Short Trade on ETHFI (BosPullback)
With 1239.82 ETHFI at 0.361$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3445 (4.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3671 (1.77 %)
Short Trade on ETHFI (BosPullback)
With 1239.82 ETHFI at 0.361$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3445 (4.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3671 (1.77 %)
Position
Entry 0.3607$
Qty 1239.8218 ETHFI
Size 447.1789$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)
Risk Setup
TP 0.3445 (+4.49%)
TP $ 20.09$
SL 0.3671 (-1.77%)
SL $ 7.93$
RR 2.53
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1687
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | 3.01×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.01×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_low Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (-1) 04/08 22:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bear_high_confirmed 15m_regime : bear_high |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 04/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2) 04/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 04/08 21:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | bull | expansion | — | -1 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2970 | r1h: 2.963% · r4h: 0.381% · r1d: -9.52% · r3d: -9.48% · ema21_slope: -0.4469% · dist_ema21: -2.308% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3999 | rs_1h: 2.668% · rs_4h: 0.400% · rs_1d: -10.04% · rs_3d: -11.35% · beta_24h: 0.110 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6426 | rvol_20: 1.50× · zscore_50: 1.404 · trend: 92.31% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9416 | ADX: 53.0 (trend) · Chop: 28.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.564% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.419% | 0.2R | -0.846% | 0.5R | 0.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.566% | 0.3R | -0.846% | 0.5R | 0.7× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.865% | 0.5R | -1.791% | 1.0R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.865% | 0.5R | -2.154% | 1.2R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.865% | 0.5R | -2.542% | 1.4R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | near 0.0ATR | — | 0.62 | bear_high | -4.59% | -0.94 | 04/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | explosive | expansion_after_compression | bear_high_confirmed |
54%
|
noisy_chop 50% | late | — | — | 0.42 | range_high | +0.11% | -0.87 | 04/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
49%
|
noisy_chop 52% | early | — | near -0.9ATR | 0.41 | bull_medium | +0.85% | -0.74 | 04/08 21:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | near 0.4ATR | — | range_low | +0.35% | -0.01 | 04/08 21:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 14b | — | 4.693×ATR | p53 | -1.438×ATR | p96 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 17b | — | 6.219×ATR | p93 | -2.078×ATR | p96 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 1b | — | 2.157×ATR | p33 | +0.074×ATR | p6 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 4b | — | 0×ATR | p0 | +0.952×ATR | p68 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
0.34887
147
0.1968
0.7619
0.3679
0.2747
0.4442
1
0.6579
0.2563
0.241
0.88
0.718
0.172
-0.2317
-0.1794
0
-1.2763
-3.5291
0.35
0.65
-1
2
1
0.4506
0.6653
5.7119
0.75
1.6595
3.3369
-3.5291
0.7246
0.2371
0.8
0.7617
0.6593
0.3893
0.9186
0.172
-10.0761
2.0932
1
0
0
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0.34887
0.36656
0.36656
0.34887
0.36656
0.3559
0.36123
0.7845
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (5)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22:21 | 0.36068000 | -0.006% |
| 2 | 22:27 | 0.36068000 | -0.006% |
| 3 | 22:39 | 0.35955000 | -0.319% |
| 4 | 00:50 | 0.35814000 | -0.71% |
| 5 | 00:56 | 0.35814000 | -0.71% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3607 | 0.3671 | 0.3445 | 2.53 | 0.6957 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3671 - 0.3607 = 0.0064
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3607 - 0.3445 = 0.0162
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0162 / 0.0064 = 2.5313
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 447.1789 | 100 | 1239.8218 | 4.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0064 = 1250
Taille de position USD = 1250 x 0.3607 = 450.88
Donc, tu peux acheter 1250 avec un stoploss a 0.3671
Avec un position size USD de 450.88$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1250 x 0.0064 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1250 x 0.0162 = 20.25
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.25$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.49 % | 20.09 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.77 % | 7.93 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.93 $ | -1.77 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.791 % | 100.94 % | 11 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3607 | 0.3671 | 0.3445 | 2.53 | 0.6957 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3671 - 0.3607 = 0.0064
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3607 - 0.3445 = 0.0162
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0162 / 0.0064 = 2.5313
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.419% | 0.2R | -0.846% | 0.5R | 0.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.566% | 0.3R | -0.846% | 0.5R | 0.7× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.865% | 0.5R | -1.791% | 1.0R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.865% | 0.5R | -2.154% | 1.2R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.865% | 0.5R | -2.542% | 1.4R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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