Long Trade on XMR (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 1.27 XMR at 360.71$ per unit. Take profit: 376.4155 (4.35 %) & Stop Loss: 354.4278 (1.74 %)
31 Jul 2026 at 21:11:00
hyperliquid
XMR
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
31 Jul 2026 21:11
→ 09:10
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 360.71$
Qty 1.2734 XMR
Size 459.3428$ (margin 100$) (leverage 5)
Risk Setup
TP 376.4155 (+4.35%)
TP $ 20$
SL 354.4278 (-1.74%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-0.04%
/ -0.18$
MAE -0.09%
MFE +1.84%
1.1R
expires
01 Aug 09:10
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 55120)
#4 / 45
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 31/07/2026 21:00
score du 31/07/2026 21:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8303
Quality Score
0.582
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#4 / 45
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
65 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.74 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#4 / 45
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
65 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.74 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.84×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.51×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 3.04×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
10.8M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
31/07 21:02
31/07 21:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 31/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 31/07 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 31/07 20:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1201
range
compression
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bear
— |
expansion
-1 |
| Tactical |
bear
— |
transition
-1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.60
Transition risk :
0.40
Score contribution (this trade)
-2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.51
Snapshot évalué :
31/07 21:00
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
31/07/2026 21:00
Score brut
0.5822
Score SMA
0.5694
Rank
#4
/ 45
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8303
Rank Norm SMA
0.8340
Calculé le
31/07/2026 21:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5746 | r1h: 0.701% · r4h: 1.437% · r1d: 0.76% · r3d: 5.14% · ema21_slope: 0.0114% · dist_ema21: 1.450% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6496 | rs_1h: 0.535% · rs_4h: 1.375% · rs_1d: 3.45% · rs_3d: 6.66% · beta_24h: 0.183 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2776 | rvol_20: 0.66× · zscore_50: -0.141 · trend: -4.26% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6128 | ADX: 19.4 (weak) · Chop: 44.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.835% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.742%
(6.2822)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.796% | 0.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.023% | 0.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +1.833% | 1.1R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +1.838% | 1.1R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.838% | 1.1R | -0.094% | 0.1R | 19.5× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.838% | 1.1R | -0.823% | 0.5R | 2.2× | 288 |
computed 2 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.42
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | 0.51 | bear_high | -6.57% | +0.82 | 31/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | grind | normal | bull_high |
67%
|
noisy_chop 47% | mid | — | — | 0.32 | bear_high | -1.98% | +0.63 | 31/07 20:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid | — | — | 0.33 | bear_medium | -1.63% | +0.35 | 31/07 20:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_low |
53%
|
choppy 56% | late | — | near -2.6ATR | 0.28 | range_low | -0.73% | +0.21 | 31/07 20:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 7b | — | 0.982×ATR | p0 | +0.394×ATR | p48 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 3b | — | 2.173×ATR | p13 | +0.637×ATR | p66 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 4b | — | 2.787×ATR | p57 | +1.122×ATR | p82 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 17b | — | 8.684×ATR | p100 | +1.606×ATR | p91 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.6501
- reason: up_bo width=2.70×ATR dur=67b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 354.42780745
- tp_price: 376.41548137
- atr:
- score: 0.65013507010615
- expires_at: 2026-08-01T13:10:53.051228
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.65013507010615
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0755
- obi_top10 : 0.0173
- micro_price : 360.53850847
- spread_pct : 0.005548
- mid_price : 360.53
- bid_wall_price : 358
- bid_wall_size : 662.38
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 364
- ask_wall_size : 567.36
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.1112
- obi_top5_std : 0.0327
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7008
- aggregation_tick : 1
