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Long Trade on PUMP

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01 Aug 2026 at 16:10:04 hyperliquid

Long Trade on PUMP (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 74592.07 PUMP at 0.00211$ per unit. Take profit: 0.002162 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.002002 (5.07 %)

PUMP LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 01 Aug 2026 16:10 → 17:15 · 1 hour

Position

Entry 0.002109$

Qty 74592.0746 PUMP

Size 157.3147$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.002162 (+2.51%)

TP $ 3.95$

SL 0.002002 (-5.07%)

SL $ 7.98$

RR 0.5

Status win PnL +0.62% / +0.97$ MAE -1.14% MFE +0.81% 0.2R expires 01 Aug 17:20 Exit rank_decay: long rank=11 > threshold=10/35

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 55872)
#4 / 35 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/08/2026 16:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.8282

Quality Score
0.656
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
23.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/08 16:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#4 / 35 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+4 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.07 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#4 / 35 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+4 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.07 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear —
4h clear —
1d near -0.04×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up early OK
4h ↓ down early OK
1d ↑ up mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1)

Tactical (1H) : bear_low (-1)

01/08 16:00

Score : -2

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3)

31/07 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

01/08 12:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

01/08 15:00

Score : +6 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 1220
range ranging range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range range — 0
Operational bear expansion — -1
Tactical bear transition — -1
Micro — —
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.60
Transition risk : 0.40
Score contribution (this trade) -2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score —
Impulse : —
% Positive (universe)
15m —
1h —
4h —
24h —
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m — —
4h — —
24h — —
Dispersion : —
Universe : —
Regime confidence : 0.51
Snapshot évalué : 01/08 16:00 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Calculé le 01/08/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.6562
Score SMA
0.6454
Rank
#4 / 35
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8282
Rank Norm SMA
0.9237
Calculé le
01/08/2026 16:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6637 r1h: 2.125% · r4h: 0.427% · r1d: -0.14% · r3d: 13.77% · ema21_slope: 0.0073% · dist_ema21: -0.408%
Force Relative 25% 0.7554 rs_1h: 2.296% · rs_4h: 1.283% · rs_1d: 0.64% · rs_3d: 15.53% · beta_24h: 2.199
Volume 20% 0.3502 rvol_20: 0.91× · zscore_50: -0.117 · trend: 18.91%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6545 ADX: 26.4 (trend) · Chop: 46.3 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.127% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 1.2h) Initial Risk: -5.074% (0.0001)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.664% 0.1R -1.138% 0.2R 0.6× 12
1.2h ★ +0.806% 0.2R -1.138% 0.2R 0.7× 13
2h +1.233% 0.2R -1.138% 0.2R 1.1× 24
4h +1.517% 0.3R -1.138% 0.2R 1.3× 48
8h +8.487% 1.7R -1.138% 0.2R 7.5× 96
12h +8.487% 1.7R -1.138% 0.2R 7.5× 144

computed 2 months ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 2.93
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate fading expansion_after_compression bull_high
64%
noisy_chop 45% mid — near 0.0ATR 0.60 bear_high -6.90% +1.00 31/07 20:00
4h ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition moderate grind expansion bull_high
67%
noisy_chop 38% early — — 0.51 bear_high -2.42% +0.89 01/08 12:00
1h ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate balanced normal bull_high
60%
noisy_chop 42% early near 0.3ATR — 0.29 bear_low_confirmed -1.91% +0.27 01/08 15:00
15m ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate balanced normal range_high
42%
noisy_chop 43% mid — near 0.4ATR 0.27 bear_low -0.93% +0.09 01/08 15:45
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up mid 18b — 4.218×ATR p65 +0.538×ATR p61
4h ↓ down early 3b — 1.821×ATR p0 -0.063×ATR p7
1h ↑ up early 1b — 1.653×ATR p13 -0.074×ATR p9
15m ↑ up mid 4b — 3.837×ATR p67 +0.745×ATR p66

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.00200175
  2. tp_price: 0.00216173
  3. atr: 4.29E-5
  4. expires_at: 2026-08-02T02:10:04+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 2
  2. total: 36
  3. score: 0.6637
  4. delta_2h: 0.1094
  5. extension_atr: -0.33
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.8282
  9. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.002109 0.002002 0.002162 0.5 0.004709
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.002109
  • Stop Loss: 0.002002
  • Take Profit: 0.002162

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.002002 - 0.002109 = -0.000107

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.002109 - 0.002162 = -5.3E-5

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -5.3E-5 / -0.000107 = 0.4953

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
157.3147 100 74592.0746 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.000107

Taille de position = 8 / -0.000107 = -74766.36

Taille de position USD = -74766.36 x 0.002109 = -157.68

Donc, tu peux acheter -74766.36 avec un stoploss a 0.002002

Avec un position size USD de -157.68$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -74766.36 x -0.000107 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -74766.36 x -5.3E-5 = 3.96

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.96$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -74766.36
  • Taille de position USD -157.68
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 3.96
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4953

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.51 % 3.95 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
5.07 % 7.98 $
PNL PNL %
0.97 $ 0.62
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.138 % 22.43 % 3
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.002109 0.002002 0.002162 0.5 0.004709
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.002109
  • Stop Loss: 0.002002
  • Take Profit: 0.002162

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.002002 - 0.002109 = -0.000107

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.002109 - 0.002162 = -5.3E-5

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -5.3E-5 / -0.000107 = 0.4953

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 1.2h) Initial Risk: -5.074% (0.0001)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.664% 0.1R -1.138% 0.2R 0.6× 12
1.2h ★ +0.806% 0.2R -1.138% 0.2R 0.7× 13
2h +1.233% 0.2R -1.138% 0.2R 1.1× 24
4h +1.517% 0.3R -1.138% 0.2R 1.3× 48
8h +8.487% 1.7R -1.138% 0.2R 7.5× 96
12h +8.487% 1.7R -1.138% 0.2R 7.5× 144

computed 2 months ago

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