Long Trade on PUMP (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 69336.11 PUMP at 0.00212$ per unit. Take profit: 0.002406 (13.6 %) & Stop Loss: 0.002003 (5.43 %)
31 Jul 2026 at 21:51:58
hyperliquid
PUMP
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
31 Jul 2026 21:51
→ 09:50
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.002118$
Qty 69336.1068 PUMP
Size 146.8539$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.002406 (+13.6%)
TP $ 19.97$
SL 0.002003 (-5.43%)
SL $ 7.97$
RR 2.5
Status
win
PnL
+1.27%
/ +1.87$
MAE -0.05%
MFE +6.19%
1.1R
expires
01 Aug 09:51
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 55115)
#1 / 45
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 31/07/2026 21:00
score du 31/07/2026 21:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9836
Quality Score
0.685
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#1 / 45
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
79 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.43 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#1 / 45
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
79 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.43 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
3/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.04×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.97×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.08×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
27.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
31/07 21:46
31/07 21:46
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 31/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 31/07 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 31/07 21:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
31/07/2026 21:00
Score brut
0.6850
Score SMA
0.6318
Rank
#1
/ 45
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9836
Rank Norm SMA
0.9024
Calculé le
31/07/2026 21:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7503 | r1h: 1.690% · r4h: 0.477% · r1d: 6.31% · r3d: 6.96% · ema21_slope: 0.2671% · dist_ema21: 2.277% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7554 | rs_1h: 1.525% · rs_4h: 0.415% · rs_1d: 9.00% · rs_3d: 8.48% · beta_24h: -0.428 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3140 | rvol_20: 0.74× · zscore_50: 0.126 · trend: 0.63% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7220 | ADX: 36.4 (trend) · Chop: 48.2 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.352% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -5.430%
(0.0001)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.464% | 0.3R | -0.047% | 0.0R | 31.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +3.211% | 0.6R | -0.047% | 0.0R | 68.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +6.185% | 1.1R | -0.047% | 0.0R | 131.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +6.185% | 1.1R | -0.047% | 0.0R | 131.0× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +6.185% | 1.1R | -0.047% | 0.0R | 131.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +7.885% | 1.5R | -3.636% | 0.7R | 2.2× | 288 |
computed 2 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 6.46
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 46% | mid | — | near -0.1ATR | 0.60 | bear_high | -6.57% | +1.00 | 31/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 34% | mid | — | near -1.0ATR | 0.51 | bear_high | -1.99% | +0.70 | 31/07 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
67%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | near 0.0ATR | 0.28 | bear_medium | -1.62% | +0.60 | 31/07 21:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 46% | mid | — | near 0.0ATR | 0.28 | range_low | -0.72% | +0.08 | 31/07 21:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 18b | — | 4.546×ATR | p65 | +0.596×ATR | p65 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 13b | — | 3.621×ATR | p56 | +0.687×ATR | p63 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 3b | — | 1.822×ATR | p27 | +0.45×ATR | p54 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 13b | — | 4.006×ATR | p73 | +0.704×ATR | p68 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.7883
- reason: up_bo width=1.45×ATR dur=33b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.00200262
- tp_price: 0.00240646
- atr:
- score: 0.78831461711539
- expires_at: 2026-08-01T13:51:50.807116
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.78831461711539
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0931
- obi_top10 : 0.1054
- micro_price : 0.00212012
- spread_pct : 0.094384
- mid_price : 0.00212
- bid_wall_price : 0.0021
- bid_wall_size : 92792548
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.00213
- ask_wall_size : 55748978.6
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0948
- obi_top5_std : 0.0039
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7085
- aggregation_tick : 1.0E-5
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.002043
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.001972
- balance_zone_mid:
0.0020075
- balance_zone_start_time:
1785430800
- balance_zone_end_time:
1785546000
- balance_zone_width_atr:
1.4536
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
33
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7883
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1785538800
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.002043
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.6364
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
2
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.5355
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
5
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
6
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 4.885E-5 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
33
inside_close_ratio
0.6364
bars_since_breakout
2
distance_to_edge_atr
1.5355
Signaux confirmants (15)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21:51 | 0.00211800 | 0% |
| 2 | 21:57 | 0.00211800 | 0% |
| 3 | 22:05 | 0.00211800 | 0% |
| 4 | 22:10 | 0.00213200 | +0.661% |
| 5 | 22:16 | 0.00213200 | +0.661% |
| 6 | 22:22 | 0.00214200 | +1.133% |
| 7 | 22:27 | 0.00214200 | +1.133% |
| 8 | 22:34 | 0.00214200 | +1.133% |
| 9 | 22:39 | 0.00213100 | +0.614% |
| 10 | 22:46 | 0.00213100 | +0.614% |
| 11 | 22:51 | 0.00213600 | +0.85% |
| 12 | 22:57 | 0.00213600 | +0.85% |
| 13 | 23:05 | 0.00213600 | +0.85% |
| 14 | 23:10 | 0.00214300 | +1.18% |
| 15 | 23:16 | 0.00214300 | +1.18% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7085ms
Confidence avant OB :
79%
→
79%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.093
avg 0.095
± 0.004
OBI Top 10
0.105
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.0021
Micro Price
0.0021
Spread
0.0944%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.0021
Size
92,792,548.00
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.0021
Size
55,748,978.60
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002118 | 0.002003 | 0.002406 | 2.5 | 0.004538 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.002118
- Stop Loss: 0.002003
- Take Profit: 0.002406
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002003 - 0.002118 = -0.000115
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002118 - 0.002406 = -0.000288
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000288 / -0.000115 = 2.5043
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 146.8539 | 100 | 69336.1068 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.000115
Taille de position = 8 / -0.000115 = -69565.22
Taille de position USD = -69565.22 x 0.002118 = -147.34
Donc, tu peux acheter -69565.22 avec un stoploss a 0.002003
Avec un position size USD de -147.34$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -69565.22 x -0.000115 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -69565.22 x -0.000288 = 20.03
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.03$
Résumé
- Taille de position -69565.22
- Taille de position USD -147.34
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20.03
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5043
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 13.6 % | 19.97 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.43 % | 7.97 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 1.87 $ | 1.27 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0472 % | 0.87 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002118 | 0.002003 | 0.002406 | 2.5 | 0.004538 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.002118
- Stop Loss: 0.002003
- Take Profit: 0.002406
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002003 - 0.002118 = -0.000115
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002118 - 0.002406 = -0.000288
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000288 / -0.000115 = 2.5043
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -5.430%
(0.0001)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.464% | 0.3R | -0.047% | 0.0R | 31.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +3.211% | 0.6R | -0.047% | 0.0R | 68.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +6.185% | 1.1R | -0.047% | 0.0R | 131.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +6.185% | 1.1R | -0.047% | 0.0R | 131.0× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +6.185% | 1.1R | -0.047% | 0.0R | 131.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +7.885% | 1.5R | -3.636% | 0.7R | 2.2× | 288 |
computed 2 months ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.