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
358.55
- balance_zone_bottom:
350.875
- balance_zone_mid:
354.7125
- balance_zone_start_time:
1785308400
- balance_zone_end_time:
1785546000
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.6959
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
67
- balance_zone_quality: drifting
- balance_zone_maturity: stretched
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.6501
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1785542400
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
358.55
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.6269
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.7587
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
11
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
12
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 2.84692547 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
67
inside_close_ratio
0.6269
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.7587
Signaux confirmants (30)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21:11 | 360.71000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 21:17 | 360.71000000 | 0% |
| 3 | 21:22 | 361.37000000 | +0.183% |
| 4 | 21:28 | 361.37000000 | +0.183% |
| 5 | 21:35 | 361.37000000 | +0.183% |
| 6 | 21:40 | 362.34000000 | +0.452% |
| 7 | 21:46 | 362.34000000 | +0.452% |
| 8 | 21:52 | 362.47000000 | +0.488% |
| 9 | 21:58 | 362.47000000 | +0.488% |
| 10 | 22:05 | 362.47000000 | +0.488% |
| 11 | 22:10 | 362.78000000 | +0.574% |
| 12 | 22:16 | 362.78000000 | +0.574% |
| 13 | 22:22 | 363.10000000 | +0.663% |
| 14 | 22:28 | 363.10000000 | +0.663% |
| 15 | 22:35 | 363.10000000 | +0.663% |
| 16 | 22:40 | 363.54000000 | +0.785% |
| 17 | 22:46 | 363.54000000 | +0.785% |
| 18 | 22:52 | 363.59000000 | +0.798% |
| 19 | 22:58 | 363.59000000 | +0.798% |
| 20 | 23:05 | 363.59000000 | +0.798% |
| 21 | 23:10 | 364.20000000 | +0.968% |
| 22 | 23:16 | 364.20000000 | +0.968% |
| 23 | 23:22 | 364.55000000 | +1.065% |
| 24 | 23:28 | 364.55000000 | +1.065% |
| 25 | 23:34 | 364.55000000 | +1.065% |
| 26 | 23:40 | 364.97000000 | +1.181% |
| 27 | 23:47 | 364.97000000 | +1.181% |
| 28 | 23:52 | 365.37000000 | +1.292% |
| 29 | 23:58 | 365.37000000 | +1.292% |
| 30 | 00:05 | 365.37000000 | +1.292% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7008ms
Confidence avant OB :
65%
→
65%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.076
avg 0.111
± 0.033
OBI Top 10
0.017
Microstructure
Mid Price
360.5300
Micro Price
360.5385
Spread
0.0055%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
358.0000
Size
662.38
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
364.0000
Size
567.36
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 360.71 | 354.4278 | 376.4155 | 2.5 | 597.16 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 360.71
- Stop Loss: 354.4278
- Take Profit: 376.4155
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 354.4278 - 360.71 = -6.2822
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 360.71 - 376.4155 = -15.7055
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -15.7055 / -6.2822 = 2.5
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 459.3428 | 100 | 1.2734 | 5.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -6.2822
Taille de position = 8 / -6.2822 = -1.27
Taille de position USD = -1.27 x 360.71 = -458.1
Donc, tu peux acheter -1.27 avec un stoploss a 354.4278
Avec un position size USD de -458.1$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1.27 x -6.2822 = 7.98
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.98$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1.27 x -15.7055 = 19.95
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.95$
Résumé
- Taille de position -1.27
- Taille de position USD -458.1
- Perte potentielle 7.98
- Gain potentiel 19.95
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.35 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.74 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -0.18 $ | -0.04 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0943 % | 5.41 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 360.71 | 354.4278 | 376.4155 | 2.5 | 597.16 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 360.71
- Stop Loss: 354.4278
- Take Profit: 376.4155
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 354.4278 - 360.71 = -6.2822
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 360.71 - 376.4155 = -15.7055
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -15.7055 / -6.2822 = 2.5
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.742%
(6.2822)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.796% | 0.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.023% | 0.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +1.833% | 1.1R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +1.838% | 1.1R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.838% | 1.1R | -0.094% | 0.1R | 19.5× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.838% | 1.1R | -0.823% | 0.5R | 2.2× | 288 |
computed 2 months ago
Commentaires
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