Long Trade on TAO (BosPullback)
With 2.71 TAO at 192.99$ per unit. Take profit: 200.3695 (3.82 %) & Stop Loss: 190.0382 (1.53 %)
Long Trade on TAO (BosPullback)
With 2.71 TAO at 192.99$ per unit. Take profit: 200.3695 (3.82 %) & Stop Loss: 190.0382 (1.53 %)
Position
Entry 192.99$
Qty 2.7102 TAO
Size 523.0421$ (margin 100$) (leverage 5)
Risk Setup
TP 200.3695 (+3.82%)
TP $ 20$
SL 190.0382 (-1.53%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7028
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.79×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.25×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 10.05×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BosPullback. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 30/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 31/07 16:00 Tactical (1H) : range_high (0) 31/07 17:00 Score : -5 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
1H_regime : range_high 15m_regime : range_medium |
| Strategic |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Operational |
bear
— |
expansion
-1 |
| Tactical |
bear
— |
transition
-1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4597 | r1h: -0.150% · r4h: -1.635% · r1d: 0.05% · r3d: -0.57% · ema21_slope: -0.0116% · dist_ema21: -0.439% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5024 | rs_1h: -0.276% · rs_4h: -1.304% · rs_1d: 2.68% · rs_3d: 0.91% · beta_24h: 0.920 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4940 | rvol_20: 1.54× · zscore_50: 0.838 · trend: 3.76% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5426 | ADX: 15.4 (weak) · Chop: 48.8 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.947% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.627% | 0.4R | -0.016% | 0.0R | 40.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.627% | 0.4R | -0.047% | 0.0R | 13.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.705% | 1.1R | -0.047% | 0.0R | 36.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.596% | 2.4R | -0.047% | 0.0R | 77.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.596% | 2.4R | -0.047% | 0.0R | 77.2× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 36% | late | — | — | 0.61 | bear_high | -6.38% | -0.44 | 30/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | — | near -0.3ATR | 0.62 | bear_high | -2.02% | +0.32 | 31/07 16:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion | range_high |
41%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | near 0.0ATR | — | 0.67 | bear_medium | -1.67% | +0.14 | 31/07 17:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | range_medium |
39%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | — | — | 0.54 | bear_low | -0.91% | -0.07 | 31/07 17:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 46b | — | 9.475×ATR | p92 | +0.252×ATR | p29 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 1.289×ATR | p0 | -0.123×ATR | p14 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 2.153×ATR | p31 | -0.435×ATR | p49 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 15b | — | 4.8×ATR | p83 | -0.736×ATR | p71 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
197.1
146
0.5195
0.6174
0.3121
0.2658
0.35
1
0.0895
0.5559
0.6323
0.7171
0.5482
0.5401
0.0323
0.0235
0.3333
-0.4651
-0.241
0.5
0.5
1
3
0.9474
0.521
0.6227
3.6172
0.55
1.4526
3.7565
-0.241
0
0.2738
0.64
0.1997
0.5074
0.4752
0
0.5401
-4.4936
5.2776
1
0
0
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[price] => 197.85
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[price] => 194.95
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[time] => 2026-07-31 12:00:00
[price] => 192.99
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
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(
[time] => 2026-07-31 13:00:00
[price] => 194.74
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
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[time] => 2026-07-31 14:00:00
[price] => 190.2
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[label] => LL
)
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[price] => 197.1
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[label] => HH
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190.2
197.1
197.1
190.2
189.02
186.41
187.715
0.9089
197.85
194.6
196.225
0.7955
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18:04 | 192.99000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 18:10 | 193.38000000 | +0.202% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 192.99 | 190.0382 | 200.3695 | 2.5 | 241.59 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 190.0382 - 192.99 = -2.9518
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 192.99 - 200.3695 = -7.3795
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -7.3795 / -2.9518 = 2.5
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 523.0421 | 100 | 2.7102 | 5.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -2.9518 = -2.71
Taille de position USD = -2.71 x 192.99 = -523
Donc, tu peux acheter -2.71 avec un stoploss a 190.0382
Avec un position size USD de -523$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -2.71 x -2.9518 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -2.71 x -7.3795 = 20
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.82 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.53 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -1.53 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.6685 % | 109.09 % | 18 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 192.99 | 190.0382 | 200.3695 | 2.5 | 241.59 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 190.0382 - 192.99 = -2.9518
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 192.99 - 200.3695 = -7.3795
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -7.3795 / -2.9518 = 2.5
Array
(
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.627% | 0.4R | -0.016% | 0.0R | 40.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.627% | 0.4R | -0.047% | 0.0R | 13.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.705% | 1.1R | -0.047% | 0.0R | 36.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.596% | 2.4R | -0.047% | 0.0R | 77.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.596% | 2.4R | -0.047% | 0.0R | 77.2× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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