99 % | 6 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.679 | 45.2257 | 43.3122 | 2.5 | 55.257 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 44.679
- Stop Loss: 45.2257
- Take Profit: 43.3122
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 45.2257 - 44.679 = 0.5467
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 44.679 - 43.3122 = 1.3668
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.3668 / 0.5467 = 2.5001
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.224%
(0.5467)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.674% | 0.6R | -0.159% | 0.1R | 4.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.162% | 1.0R | -0.159% | 0.1R | 7.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.177% | 1.0R | -0.159% | 0.1R | 7.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.177% | 1.0R | -0.159% | 0.1R | 7.4× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.177% | 1.0R | -0.159% | 0.1R | 7.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.446% | 2.0R | -0.159% | 0.1R | 15.4× | 288 |
computed 2 months ago
Commentaires
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