Long Trade on ZRO

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04 Aug 2026 at 21:10:05 hyperliquid

Long Trade on ZRO (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 301.13 ZRO at 0.787$ per unit. Take profit: 0.8067 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.7605 (3.38 %)

ZRO LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 04 Aug 2026 21:10 → 23:00 · 1 hour

Position

Entry 0.7871$

Qty 301.1297 ZRO

Size 237.0101$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.8067 (+2.49%)

TP $ 5.9$

SL 0.7605 (-3.38%)

SL $ 8.01$

RR 0.74

Status loss PnL -0.60% / -1.43$ MAE -1.33% MFE +1.15% 0.3R expires 04 Aug 23:20 Exit rank_decay: long rank=12 > threshold=10/43

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 58829)

#5 / 45 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 04/08/2026 21:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9265

Quality Score

0.620

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

93 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

2 OK

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD TRADE

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

1.5M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
04/08 21:00

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank

#5 / 45 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

93 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

-4

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-4 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

3.38 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#5 / 45 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

93 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-4 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

3.38 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Supply	Distance (ATR)
1h	clear	4.70×ATR
4h	clear	15.71×ATR
1d	clear	23.03×ATR

Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	early	OK
4h	↑ up	early	OK
1d	↓ down	early	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2	ml_regime : range_low Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 04/08 21:00 Score : 0

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : bull_moderate

rules_regime : bull_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 2

ml_regime : range_low

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : range_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

04/08 21:00

Score : 0

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime	Coin Market Regime V2
		Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 04/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 04/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 04/08 20:00 Score : -4 / ±6

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3)

04/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2)

04/08 20:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

04/08 20:00

Score : -4 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 1297

range compression range_bound

Strategic	range	compression	—	0
Operational	range	compression	—	0
Tactical	bull	expansion	—	0
Micro	—		—

MTF alignment : 0.65

Stability : 0.50

Transition risk : 0.50

Score contribution (this trade) 0

Market Breadth

Breadth Score —

Impulse : —

% Positive (universe)

15m	—
1h	—
4h	—
24h	—

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	—	—
4h	—	—
24h	—	—

Dispersion : —

Universe : —

Regime confidence : 0.70

Snapshot évalué : 04/08 21:00 · env range_bound

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 04/08/2026 21:00

Score brut

0.6198

Score SMA

0.6174

Rank

#5 / 45

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.9265

Rank Norm SMA

0.8386

Calculé le

04/08/2026 21:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.6552	r1h: 0.573% · r4h: -3.134% · r1d: 7.28% · r3d: 8.68% · ema21_slope: 0.3110% · dist_ema21: 1.276%
Force Relative	25%	0.6030	rs_1h: 0.622% · rs_4h: -2.698% · rs_1d: 6.18% · rs_3d: 6.73% · beta_24h: 0.813
Volume	20%	0.2619	rvol_20: 0.63× · zscore_50: -0.360 · trend: -0.65%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.8007	ADX: 36.1 (trend) · Chop: 34.3 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 1.434% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 2.2h) Initial Risk: -3.380% (0.0266)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.152%	0.3R	-0.718%	0.2R	1.6×	12
2h	+1.152%	0.3R	-1.333%	0.4R	0.9×	24
2.2h ★	+1.152%	0.3R	-1.333%	0.4R	0.9×	25
4h	+1.152%	0.3R	-1.380%	0.4R	0.8×	48
8h	+1.850%	0.6R	-1.380%	0.4R	1.3×	96
12h	+1.850%	0.6R	-1.380%	0.4R	1.3×	144

computed 1 month ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 1.36

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	compression	bear_high	55%	noisy_chop 36%	early	—	—	0.49	bear_high	-4.59%	-0.40	04/08 20:00
4h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	fading	expansion	bear_high	58%	noisy_chop 38%	early	—	—	0.40	range_high	+0.12%	+0.52	04/08 20:00
1h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	volatile_reversal	bull_high	59%	noisy_chop 48%	early	near 0.1ATR	—	0.39	range_medium	+0.68%	+0.50	04/08 20:00
15m	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	compression	bull_medium	64%	noisy_chop 50%	early	—	—	—	range_low	+0.19%	-0.29	04/08 20:30
5m	—

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↓ down	early	9b	—	3.168×ATR	p15	+0.2×ATR	p22
4h	↑ up	early	13b	—	3.313×ATR	p42	+0.617×ATR	p57
1h	↓ down	early	4b	—	2.653×ATR	p36	-0.063×ATR	p6
15m	↑ up	early	4b	—	1.856×ATR	p10	+0.146×ATR	p14

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.76050337
tp_price: 0.80674675
atr: 0.01062665
expires_at: 2026-08-05T07:10:05+00:00

Details

rank: 4
total: 45
score: 0.6552
delta_2h: 0.0082
extension_atr: 0.84
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.9265
confidence: 0.932

Signal Details

Signaux confirmants (2)

#	Heure	Entry	Δ
1	21:10	0.78707000	-0.004%
2	22:10	0.78482000	-0.29%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.7871	0.7605	0.8067	0.74	1.5505

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.7871
Stop Loss: 0.7605
Take Profit: 0.8067

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.7605 - 0.7871 = -0.0266
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.7871 - 0.8067 = -0.0196
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0196 / -0.0266 = 0.7368

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
237.0101	100	301.1297	2.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss -0.0266

Taille de position = 8 / -0.0266 = -300.75

Taille de position USD = -300.75 x 0.7871 = -236.72

Donc, tu peux acheter -300.75 avec un stoploss a 0.7605

Avec un position size USD de -236.72$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -300.75 x -0.0266 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -300.75 x -0.0196 = 5.89

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 5.89$

Résumé

Taille de position -300.75
Taille de position USD -236.72
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 5.89
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.7368

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.49 %	5.9 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
3.38 %	8.01 $

PNL	PNL %
-1.43 $	-0.60

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-1.3327 %	39.43 %	3

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.7871	0.7605	0.8067	0.74	1.5505

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.7871
Stop Loss: 0.7605
Take Profit: 0.8067

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.7605 - 0.7871 = -0.0266
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.7871 - 0.8067 = -0.0196
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0196 / -0.0266 = 0.7368

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 2.2h) Initial Risk: -3.380% (0.0266)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.152%	0.3R	-0.718%	0.2R	1.6×	12
2h	+1.152%	0.3R	-1.333%	0.4R	0.9×	24
2.2h ★	+1.152%	0.3R	-1.333%	0.4R	0.9×	25
4h	+1.152%	0.3R	-1.380%	0.4R	0.8×	48
8h	+1.850%	0.6R	-1.380%	0.4R	1.3×	96
12h	+1.850%	0.6R	-1.380%	0.4R	1.3×	144

computed 1 month ago

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