Short Trade on ASTER (BosPullback)
With 2336.16 ASTER at 0.606$ per unit. Take profit: 0.5976 (1.42 %) & Stop Loss: 0.6096 (0.56 %)
Short Trade on ASTER (BosPullback)
With 2336.16 ASTER at 0.606$ per unit. Take profit: 0.5976 (1.42 %) & Stop Loss: 0.6096 (0.56 %)
Position
Entry 0.6062$
Qty 2336.162 ASTER
Size 1416.1113$ (margin 100$) (leverage 14)
Risk Setup
TP 0.5976 (+1.42%)
TP $ 20.09$
SL 0.6096 (-0.56%)
SL $ 7.94$
RR 2.53
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3759
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.04×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.77×ATR |
| 1d | near | -6.47×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (-1) 05/08 23:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
1H_regime : range_low 15m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 05/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) 05/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 05/08 22:00 Score : +3 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | bull | expansion | — | -1 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5279 | r1h: 0.253% · r4h: 0.354% · r1d: -0.05% · r3d: 1.06% · ema21_slope: 0.0031% · dist_ema21: 0.151% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5054 | rs_1h: 0.273% · rs_4h: 0.422% · rs_1d: -0.38% · rs_3d: -1.20% · beta_24h: 0.285 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1511 | rvol_20: 0.10× · zscore_50: -0.734 · trend: -54.88% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.3620 | ADX: 9.1 (weak) · Chop: 64.7 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.336% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.267% | 0.5R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.310% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.370% | 0.7R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.912% | 1.6R | -0.370% | 0.7R | 2.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.231% | 2.2R | -0.370% | 0.7R | 3.3× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.237% | 2.2R | -0.370% | 0.7R | 3.4× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | near -6.5ATR | — | 0.49 | bear_high | -3.62% | -0.35 | 05/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_medium |
36%
|
noisy_chop 32% | early | — | — | 0.45 | bull_high | +0.89% | -0.10 | 05/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion | range_low |
39%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | near 0.0ATR | near -0.8ATR | 0.40 | bull_low | +0.96% | -0.01 | 05/08 22:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | normal | range_low |
38%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | near -0.1ATR | 0.35 | range_low | +0.16% | +0.06 | 05/08 22:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 23b | — | 2.649×ATR | p5 | +0.01×ATR | p3 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 15b | — | 2.633×ATR | p38 | +0.351×ATR | p52 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 3b | — | 1.859×ATR | p18 | +0.618×ATR | p63 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 3b | — | 1.864×ATR | p14 | +0.409×ATR | p34 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
0.60433
146
0.559
0.5361
0.3258
0.2596
0.38
1
0.1945
0.5402
0.3509
0.6691
0.525
0.8102
-0.0162
0.0035
1
0.4358
0.6733
0.45
0.55
-1
3
0.9474
0.5334
0.5248
2.6868
0.55
1.374
2.4953
0.6733
0.22
0.1905
0.66
0.1097
0.5461
0.4551
0
0.8102
-1.287
5.4926
1
0
0
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0.60433
0.6094
0.6094
0.60433
0.60804
0.60401
0.606025
1.0005
0.60934
0.60641
0.607875
0.8225
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23:05 | 0.60617000 | -0.005% |
| 2 | 23:10 | 0.60633000 | +0.021% |
| 3 | 23:16 | 0.60653000 | +0.054% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6062 | 0.6096 | 0.5976 | 2.53 | 0.6894 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.6096 - 0.6062 = 0.0034000000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.6062 - 0.5976 = 0.0085999999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0085999999999999 / 0.0034000000000001 = 2.5294
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1416.1113 | 100 | 2336.162 | 14.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0034000000000001 = 2352.94
Taille de position USD = 2352.94 x 0.6062 = 1426.35
Donc, tu peux acheter 2352.94 avec un stoploss a 0.6096
Avec un position size USD de 1426.35$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 2352.94 x 0.0034000000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 2352.94 x 0.0085999999999999 = 20.24
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.24$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.42 % | 20.09 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.56 % | 7.94 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 20.09 $ | 1.42 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3695 % | 65.88 % | 6 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6062 | 0.6096 | 0.5976 | 2.53 | 0.6894 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.6096 - 0.6062 = 0.0034000000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.6062 - 0.5976 = 0.0085999999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0085999999999999 / 0.0034000000000001 = 2.5294
Array
(
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.267% | 0.5R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.310% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.370% | 0.7R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.912% | 1.6R | -0.370% | 0.7R | 2.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.231% | 2.2R | -0.370% | 0.7R | 3.3× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.237% | 2.2R | -0.370% | 0.7R | 3.4× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
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