Long Trade on CFX (CatchTheWave)
With 44730.22 CFX at 0.0424$ per unit. Take profit: 0.04274 (0.85 %) & Stop Loss: 0.0422 (0.42 %)
Long Trade on CFX (CatchTheWave)
With 44730.22 CFX at 0.0424$ per unit. Take profit: 0.04274 (0.85 %) & Stop Loss: 0.0422 (0.42 %)
Position
Entry 0.04238$
Qty 44730.2209 CFX
Size 1895.7115$ (margin 100$) (leverage 19)
Risk Setup
TP 0.04274 (+0.85%)
TP $ 16.1$
SL 0.0422 (-0.42%)
SL $ 8.05$
RR 2
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7973
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 3.10×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.53×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 9.05×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 30/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 31/07 16:00 Tactical (1H) : range_high (0) 31/07 17:00 Score : -5 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.245606 15m : 0.215897 |
1H_regime : range_high 15m_regime : range_high 5m_regime : bear_low |
| Strategic |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Operational |
bear
— |
expansion
-1 |
| Tactical |
bear
— |
transition
-1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4593 | r1h: -0.711% · r4h: -2.518% · r1d: 3.37% · r3d: -0.56% · ema21_slope: 0.0570% · dist_ema21: 0.162% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5023 | rs_1h: -0.837% · rs_4h: -2.187% · rs_1d: 6.00% · rs_3d: 0.92% · beta_24h: 0.878 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1821 | rvol_20: 0.15× · zscore_50: -0.269 · trend: -57.83% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7034 | ADX: 38.6 (trend) · Chop: 52.8 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.907% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.267% | 0.6R | -0.892% | 2.1R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.321% | 0.8R | -0.977% | 2.3R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.590% | 1.4R | -2.548% | 6.0R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.590% | 1.4R | -3.018% | 7.1R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.590% | 1.4R | -3.018% | 7.1R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | weak | fading | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
46%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | near -1.8ATR | — | 0.67 | bear_high | -6.38% | -0.00 | 30/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 29% | early | — | — | 0.48 | bear_high | -2.02% | +0.18 | 31/07 16:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | volatile_reversal | range_high |
36%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | — | 0.30 | bear_medium | -1.67% | +0.51 | 31/07 17:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | balanced | compression | range_high |
42%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | near 0.2ATR | — | — | bear_low | -0.91% | +0.11 | 31/07 17:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 9b | — | 1.655×ATR | p0 | +0.087×ATR | p9 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 1.379×ATR | p0 | +0.226×ATR | p23 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 9b | — | 1.727×ATR | p14 | -0.162×ATR | p19 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 15b | — | 4.897×ATR | p84 | -1.152×ATR | p79 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63010.3
-0.00190953
62890
0.245606
63600.5
-0.0111723
62890
0.215897
64072.3
-0.0167371
63000
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0.040307
190
0.5326
0.7133
0.3956
0.2985
0.475
1
0.3692
0.4773
0.2734
0.796
0.5927
0.187
0.0601
0.0322
1
0.0409
0.2787
0.25
0.75
-1
9
0.9474
0.4556
0.6741
7.0663
0.6
2.115
3.1945
0.2787
0.7373
0.1997
0.66
2.1617
0.6003
0.3913
0.0596
0.187
-8.4622
1.9459
1
0
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 15:20:00 | 0.043227 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 15:40:00 | 0.042473 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 16:10:00 | 0.043039 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 17:05:00 | 0.041725 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 17:55:00 | 0.044263 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 18:40:00 | 0.042912 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 19:00:00 | 0.043223 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 19:35:00 | 0.043335 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 20:55:00 | 0.042539 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 21:50:00 | 0.042183 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 01:00:00 | 0.041646 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 04:00:00 | 0.040152 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 05:00:00 | 0.052379 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 07:15:00 | 0.042925 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 09:00:00 | 0.045273 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 12:00:00 | 0.040307 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 15:15:00 | 0.043227 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 17:00:00 | 0.041725 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 17:45:00 | 0.044263 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 21:45:00 | 0.042183 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 04:00:00 | 0.040844 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 12:00:00 | 0.041495 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 18:00:00 | 0.042391 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 21:00:00 | 0.04066 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 02:00:00 | 0.042163 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 13:00:00 | 0.040703 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 04:00:00 | 0.040152 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 05:00:00 | 0.052379 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 12:00:00 | 0.040307 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 17:00:00 | 0.044263 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.04238 | 0.0422 | 0.04274 | 2 | 0.04541 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.0422 - 0.04238 = -0.00018
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.04238 - 0.04274 = -0.00036
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00036 / -0.00018 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1895.7115 | 100 | 44730.2209 | 19.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00018 = -44444.44
Taille de position USD = -44444.44 x 0.04238 = -1883.56
Donc, tu peux acheter -44444.44 avec un stoploss a 0.0422
Avec un position size USD de -1883.56$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -44444.44 x -0.00018 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -44444.44 x -0.00036 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.85 % | 16.1 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.42 % | 8.05 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.05 $ | -0.42 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.4719 % | 111.11 % | 4 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.04238 | 0.0422 | 0.04274 | 2 | 0.04541 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.0422 - 0.04238 = -0.00018
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.04238 - 0.04274 = -0.00036
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00036 / -0.00018 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.267% | 0.6R | -0.892% | 2.1R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.321% | 0.8R | -0.977% | 2.3R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.590% | 1.4R | -2.548% | 6.0R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.590% | 1.4R | -3.018% | 7.1R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.590% | 1.4R | -3.018% | 7.1R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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