Long Trade on PUMP (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 68787.62 PUMP at 0.00213$ per unit. Take profit: 0.002185 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.002016 (5.44 %)
Long Trade on PUMP (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 68787.62 PUMP at 0.00213$ per unit. Take profit: 0.002185 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.002016 (5.44 %)
Position
Entry 0.002132$
Qty 68787.6182 PUMP
Size 146.6552$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.002185 (+2.49%)
TP $ 3.65$
SL 0.002016 (-5.44%)
SL $ 7.98$
RR 0.46
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9806
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.04×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.97×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.08×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 31/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 31/07 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 31/07 21:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bear
— |
expansion
-1 |
| Tactical |
bear
— |
transition
-1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7709 | r1h: 1.050% · r4h: 2.517% · r1d: 5.53% · r3d: 9.06% · ema21_slope: 0.2786% · dist_ema21: 2.634% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7777 | rs_1h: 0.988% · rs_4h: 2.477% · rs_1d: 7.99% · rs_3d: 10.21% · beta_24h: -0.395 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3429 | rvol_20: 0.83× · zscore_50: 0.272 · trend: 4.14% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7084 | ADX: 35.6 (trend) · Chop: 49.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.306% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.938% | 0.2R | -0.375% | 0.1R | 2.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.627% | 0.5R | -0.375% | 0.1R | 7.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +5.488% | 1.0R | -0.375% | 0.1R | 14.6× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +5.488% | 1.0R | -0.375% | 0.1R | 14.6× | 72 |
| 8h | +5.488% | 1.0R | -0.375% | 0.1R | 14.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +5.488% | 1.0R | -0.375% | 0.1R | 14.6× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 46% | mid | — | near -0.1ATR | 0.60 | bear_high | -6.57% | +1.00 | 31/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 34% | mid | — | near -1.0ATR | 0.51 | bear_high | -1.99% | +0.70 | 31/07 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
67%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | near 0.0ATR | 0.28 | bear_medium | -1.62% | +0.60 | 31/07 21:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 46% | mid | — | near 0.0ATR | 0.28 | range_low | -0.72% | +0.08 | 31/07 21:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 18b | — | 4.546×ATR | p65 | +0.596×ATR | p65 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 13b | — | 3.621×ATR | p56 | +0.687×ATR | p63 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 3b | — | 1.822×ATR | p27 | +0.45×ATR | p54 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 13b | — | 4.006×ATR | p73 | +0.704×ATR | p68 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22:10 | 0.00213200 | 0% |
| 2 | 23:10 | 0.00214300 | +0.516% |
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002132 | 0.002016 | 0.002185 | 0.46 | 0.00452 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002016 - 0.002132 = -0.000116
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002132 - 0.002185 = -5.3E-5
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -5.3E-5 / -0.000116 = 0.4569
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 146.6552 | 100 | 68787.6182 | 1.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.000116 = -68965.52
Taille de position USD = -68965.52 x 0.002132 = -147.03
Donc, tu peux acheter -68965.52 avec un stoploss a 0.002016
Avec un position size USD de -147.03$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -68965.52 x -0.000116 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -68965.52 x -5.3E-5 = 3.66
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.66$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.49 % | 3.65 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.44 % | 7.98 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 3.65 $ | 2.49 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3752 % | 6.9 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002132 | 0.002016 | 0.002185 | 0.46 | 0.00452 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002016 - 0.002132 = -0.000116
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002132 - 0.002185 = -5.3E-5
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -5.3E-5 / -0.000116 = 0.4569
Array
(
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.938% | 0.2R | -0.375% | 0.1R | 2.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.627% | 0.5R | -0.375% | 0.1R | 7.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +5.488% | 1.0R | -0.375% | 0.1R | 14.6× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +5.488% | 1.0R | -0.375% | 0.1R | 14.6× | 72 |
| 8h | +5.488% | 1.0R | -0.375% | 0.1R | 14.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +5.488% | 1.0R | -0.375% | 0.1R | 14.6× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Aucun commentaire.